W Post
 
The great campaign of 2010

   
By _Charles Krauthammer_ 
(http://projects.washingtonpost.com/staff/articles/charles+krauthammer/) 
Thursday, October 28, 2010;  9:45 PM  
 
In a radio interview that aired Monday on Univision, President Obama chided 
 Latinos who "sit out the election instead of saying, 'We're gonna punish 
our  enemies and we're gonna reward our friends who stand with us on issues 
that are  important to us.' " Quite a uniter, urging Hispanics to go to the 
polls to exact  political revenge on their enemies - presumably, for example, 
the near-60  percent of Americans who support the new Arizona immigration 
law.  
 
This from a president who won't even use "enemies" to describe an Iranian  
regime that is helping kill U.S. soldiers in Afghanistan. This from a man 
who  rose to prominence thunderously declaring that we were not blue states or 
 red states, not black America or white America or Latino America - but the 
 United States of America.  
This is how the great post-partisan, post-racial, New Politics presidency  
ends - not with a bang, not with a whimper, but with a desperate 
election-eve  plea for ethnic retribution.  
Yet press secretary Robert Gibbs's dismay is reserved for Senate Republican 
 leader Mitch McConnell and the "disappointing" negativity of his admission 
that  "the single most important thing we want to achieve is for President 
Obama to be  a one-term president."  
McConnell, you see, is supposed to say that he will try very hard to work  
with the president after the election. But it is blindingly clear that 
nothing  of significance will be enacted. Over the next two years, Republicans 
will not  be able to pass anything of importance to them - such as repealing 
Obamacare -  because of the presidential veto. And the Democrats will be too 
politically  weakened to advance, let alone complete, Obama's broad 
transformational agenda.  
That would have to await victory in 2012. Every president gets two bites at 
 the apple: the first 18 months when he is riding the good-will honeymoon, 
and a  second shot in the first 18 months of a second term before 
lame-duckness sets  in.  
 

 
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Over the next two years, the real action will be not in Congress but in the 
 bowels of the federal bureaucracy. Democrats will advance their agenda on  
Obamacare, financial reform and energy by means of administrative 
regulation,  such as carbon-emission limits imposed unilaterally by the 
Environmental 
 Protection Agency.  
But major congressional legislation to complete Obama's social-democratic  
agenda? Not a chance. That's why McConnell has it right. The direction of 
the  country will be determined in November 2012 when either Obama gets a 
mandate to  finish building his "New Foundation" or the Republicans elect one 
of 
their own  to repeal it, or what (by then) remains repealable.  
Gibbs's disapproving reaction to this obvious political truth is in keeping 
 with the convention that all things partisan or ideological are to be 
frowned  upon as "divisive." This is pious nonsense. What is the point of a 
two-party  democracy if not to present clear, alternative views of the role of 
government  and, more fundamentally, the balance between liberty and equality 
- the central  issue for any democracy?  
The beauty of this year's campaign, and the coming one in 2012, is that 
they  actually have a point. Despite the noise, the nonsense, the distractions, 
the  amusements - who will not miss New York's seven-person gubernatorial 
circus act?  - this is a deeply serious campaign about a profoundly serious 
political  question.  
Obama, to his credit, did not get elected to do midnight basketball or 
school  uniforms. No Bill Clinton he. Obama thinks large. He wants to be a 
consequential  president on the order of Ronald Reagan. His forthright attempt 
to 
undo the  Reagan revolution with a burst of expansive liberal governance is 
the theme  animating this entire election.  
Democratic apologists would prefer to pretend otherwise - that it's all 
about  the economy and the electorate's anger over its parlous condition. Nice 
try. The  most recent CBS/New York Times poll shows that only one in 12 
Americans blames  the economy on Obama, and seven in 10 think the downturn is 
temporary. And yet,  the Democratic Party is falling apart. Democrats are four 
points behind among  women, a constituency Democrats had owned for decades; 
a staggering 20 points  behind among independents (a 28-point swing since 
2008); and 20 points behind  among college graduates, giving lie to the 
ubiquitous liberal conceit that the  Republican surge is the revenge of lumpen 
know-nothings.  
On Nov. 2, a punishing there will surely be. But not quite the kind Obama 
is  encouraging.  
My prediction: The Dems lose 60 House seats, eight in the Senate. Rangers 
in  seven. 

-- 
Centroids: The Center of the Radical Centrist Community 
<[email protected]>
Google Group: http://groups.google.com/group/RadicalCentrism
Radical Centrism website and blog: http://RadicalCentrism.org

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