Nice centrist summary. 

E

Financial Crisis Was Avoidable, Inquiry Concludes - NYTimes.com
http://www.nytimes.com/2011/01/26/business/economy/26inquiry.html?_r=1&hp

Financial Crisis Was Avoidable, Inquiry Concludes


Stefan Zaklin/European Pressphoto Agency

The commission’s report finds fault with two Fed chairmen: Alan Greenspan, 
right, a skeptic of regulation who led the central bank as the housing bubble 
expanded, and his successor, Ben S. Bernanke, who did not foresee the crisis 
but then played a crucial role in the response to it.

WASHINGTON — The 2008 financial crisis was an “avoidable” disaster caused by 
widespread failures in government regulation, corporate mismanagement and 
heedless risk-taking by Wall Street, according to the conclusions of a federal 
inquiry.

The commission that investigated the crisis casts a wide net of blame, faulting 
two administrations, the Federal Reserve and other regulators for permitting a 
calamitous concoction: shoddy mortgage lending, the excessive packaging and 
sale of loans to investors and risky bets on securities backed by the loans.

“The greatest tragedy would be to accept the refrain that no one could have 
seen this coming and thus nothing could have been done,” the panel wrote in the 
report’s conclusions, which were read by The New York Times. “If we accept this 
notion, it will happen again.”

While the panel, the Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission, accuses several 
financial institutions of greed, ineptitude or both, some of its gravest 
conclusions concern government failings, with embarrassing implications for 
both parties. But the panel was itself divided along partisan lines, which 
could blunt the impact of its findings.

Many of the conclusions have been widely described, but the synthesis of 
interviews, documents and testimony, along with its government imprimatur, give 
the report — to be released on Thursday as a 576-page book — a conclusive sweep 
and authority.

The commission held 19 days of hearings and interviews with more than 700 
witnesses; it has pledged to release a trove of transcripts and other raw 
material online.

Of the 10 commission members, the six appointed by Democrats endorsed the final 
report. Three Republican members have prepared a dissent focusing on a narrower 
set of causes; a fourth Republican, Peter J. Wallison, has his own dissent, 
calling policies to promote homeownership the major culprit. The panel was 
hobbled repeatedly by internal divisions and staff turnover.

The majority report finds fault with two Fed chairmen: Alan Greenspan, who led 
the central bank as the housing bubble expanded, and his successor, Ben S. 
Bernanke, who did not foresee the crisis but played a crucial role in the 
response. It criticizes Mr. Greenspan for advocating deregulation and cites a 
“pivotal failure to stem the flow of toxic mortgages” under his leadership as a 
“prime example” of negligence.

It also criticizes the Bush administration’s “inconsistent response” to the 
crisis — allowing Lehman Brothers to collapse in September 2008 after earlier 
bailing out another bank, Bear Stearns, with Fed help — as having “added to the 
uncertainty and panic in the financial markets.”

Like Mr. Bernanke, Mr. Bush’s Treasury secretary, Henry M. Paulson Jr., 
predicted in 2007 — wrongly, it turned out — that the subprime collapse would 
be contained, the report notes.

Democrats also come under fire. The decision in 2000 to shield the exotic 
financial instruments known as over-the-counter derivatives from regulation, 
made during the last year of President Bill Clinton’s term, is called “a key 
turning point in the march toward the financial crisis.”

Timothy F. Geithner, who was president of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York 
during the crisis and is now the Treasury secretary, was not unscathed; the 
report finds that the New York Fed missed signs of trouble at Citigroup and 
Lehman, though it did not have the main responsibility for overseeing them.

Former and current officials named in the report, as well as financial 
institutions, declined Tuesday to comment before the report was released.

The report could reignite debate over the influence of Wall Street; it says 
regulators “lacked the political will” to scrutinize and hold accountable the 
institutions they were supposed to oversee. The financial industry spent $2.7 
billion on lobbying from 1999 to 2008, while individuals and committees 
affiliated with it made more than $1 billion in campaign contributions.

The report does knock down — at least partly — several early theories for the 
financial crisis. It says the low interest rates brought about by the Fed after 
the 2001 recession; Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, the mortgage finance giants; 
and the “aggressive homeownership goals” set by the government as part of a 
“philosophy of opportunity” were not major culprits.

On the other hand, the report is harsh on regulators. It finds that the 
Securities and Exchange Commission failed to require big banks to hold more 
capital to cushion potential losses and halt risky practices, and that the Fed 
“neglected its mission.”

It says the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency, which regulates some 
banks, and the Office of Thrift Supervision, which oversees savings and loans, 
blocked states from curbing abuses because they were “caught up in turf wars.”

“The crisis was the result of human action and inaction, not of Mother Nature 
or computer models gone haywire,” the report states. “The captains of finance 
and the public stewards of our financial system ignored warnings and failed to 
question, understand and manage evolving risks within a system essential to the 
well-being of the American public. Theirs was a big miss, not a stumble.”

The report’s implications may be felt more in the political realm than in 
public policy. The Dodd-Frank law overhauling the regulation of Wall Street, 
signed in July, took as its premise the same regulatory deficiencies cited by 
the commission. But the report is sure to be a factor in the debate over the 
future of Fannie and Freddie, which have been run by the government since 2008.

Though the report documents questionable practices by mortgage lenders and 
careless betting by banks, one striking finding is its portrayal of 
incompetence.

It quotes Citigroup executives conceding that they paid little attention to 
mortgage-related risks. Executives at the American International Group were 
found to have been blind to its $79 billion exposure to credit-default swaps, a 
kind of insurance that was sold to investors seeking protection against a drop 
in the value of securities backed by home loans. At Merrill Lynch, managers 
were surprised when seemingly secure mortgage investments suddenly suffered 
huge losses.

By one measure, for about every $40 in assets, the nation’s five largest 
investment banks had only $1 in capital to cover losses, meaning that a 3 
percent drop in asset values could have wiped out the firm. The banks hid their 
excessive leverage using derivatives, off-balance-sheet entities and other 
devices, the report found. The speculative binge was abetted by a giant “shadow 
banking system” in which the banks relied heavily on short-term debt.

“When the housing and mortgage markets cratered, the lack of transparency, the 
extraordinary debt loads, the short-term loans and the risky assets all came 
home to roost,” the report found. “What resulted was panic. We had reaped what 
we had sown.”

The report, which was heavily shaped by the commission’s chairman, Phil 
Angelides, is dotted with literary flourishes. It calls credit-rating agencies 
“cogs in the wheel of financial destruction.” Paraphrasing Shakespeare’s 
“Julius Caesar,” it states, “The fault lies not in the stars, but in us.”

Of the banks that bought, created, packaged and sold trillions of dollars in 
mortgage-related securities, it says: “Like Icarus, they never feared flying 
ever closer to the sun.”

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