Ron Paul has his predetermined group. Santorum is going to reap the rewards of Bachmann and (likely) Perry dropping out, but New Hampshire is only 2% evangelical so he's not going to be able to depend on that factor. If the "Not Romney" voters go to Huntsman, then he's going to be able to reintroduce himself to the nation. If "Not Romney" gravitates to Santorum, then Huntsman will have miscalculated and he'll have a Giuliana 08' situation on his hands. I don't think Newt has anything going for him in New Hampshire. When he comes up dead last, then it'll be time for him to reassess his candidacy.
http://www.northamericanmissions.org/files/From%2035000%20to%2015000%20Feet%20%20Evangelical%20Statistics%20in%20the%20US%20and%20Canada.pdf On Wed, Jan 4, 2012 at 11:39 AM, <[email protected]> wrote: > ** > 1/4/2012 8:37:14 A.M. Pacific Standard Time, [email protected] writes: > > > No idea. Won't have a sense of things for a few days. > > > > > > Does it seem possible that Huntsman might get some traction to surge (as > so many others have)? I think Huntsman is an interesting guy who may have > centrist leanings.**** > > ** ** > > ** ** > > ** ** > > *From:* [email protected] [mailto: > [email protected]] *On Behalf Of *[email protected] > *Sent:* Wednesday, January 04, 2012 9:24 AM > *To:* [email protected] > *Cc:* [email protected] > *Subject:* [RC] Brief look at Iowa results and what to expect for New > Hampshire**** > > ** ** > > Will this be Ron Paul's high water mark ? At least according to some > pundits**** > > in no other state does RP have factors in his favor that he had in Iowa.** > ** > > Santorum probably won't do better in NH than Huckabee did in 2008 ( 11 % ) > **** > > Bachmann out. Perry likely out also. Huntsman out after NH unless**** > > he does surprisingly well.**** > > **** > > --------------------------------------------------------------**** > > **** > > *Caucus Results ***** > > 10:58 AM ET | 100% reporting **** > > *Candidate* > > *Votes* > > *Percent* > > *Delegates** > > [image: Check-transparent-15px]**** > > [image: Mitt-romney_50]Mitt Romney **** > > 30,015 **** > > *24.6%* **** > > — **** > > [image: Rick-santorum_50]Rick Santorum **** > > 30,007 **** > > *24.5+* **** > > — **** > > [image: Ron-paul_50]Ron Paul **** > > 26,219 **** > > *21.4* **** > > — **** > > [image: Newt-gingrich_50]Newt Gingrich **** > > 16,251 **** > > *13.3* **** > > — **** > > [image: Rick-perry_50]Rick Perry **** > > 12,604 **** > > *10.3* **** > > — **** > > [image: Michele-bachmann_50]Michele Bachmann **** > > 6,073 **** > > *5.0* **** > > — **** > > [image: Others_50]Others **** > > 1,086 **** > > 0.9 **** > > — **** > > [image: Jon-huntsman_50]Jon Huntsman **** > > 745 **** > > 0.6 **** > > -- > Centroids: The Center of the Radical Centrist Community < > [email protected]> > Google Group: http://groups.google.com/group/RadicalCentrism > Radical Centrism website and blog: > http://RadicalCentrism.org<http://radicalcentrism.org/> > **** > > -- > Centroids: The Center of the Radical Centrist Community < > [email protected]> > Google Group: http://groups.google.com/group/RadicalCentrism > Radical Centrism website and blog: > http://RadicalCentrism.org<http://radicalcentrism.org/> > > > > -- > Centroids: The Center of the Radical Centrist Community < > [email protected]> > Google Group: http://groups.google.com/group/RadicalCentrism > Radical Centrism website and blog: http://RadicalCentrism.org > -- Centroids: The Center of the Radical Centrist Community <[email protected]> Google Group: http://groups.google.com/group/RadicalCentrism Radical Centrism website and blog: http://RadicalCentrism.org
