Hi all - I've enjoyed reading your comments about Calveen & Fixed Odds. Unfortunately I didn't see Calveens race - but I saw the result and her great time - just half a second off Starings track record.
What I can't come to grips with is what margin you should allow for in Fixed Odds betting. I've been caught out by my horse offering more at SP on the TAB. I've had a couple of scratchings too. I can see that you must expect this and so there must be a margin which you take into account - what do you guys do? I saw Calveens price on Thursday morning and thought "I must have got my assessment of this horse's ability wrong - how can she be over $4" "Then I had the old concern - what happens if it rains?" So I waited for Saturday and the price slipped away. I got on first thing in the morning @ $3.25 which kept me happy enough - especially when she won. I did see the Waikato Cup - I thought St Reims run was awesome - such a brave horse - some potential and actual reputations were dented in that race. I don't know about him in the Auckland Cup - surely he can't expect to run them into the ground over 3200?? He's ok at Ellerslie if he can get a break on the turn, but I reckon they'd be best aiming for the WFA 2000m races - which there are many of. My final observation - the NZ racing scene is looking bright this year - with the likes of Calveen, Gee I Jane (I can include her now, thanks), St Reims, Cog Hill etc etc. The last season or two have been a little average - perhaps we might send a worthy team across the Tasman for the Syndey autumn carnival. Regards Trevor ------------------------ Yahoo! Groups Sponsor --------------------~--> Make a clean sweep of pop-up ads. Yahoo! Companion Toolbar. Now with Pop-Up Blocker. Get it for free! http://us.click.yahoo.com/L5YrjA/eSIIAA/yQLSAA/9cOolB/TM --------------------------------------------------------------------~-> Yahoo! Groups Links <*> To visit your group on the web, go to: http://groups.yahoo.com/group/racebase/ <*> To unsubscribe from this group, send an email to: [EMAIL PROTECTED] <*> Your use of Yahoo! Groups is subject to: http://docs.yahoo.com/info/terms/
