Our East Coast friends return to their philosophical roots for a thoughtful 
critique. No answers, but good questions.

http://www.newamerica.net/publications/articles/2011/the_intellectual_collapse_of_left_and_right_56624

The Intellectual Collapse of Left and Right

Democrats and Republicans alike are failing to convince the American people 
that they have the answer to their country's problems. Underneath, however, 
lies a deeper intellectual confusion. The two most plausible visions developed 
by the US centre-left and centre-right – the "knowledge economy" and the 
"ownership society" – lie in tatters, leaving a void in America's discussion of 
its economic future.

On the right, the ownership society has been disowned. The idea began with 
Chicago School libertarian economists who in the 1960s and '70s devised 
elaborate private alternatives to the social insurance programme created by 
Franklin Roosevelt's New Deal. These ideas lay behind the April budget plan by 
Paul Ryan, the Republican chair of the House of Representatives budget 
committee.

Yet Mr Ryan's fellow Republicans rushed to distance themselves from his idea of 
replacing Medicare with insurance vouchers set to dwindle in value. This 
followed a speedy public repudiation of President George W. Bush's plan for 
partial privatisation of Social Security, the US public pension system, a few 
years back. Both events made clear that Americans do not share the right's 
vision of replacing public social insurance with private provision.

The fundamental blow to the ownership society, however, was the collapse of the 
bubble economy. Individual savings accounts, of the kind ownership society 
advocated, were devastated by the crash. The expansion of home ownership, 
pushed by Republicans and Democrats alike, also left millions of Americans 
"underwater."

Ironically, the closest thing to a victory for the concept was the 2009 
healthcare reform passed by President Barack Obama, which was modelled on 
proposals made in the 1990s by the conservative Heritage Foundation. 
Republicans repudiated this approach for partisan reasons, at the price of 
intellectual consistency.

The collapse of this conservative vision should give the Democrats little 
comfort, however. Their idea of the knowledge economy is no more credible. 
According to 1990s "third way" progressives on both sides of the Atlantic, 
success in winner-take-all global markets would depend on human capital. 
Education was now to be what financial and real estate assets were to the 
ownership society.

Yet the story that President Bill Clinton and British prime minister Tony Blair 
told of college-educated individuals thriving in global labour markets was 
wrong. To begin with, America's professionals owe their relative affluence 
largely to their protection from offshoring or competition with immigrants.

Licensing laws limit entry to the guilds of lawyers, doctors and professors. 
These remain old-fashioned crafts, largely untouched by productivity-enhancing 
technology. Meanwhile, in the financial sector, bonuses have gone to 
old-fashioned speculators who bet with leveraged money, knowing the state will 
socialise their losses.

Most US job growth since the 1990s has been in three sectors: health, education 
and government. Nine of the 10 largest occupations earn less than the mean 
hourly wage. Those with the fastest growth are nurses, home health aides and 
customer service clerks. Middle-skill jobs with decent wages have disappeared, 
while downward mobility and unskilled immigration has swollen the low-wage 
domestic service sector.

America's struggling workforce faces mass unemployment, low pay, inadequate 
benefits and highly regressive taxation. The centre-right's ownership society 
and the centre-left's knowledge economy are irrelevant to these problems. It is 
an insult to tell struggling health aides and store clerks to supplement their 
income by investing in stocks. It is a cruel joke to tell most of them that 
they should go to college, become entrepreneurs and found start-ups.

But alternative strategies have their limits. Fostering American manufacturing 
can be justified on other grounds, but productivity growth ensures it will 
provide only a shrinking minority of jobs in the long run. America's 
anti-statist culture and regional and ethnic rivalries limit the kinds of 
redistribution, in the form of social programmes, public services or wage 
subsidies, that have been employed in many other developed countries.

Supporters of the ownership society and the knowledge economy alike have 
emphasised economic aspiration above economic security. That might have seemed 
plausible during the bubble years, but it does not fit the conditions of 
distressed workers in today's post-crash, slow-growth economy. Whatever forms 
the next conservatism and the next liberalism take in the US, they may be based 
as much on a politics of security as the politics of aspiration.

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