The functions bsnVaryNvar() and bestsetNoise() in the DAAG package
have been designed to highlight the opportunities that conventional
variable selection methods offer for generating “significant” effects from
data that is pure noise.  There is an accompanying vignette
simulate-varselect.

It is a sad commentary on the limited extent to which an informed and
incisive critical appraisal is commonly applied to results tossed out by
packaged software that standard forms of backward and forward
regression variable selection, and best subsets regression, continue
to be used as the basis for published work.


John Maindonald             email: 
[email protected]<mailto:[email protected]>

On 3/10/2018, at 23:00, 
[email protected]<mailto:[email protected]>
 wrote:

Message: 1
Date: Tue, 02 Oct 2018 10:54:36 -0500
From: "R. Mark Sharp" <[email protected]<mailto:[email protected]>>
To: [email protected]<mailto:[email protected]>
Subject: [R-sig-teaching] demonstration of weaknesses in stepwise
variable selection
Message-ID: 
<[email protected]<mailto:[email protected]>>
Content-Type: text/plain; charset="us-ascii"

I am developing a short presentation for people with applied statistical 
backgrounds who have used backward stepwise variable selection where they 
remove variables based on small coefficient values, coefficient P values > 
0.05, and large variances.

I am wanting to provide some demonstration code in R that highlights some of 
the weakness as described by Frank Harrell (citation below).

Of particular interest are (1) failure to include informative predictor 
variables (categorical and continuous) and (2) lowered standard errors for the 
coefficients in the final model. I have code to demonstrate inclusion of too 
many false predictors.

I expect this code is available, but I have not found it. Guidance would be 
appreciated.

Mark
P.S. I have started a public github package at 
https://github.com/rmsharp/stepwiser
I has very little in it thus far.


Frank E. Harrell. Regression Modeling Strategies with applications to linear 
models, logistic regression, and survival analysis, Springer Series in 
Statistics. Springer-Verlag. 2015.


R. Mark Sharp, Ph.D.
Data Scientist and Biomedical Statistical Consultant
7526 Meadow Green St.
San Antonio, TX 78251
mobile: 210-218-2868
[email protected]<mailto:[email protected]>



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