----- Original Message -----
Sent: Sunday, February 06, 2005 11:08
AM
Subject: Re: [racebase] allupcomp
"I guess it's safe to assume
that your fourth investment will not occur in one of the Group 1 events next
Saturday :-]"
Probably not, Neil. A couple of maidens have been good to me so far . . .
something which happened only intermittently in real life.
I'd backed Utrecht a couple of times earlier after noting
her huge finish at Wanganui in late Nov. As a dead-set back runner she needs a
genuine pace, which she didn't get the first two times I backed her, then at
Trentham she was one of only two maidens in a field of recent winners. I
didn't back her there but her sixth was a handy effort. She sure got my
attention yesterday when she started her home straight run and getting
outbobbed on the line was a kick in the head . . . and then for the rest of
the card every photofinish seemed to go to the big finisher.
I don't know if I'll back her again; probably just a small
wager to keep her honest until she breaks maidens. Her style of racing makes
her too risky a conveyance.
I had my biggest bet for a while on Wahid yesterday, taking
the $1.85 early. Now that I'm a barista, I have to work every Saturday so
I put my bets on in the morning, whack a tape in the VCR and watch the
day's events at around 9-11pm. I've got to say that the discipline this
imposes has seen my punting improve out of sight . . . it's been good
recently, anyway.
I can't believe they bet evens on Wahid . . . I had him
as a threes on shot.
I watched a little bit of that early morning tipping show.
They still don't have anyone going on those panels who comes out and says,
"Get on this, it's over the line, back it till your nose bleeds." They waffle
about, giving every horse a show and searching for reasons the fav will
get beat. Sometimes racing isn't like that. Sometimes there really is
only one chance in a race. But good on them . . . they're making the fav
backable.
And they absolutely, especially that Steve
Davis, re-inforce one of my maxims: "Keep your own counsel."
Gil
BTW: As to the comp, in the words of the great philosopher
and Yankees catcher Yogi Berra: "It ain't over till it's over."
