This sure is real news. Wonder why the MSM never mentioned this ?
There must be a reason. But I simply cannot think of what it might  be.
Do you have any idea  ?  This is such a puzzle.
 
Note : I'm trying to be sarcastic.
 
Billy
 
 
-----------------------------------------------------
 
10/30/2011 8:59:31 P.M. Pacific Daylight Time, [email protected]  
writes:

2010 saw a surprising number of Hispanic  Republicans elected from the 
Corpus Christi area to the Texas Legislature.  Even added a couple in the 
Valley, San Antonio, Houston, and DFW. It also saw  the defeat of the last 
white 
Democrat from Texas in congress, Chet Edwards  (D-Waco). He was defeated by 
Bill Flores (R-Bryan-College Station).  Republicans now represent 2 majority 
Hispanic districts (Flores' district does  not fit that description). 
Ironically, one of the classical liberal Democrats  of the 1970s, Frances 
"Sissy" 
Farenthold (D-Corpus Christi) gave us her  grandson, Blake Farenthold 
(R-Corpus Christi), the new Congressman from Corpus  Christi.

David

 
"Anyone  who thinks he has a better idea of what's good for people than 
people do is a  swine."--P. J.  O’Rourke 


On 10/30/2011 8:30 PM, [email protected]_ (mailto:[email protected])  wrote:  

Los Angeles Times
 
Obama's demographic support may not weather economy
To win reelection, the president needs the backing of  minorities and 
college-educated whites, plus a share of working-class  voters. The tides 
shaping 
his political future could affect all  Democrats.

 
 
By David  Lauter, Washington Bureau  
October 29,  2011, 7:18 p.m.
 
Reporting from Washington— 
_Barack Obama_ 
(http://www.latimes.com/topic/politics/government/barack-obama-PEPLT007408.topic)
  won the presidency in 2008 by riding  two of 
America's biggest waves of population change — greater racial  diversity and a 
rise 
in college graduates. With the 2012 election a year  away, his reelection 
chances depend on those trends overpowering the sour  impact of a bad economy.

The personalities and characters of  candidates, the cut and thrust of 
campaign tactics and the interplay of  issues all help decide elections. But 
the 
daily battles of a campaign play  out on ground shaped by long-term 
population change.

The growing  Latino population, for example, has buoyed Democratic fortunes 
and gives  Obama hopes of holding on to Nevada, despite that state's 
punishing economy.  Increasing numbers of highly educated professionals keep 
his 
chances alive  in Virginia, which he was the first Democrat to carry since 
1964. Colorado,  a state that ranks high on both counts, is a major prize 
_Democrats_ 
(http://www.latimes.com/topic/politics/parties-movements/democratic-party-ORGOV0000005.topic)
  hope to keep.

By contrast, many  strategists believe that states like Ohio, where both 
college graduates and  minority voters are scarcer, could prove far more 
difficult for the  president unless he catches a significant break on economic 
conditions in  the next year.

More is at stake than just Obama's future. After their  victories in 2006 
and 2008, Democrats hoped that changes in the U.S.  population had delivered 
them a stable, lasting majority. Now, as the rising  demographic tides crash 
against the rocks of an economic collapse, they see  that advantage 
slipping away.

No matter the demographics, a party in  power "still has to deliver" for 
the voters who supported it, said political  analyst _Ruy Teixeira_ 
(http://www.americanprogress.org/experts/TeixeiraRuy.html) , who, shortly after 
_President George W. Bush_ 
(http://www.latimes.com/topic/politics/government/presidents-of-the-united-states/george-bush-PEPLT000857.topic)
  took office, 
co-wrote a  book correctly predicting the Democratic resurgence.

"Voters have to  feel they're getting what they need, and at this point 
that's very much in  question," he said.

To win, Obama needs big margins among his two  core groups, minorities and 
college-educated white professionals, plus a  reasonable share of whites 
without college degrees — the working-class  voters who formed the bedrock of 
the Democratic majority in the 20th  century, but who now tend to vote 
Republican.

Right now, he's in  danger on both sides of that equation.

Democrats have won large  majorities among nonwhite voters for years, but 
only in the last decade has  that vote become large enough to swing national 
elections. When _Richard M. Nixon_ 
(http://www.latimes.com/topic/politics/government/presidents-of-the-united-states/richard-nixon-PEHST000115.topic)
  
profited from white backlash  against the civil rights movement and captured 
the formerly Democratic  South, nonwhites made up only about one in 10 
voters, Teixeira noted. By  2000, nonwhites were almost 20% of the vote.

By 2008, they made up a  quarter of the electorate. Obama won the lion's 
share of _their votes_ (http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2008/results/polls/)  — 
95% of blacks and two-thirds or  more among Latinos. In 2012, their numbers 
will tick up yet again.

To  win in places like Colorado, Nevada and New Mexico — all key targets — 
Obama  needs the Latino vote to keep expanding and to go heavily to him. In 
North  Carolina, another closely fought state the last time around, his 
chances  depend in part on a very large and loyal black turnout.

Yet  minorities have been hit disproportionately hard by the recession —  
unemployment rates are higher among _blacks_ 
(http://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.t02.htm)  and _Latinos_ 
(http://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.t03.htm)  than among whites, and 
poverty is  deeper.

The grim economic numbers almost certainly will discourage  some from 
voting. The economy could even encourage some Latinos to consider  the 
_Republicans_ 
(http://www.latimes.com/topic/politics/parties-movements/republican-party-ORGOV0000004.topic)
  — although the hard line the GOP  candidates are 
taking against illegal immigrants may lessen that  prospect.

The other key for Obama is the strong support that  Democrats have 
developed among professionals — lawyers, college professors,  nurses, social 
workers, teachers. That group makes up almost a fifth of the  electorate, and 
its 
members tend to share the Democratic belief in  government as a force for 
public good.

Republicans still triumph  among a different group of college graduates — 
business owners and managers.  But Obama beat _Sen. John McCain_ 
(http://www.latimes.com/topic/politics/elections/u.s.-elections/john-mccain-PEPLT004278.t
opic)  by 19 points among voters who  have education beyond a college 
degree — one good indicator of his strength  among professionals.

In 11 states plus the District of Columbia, more  than one-third of the 
white residents have _college degrees_ 
(http://www.census.gov/compendia/statab/cats/education/educational_attainment.html)
 , according to the latest  
government statistics. Obama carried all 12 in 2008. By contrast, of the 10  
states with the lowest percentage of college-educated whites, Obama carried  
only one — Indiana, and strategists in both parties assume he will lose it  
this time around.

Going into 2012, Obama's standing with college  graduates has fallen, as it 
has across the board. Nonetheless, the states  with the largest percentage 
of college-educated whites, including  California, Massachusetts, Maryland, 
Connecticut, New Jersey and New York,  remain the most solid parts of 
Obama's electoral base.

But in states  where the college-graduate percentage is lower, his 
prospects seem  increasingly glum.

Loss of jobs and income has deepened the  alienation and pessimism of 
working-class whites — a group that is shrinking  but still makes up about 4 in 
10 voters. (Pollsters generally use lack of a  college degree as a way to 
define the working class, since polls seldom ask  about a person's occupation.) 
Among white working-class voters, the defeat  Obama experienced in 2008 now 
threatens to become a rout.

Extensive  polling by the Democratic firm _Greenberg,  Quinlan, Rosner_ 
(http://www.greenbergresearch.com/)  shows that through the George W. Bush 
years, whites  without college degrees were, on average, about 7 percentage 
points more  likely to call themselves Republicans than Democrats.

But beginning  in 2009, that gap yawned ever wider, reaching 20 points in 
2010, when  Republicans took control of the House. Ominously for Democrats, 
the gap has  remained close to that level.

The reasons are not hard to discern:  The Democratic message of government 
as a positive force for Americans runs  smack against the experience of many 
without a college education.

For  these voters, economic prospects "are still declining," said Demo
cratic  pollster Stanley B. Greenberg. Average paychecks for 
non-college-educated 
 men, adjusted for inflation, are lower now than 30 years ago. The current  
poor economy has only made things worse, feeding a belief that government  
functions only for insiders with connections.

"I just don't feel like  I can rely on government at all," said Christopher 
Kane, 41, a heavy  equipment operator from the Northern California town of 
Brentwood. "It  doesn't feel like anyone's reliable anymore. Unions, 
companies, no one does  what they say."

Kane, who was a respondent in a recent _USC Dornsife/Los Angeles Times 
poll_ 
(http://articles.latimes.com/2011/sep/06/nation/la-na-poll-economy-20110906) , 
voted for  Obama in 2008 and said he did not completely fault the 
president for the  economy because "he inherited such a mess."

But, he said, conditions  have simply gotten worse, and he's come to agree 
with the Republican  argument that government "just pisses the money away."

"It just gives  you a real sense of helplessness."

In that view, Kane has a lot of  company. A poll this spring for the _Pew 
Charitable Trusts_ 
(http://www.economicmobility.org/economicmobility.org/poll2011)  showed that 
blacks and  Latinos were both more optimistic about their 
futures than were whites.  Among whites, those without a college education 
were the most  gloomy.

"The pessimism is extraordinarily deep," said _Mark Mellman_ 
(http://www.mellmangroup.com/) , the Democratic pollster who helped  conduct 
the survey. 
Working-class voters "still want the government to take  action," he said; 
"they're not necessarily antigovernment." The difficulty  is convincing them 
that "policies will help them and people like them and  not someone else who 
doesn't need the help."

Persuading voters to put  aside that deeply felt pessimism can be done, but 
will be "a great  challenge" for Obama, said Greenberg. "I truly do believe 
the long-term  demographic and cultural trends favor the Democratic 
coalition," he said.  "But in the short term, we're not there yet. Not this  
year."


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Centroids: The Center of the Radical Centrist Community  
<[email protected]>
Google Group: _http://groups.google.com/group/RadicalCentrism_ 
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