This is a switcheroo. Of course, if a grand ayatollah or supreme  mufti
was to renounce Islam, giving a score of reasons along the lines of
the article, I'd be more certain about a scandal bringing down
a house of cards. But getting people to disavow a faith, no matter
how full of poop it may be, is always difficult.
 
There was a book back in the early sixties when I read it, Leon  Festinger's
When Prophecy Fails, still a classic in sociology of religion.  Most of the 
text
was a case study of a cult that was based on a prediction that on  
such-and-such
date the UFOs would come and whisk away the believers to extraterrestrial  
paradise
Guess what ? The date came and went, complete disconfirmation.   Yes,  a 
few quit,
but it took many years before the cult dissolved, and only then for  
unrelated issues.
 
Or consider the Adventists, a whole denomination ( actually two ) which  
arose
as a result of Christ not showing up in 1844 as scheduled.
 
I think that what is necessary besides facing the fact that the Koran is  
based on a surfeit
of claims that don't stand up, and a morality that is barbaric, is finding  
a way to deal with
identity. Sure, the local team is terrible, it loses most of its games, but 
 it is OUR team
and so we cheer for it, no matter what. 
 
Billy
 
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
 
 
message dated 8/24/2011 2:18:34 P.M. Pacific Daylight Time,  
[email protected] writes:

I tend  to agree about fragility, though the challenge is getting people to 
 *acknowledge* truth (see your post about evolution :-).  


It is true that Islam is in massive denial about a great many things,  
which means that a properly disruptive truth could create a revolution.  Billy, 
*this* is the sort of case where I actually think your scandal  theory might 
have merit...


-- Ernie P.

On Aug 24, 2011, at 12:37 PM, [email protected]_ (mailto:[email protected])  
wrote:



from the site :
The Catholic Thing
 
 
On the Fragility of Islam
 
By : James V. Schall, SJ
 
 
 
Tuesday, 23 August 2011 
_On  the Fragility of Islam_ 
(http://www.thecatholicthing.org/columns/2011/on-the-fragility-of-islam.html)   
 
(http://www.thecatholicthing.org/columns/2011/on-the-fragility-of-islam/print.html)
    
(http://www.thecatholicthing.org/component/option,com_mailto/link,aHR0cDovL3d3dy50aGVjYXRob2xpY3RoaW5nLm9yZ
y9jb2x1bW5zLzIwMTEvb24tdGhlLWZyYWdpbGl0eS1vZi1pc2xhbS5odG1s/tmpl,component/)
      By James V.  Schall, S. J.     
 
Islam is the  longest-lasting, closed, unchanging socio-religious culture 
to appear among  men. Its very idea is that everyone worships Allah over time 
in the same  way, with the same simple doctrine. The major change Islam 
looks to is not  modernization or objective truth but, in a stable world, the 
submission to  Allah of all men under a caliphate wherein no non-believers 
are found.  
 
We still look back at  communism, at least the non-oriental variety, with 
some astonishment in this  regard. Almost no one thought it could “fall” 
without a major military  encounter. That it disintegrated so quickly and so 
completely seems  incomprehensible to anyone but a John Paul II. He understood 
its frailty,  its failure to understand the human soul and its  origins.
 
Islam is far older than  Marxism. In the seventh century of our era, Islam 
appeared suddenly almost  out of nowhere. It rapidly spread, mostly by 
military conquest. Its  immediate victims were the Byzantine Christian lands 
and 
the Persian Empire.  Both proved incapable of rising to their own defense. 
Islamic armies  eventually conquered North Africa, the Mediterranean islands, 
much of Spain,  the Balkans, the Near East, the vast land area from 
southern Russia to India  and Afghanistan and even parts of China. Indonesia 
was a 
more commercial  conquest.
 
Later efforts of Europe to  regain some of these conquered lands worked for 
a while. The Crusades  ultimately failed though they indirectly prevented 
further Muslim conquest  of the rest of Europe. Spain, Greece, and parts of 
the Balkans managed to  regain their lands. But the control of the Muslim 
lands by European powers  in the eighteenth and nineteenth centuries made 
little real inroads into  Islam itself. Islam was exposed to western power and 
science, but that did  not effect any significant inner conversion, except 
perhaps for Muslim  confusion about its own lack of science and technology.  
 
The Muslim conversion of  former Christian lands seems to be permanent. 
What few Christians are left  in these lands are second-class citizens. They 
are under severe pressure to  convert or emigrate. Many forces within Islam 
desire a complete enclosure of  Islam that would exclude any foreign power or 
religion. The Muslim world is  divided into the area of peace and the area 
of war; the latter is what Islam  does not yet control.


So with this background,  why talk of the “fragility” of Islam? This 
instability arises from the  status of the text of the Koran as an historical 
document. The Koran is said  to have been dictated directly in Arabic by Allah. 
It has, as it were, no  prehistory, even though it did not come into 
existence until a century or so  after Mohammed. 
 
Scholars, mostly German,  have been working quietly for many decades to 
produce a critical edition of  the Koran that takes into consideration the “
pre-history” of the Koran. Due  to the Muslim belief that any effort to 
question the Koran’s text is  blasphemy, the enterprise is fraught with 
personal 
risk to the researchers.  The idea that the text cannot be investigated, of 
course, only feeds  suspicion that even Muslims worry about its integrity.  
 
Much of the philosophy  within Islam, as we know, had roots in scholars who 
were originally  Christian or Persian. This is well recorded in Robert 
Reilly’s The Closing of the Muslim Mind. But  even more, the Koran itself seems 
to be composed of many elements from  Christian or Hebrew scripture. The 
very word Koran has roots in liturgical  books. 
 
The systematic denial in  the Koran itself of the Trinity and the 
Incarnation, the reducing of Christ  from the Messiah to another prophet, force 
us to 
inquire about the  connection between the Koran and Judaeo-Christian 
Scriptures. The broader  claim that Mohammed’s “revelation” rewrote and made 
obsolete the earlier  revelation needs direct confrontation. 
 
The ecumenical movement  has limited relations to Islam pretty much to 
areas of mutual agreement.  This is well enough. But one cannot ignore the 
issue 
of truth about a text  and the grounds on which it is based. 
 
Religion or faith, even in  Islam through Averroes, has been conceived as a 
myth designed to keep the  people quiet. The scholars could quietly let the 
caliphs and the imams rule  if the intelligentsia were left free to pursue 
philosophy, which was  conceived to be anti-Koranic in the sense that the 
Koran did not hold up  under scrutiny about its claims. 
 
The fragility of Islam, as  I see it, lies in a sudden realization of the 
ambiguity of the text of the  Koran. Is it what it claims to be? Islam is 
weak militarily. It is strong in  social cohesion, often using severe moral and 
physical sanctions. But the  grounding and unity of its basic document are 
highly suspect. Once this  becomes clear, Islam may be as fragile as 
communism.   





-- 
Centroids: The Center  of the Radical Centrist Community 
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