Hi Maureen,

On Aug 21, 2009, at 3:41 PM, Maureen Gillespie wrote:

Hi everyone,
I have been using weighted empircal logit linear regression (Barr, 2008) to analyze data from a number of agreement error production experiments. (Just as a side note, I have run into lots of problems trying to use logit mixed models for this data as errors are extremely rare: certain conditions produce essentially no errors and all other conditions rarely have higher than 15% error rates. If anyone has a better solution than the emp.logit please let me know!)

Yes, I have had similar difficulties with logit models where at least one condition is error-free. One thing you may be prone to running into in these cases is the unreliability of the Wald z-statistic. Search for "standard error is inflated" on this page:

 http://userwww.sfsu.edu/~efc/classes/biol710/logistic/logisticreg.htm

That being said, I am running what is essentially a meta-analysis. I have data from 5 experiments and 104 different items (some of which appear in multiple experiments, some only appear in a single experiment). My model has two continuous predictors and two random effects (experiment and item).

lmer(emp.logit ~ IV1 + IV2 + (1|item) + (1|exp), data, weights)

When I run the model, my estimates, standard errors, and t-values all appear reasonable (i.e., comparable to other single random effect models I have run using this technique on similar data). There is no colinearity or anything else to suggest that something is wrong. But when I use pvals.fnc() to compute CIs and p values for the estimates, I find that the experiment random effect has a std. dev. of 0.0000 (5.0e-11 to be exact), and this seems to inflate the CI of the intercept estimate (t = 17, but it's only marginal significant w/ pvals from MCMC). If I run the same model excluding the experiment random effect, estimates do not change and the CIs and p values for the intercept appear normal. Strangely (or maybe not) the two models have the exact same log likelihoods.

Is this just an extreme example of a random effect not being necessary?

And, more on the conceptual end of things, why would a near-zero st.dev. of a random effect inflate CIs w/MCMC sampling?

I'm not sure what you mean by inflating the CI -- do you mean making the CI on the fixed-effect intercept larger than it is in a model without the random effect of experiment?

With such a small random effect of experiment, the model probably *is* telling you that you don't need it. Try comparing your model's likelihood with the likelihood of a model that doesn't have the random effect of experiment -- the likelihoods should be very similar. (Technically it's best to use restricted maximum likelihood (REML=TRUE) when doing this, but that is the default so it looks like you're doing that already.

Best

Roger




Thanks in advance,

Maureen Gillespie
Northeastern University
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Roger Levy                      Email: [email protected]
Assistant Professor             Phone: 858-534-7219
Department of Linguistics       Fax:   858-534-4789
UC San Diego                    Web:   http://ling.ucsd.edu/~rlevy






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