Ernie :
No argument from me on any of your points. The  only thing to add is that
with advances in robot technology we can now produce all kinds of  goods
competitively priced with Chinese ( or other ) competition  
Consumer electronics is definitely in this category.
 
I don't think this is the case yet in other areas like rare earths  
extraction,
but in that department our national security needs are such that at a  
minimum
we ought to be keeping small scale mining operations running so that  we
don't lose the expertise. Moreover, keeping it current would mean  that
at such time as low cost extraction becomes possible in the USA
we would be all set to go.
 
This is common practice in some other industries. The large scale coal  
strip mine
in the state of Washington, a rare example of a mine that could be  
approved,
keeps a skeleton crew on the job even if the power company can now  get
its coal cheaper from Wyoming. But there are enormous reserves at the  site
and no-one wants to lose the skills needed should, some day, it  becomes
important to reactivate the mine. Also a good idea to keep the
equipment in working order.
 
An only tangentially related point, but one with importance.
 
As Arthur Clarke said years ago, most of the cost of hardware in  Space
is getting it there. Per ton, aluminum has a price tag that compares with  
silver or gold.
 
In a few days a multi-ton NASA satellite is set to crash. All that tonnage  
will be lost.
Suppose, instead,  we kept one operational space shuttle moored to the  
Space Station.
Send it up with a crew of 4, the next few Russian launches would only  
carry  two  people
leaving one vacant seat. This would be so that the 4 person crew could be  
returned
to Earth, one by one and allow the shuttle to stay aloft.
 
What for ?  To retrieve hardware in Space. For now, just put it in  
storage. 
Add a "warehouse" to the station. In it would be satellites now past their  
designed
usefulness but valuable for all that metal and other hardware. The  
warehouse
would also become a workshop in the future. Send up engineers and 
metal experts, etc, plus computer people, and make use of parts from
previous items,  fashioning them into new items designed by NASA
for new uses. No need to lift 10 tons for a project, just a few  engineers
and maybe one ton of new parts to make the old parts useful again.
 
The shuttle would pick up the old satellites every now and then.
It would stay in orbit and be used like a pickup truck.
In an emergency it could return to Earth, but that
would be a one-way trip. Just get one more shuttle
up there. By 2017 or so, the first next generation
vehicles ought to be coming on line.
 
 
 
Billy
 
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
 
 
 
 
 
message dated 9/22/2011 3:32:18 P.M. Pacific Daylight Time,  
[email protected] writes:

Hi  Billy,  


On Sep 22, 2011, at 3:21 PM, [email protected]_ (mailto:[email protected])  
wrote:

Excellent article. On the money. I agree completely.
 
The subtext is technology transfer, about which I have many unkind  words 
to say.
This has been a bipartisan sellout of America from the time of Bush Sr  and 
Clinton
to the present. All in the name of laissez faire  --as  if the ONLY value 
that matters
is the bottom line, not national security, protection of America's  
economic base,
the morality of doing business with dictatorial regimes, or anything  else.



The problem, IMHO, is that is the debate has been framed as a choice  
between laissez faire and (effectively) mercantilism.


I think a Radical Centrist argument would start by accepting that  
comparative advantage *is* a valid basis for investing decisions, but point  
out 
that these things can be nurtured (or squandered) based on both individual  and 
collective action.  Thus, the way to protect jobs is not to make  imports 
more expensive and subsidize money-losing industries, but invest in  making 
American workers and companies truly competitive and self-sustatining  in the 
long run.


Which, yes, means we need to pick winners and losers, but pick them  
rationally and transparently, not emotionally or politically.  Which  ain't 
easy...


-- Ernie P.



Fortunately the BHO admin sometimes does the right thing.
 
In this case, while it is small by comparison with all of the problems  now 
under way,
the precedent is very important. Other fields need to be revived, like  
consumer
electronics outside of computers  If I had the money I'd buy  Zenith back 
from
the Koreans, for instance, and sell all kinds of gee-whiz TVs and  stereo 
systems
and you name it. Actually there are a few relatively small scale  consumer
electronics businesses here, like Emerson, but its time to  reconstruct
the industry, which never should have been lost in the first  place.
 
 
Billy





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(http://radicalcentrism.org/) 



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Centroids: The Center of the Radical Centrist Community 
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Google Group: http://groups.google.com/group/RadicalCentrism
Radical Centrism website and blog: http://RadicalCentrism.org

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