Not so fast, Ernie  :
Who is offering these online courses  ?  Well, professors from well known
and accredited universities. That is,  universities  --even if independent 
minded
innovative faculty are taking the  lead--   remain drivers in the process,
or are becoming drivers.
 
I think I get what it is you would like to  see happen, but  --I have this 
problem
in other areas and doubtless we all  do--  it isn't kosher to predict what 
one
wishes for as if you have come up with an  objective forecast.
 
Then there is the false analogy. What has  survived for really long periods 
of time ?
True, fortune 500 companies come and go,  but that is how the competitive 
marketplace
works. OTOH, the stock exchange itself is  still around and is 200+ years 
old, 
newspapers are still with us even as some  fall by the wayside while the 
survivors
are adapting as best they can, some  successfully ( WSJ, Financial Times,
NY Times, W Post ).
 
But education serves a government  function, not a market function, More 
accurately,
it serve both functions. Gvt wants an  educated workforce and citizenry.
Sometimes this dovetails nicely with the market, sometimes not.
So, universities are sort of a hybrid and, as such, you can't make
a 1 : 1 comparison with Wall Street. As well, some  universities have,
by design, non-profit objectives, like --at least in theory--
all religious colleges and universities.
 
So, please note these issues with the article.
 
However, set this all aside. There are other matters that I think call for  
focus
of attention. Knowing this stuff, or learning it on the fly, let's suppose  
we
at RC.org are the de facto members of a Board of Regents.
We head up Radical Centrist University, a strictly online 
institution of higher learning.  In our plans is creation of
in-person ed programs in the future, but we aren't ready
for that and need to get off the ground with 
our online program first.
 
OK, if this is the problem, what is the solution ?
 
Where do we begin ?  What are our priorities ?  What kind  of
marketing plan would work for us ? What "courses" will we offer ?
Will we make available short modules so that ":students" can learn
discreet skills that may not warrant an entire course ?  And so  forth.
 
In other words, how do we make use of all these fine things
we have been learning ?
 
Billy
 
 
=========================================================
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
3/14/2012 2:31:34 P.M. Pacific Daylight  Time, [email protected] 
writes:

 
 
Dang, someone beat me to it. :-)
E
The Higher Education Monopoly is Crumbling As We  Speak
 


    *   _ 
Kevin  Carey
_ 
(http://www.tnr.com/article/politics/101620/higher-education-accreditation-MIT-university#)
 
    *   March 13, 2012 | 12:00  am 
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@claychristensen at March 14, 2012 at  07:29AM
_http://t.co/KZmjDPAe_ (http://t.co/KZmjDPAe)   
____________________________________
  
 
In the last years of the nineteenth  century, Charles Dow created an index 
of 12 leading industrial companies.  Almost none of them exist today. While 
General Electric remains an industrial  giant, the U.S. Leather Company, 
American Cotton Oil, and others have long  since disappeared into bankruptcy or 
consolidation. Today, the Dow Jones  includes giant corporations that hadn’
t even been created when Ronald Reagan  first sat in the Oval Office. That 
transition is generally understood as the  natural consequence of innovation 
and competition in a changing  world. 
Four years after Dow invented his average,  a group of 14 leading research 
institutions created the Association of  American Universities. All of them 
exist today. While a few have faded from  prominence, most of the original 
members—including Harvard, Princeton,  Stanford, Berkeley, and Yale—are now, 
as they were then, the most sought-after  and well-regarded American 
universities. 
The historic stability of higher education  is remarkable. As former 
University of California President Clark Kerr once  observed, the 85 human 
institutions that have survived in recognizable form  for the last 500 years 
include the Catholic Church, a few Swiss cantons, the  Parliaments of Iceland 
and 
the Isle of Man, and about 70 universities. The  occasional small liberal 
arts school goes under, and many public universities  are suffering budget 
cuts, but as a rule, colleges are forever. 
I think that rule is going to change, and  soon. Many factors explain the 
endurance of higher education institutions—the  ascent of the knowledge 
economy, their crucial role in upper-middle class  acculturation, our peculiar 
national enthusiasm for college sports—but the  single greatest asset held by 
traditional colleges and universities is their  exclusive franchise for the 
production and sale of higher education  credentials. 
In the last few months, however, that  monopoly has begun to crumble. New 
organizations are being created to offer  new kinds of degrees, in a manner 
and at a price that could completely disrupt  the enduring college business 
model. The question is: Which colleges and  universities will be the G.E. of 
the twenty-first century, and which will be  as forgotten as U.S. Leather? 
THE FIRST SIGN came in mid-December, when  the trade publication 
InsideHigherEd _wrote about_ 
(http://www.insidehighered.com/news/2011/12/13/stanfords-open-courses-raise-questions-about-true-value-elite-education)
  a group of 
adjunct professors at Stanford  University who were offering their courses in 
Artificial Intelligence and  other computer science topics to anyone in the 
world, online, at no charge.  Tens of thousands of students had signed up. 
The availability of free Internet  courses itself wasn’t all that innovative—
MIT’s Open Courseware initiative is  a decade old and elite schools like 
Yale and Carnegie Mellon have followed  suit. The news was that the Stanford 
professors were letting students in their  global classroom sit for the 
midterm, at proctored sites around the world.  Those who did well on the A.I. 
test and a later final exam got a letter saying  so, signed by the professors, 
a pair of well-known roboticists from Silicon  Valley. 
A few days later, MIT made a major  announcement: The world-famous research 
university would be creating a new  non-profit organization called MITx. 
It, too, would be offering free online  courses, designed from the ground up 
to serve tens or even hundreds of  thousands of students worldwide. And it, 
too, would administer exams to  students who, if they passed, would receive a 
certificate saying so from  MITx. 
Then, in January, the online higher  education company Straighterline 
announced that, starting this year, its  students would be able to take skills 
and literacy tests developed by ETS, the  maker of the SAT, and from the 
non-profit Council for Aid to Education, whose  well-known Collegiate Learning 
Assessment of higher-order critical thinking  and communication skills is used 
by hundreds of colleges and universities.  Those who do well on the exams 
will get a certificate saying so. The following  week, the Stanford 
professors announced the creation of an independent  for-profit company called 
Udacity, backed by Silicon Valley venture capital,  that will offer the same 
computer science classes that proved so popular, and,  again, certificates to 
those who pass exams. 
What all of these new ventures have in  common is that they are outside of 
the existing system of college credits and  degrees. The traditional college 
degree monopoly has long been sustained by  three mutually-reinforcing 
factors. First, colleges are highly subsidized  through some combination of 
direct government funding, non-profit status, and  student financial aid. 
Second, only accredited colleges can receive government  subsidies and offer 
credits and credentials that are recognized by employers  and other colleges. 
The 
accreditation system, meanwhile, is controlled by  existing colleges 
themselves. Third, our society has made an enormous psychic  investment in the 
idea of traditional colleges. Most people don’t know how to  think about 
credentials any other way. 
Straighterline, Udacity, and MITx exist  outside of that system. They aren’
t accredited or subsidized. The value of  their credentials will rest on 
nothing other than the authority of the grantor  and the transparency of the 
process by which they were granted. That’s why  it’s highly unlikely that 
these credentials will be worth as much in the job  market as traditional 
degrees at first. But in that sense, they fit perfectly  with the classic 
theory 
of disruptive innovation. 
DEVELOPED BY Harvard business school  professor Clayton Christensen, the 
theory holds that there is a consistent  pattern across a wide range of 
industries where disruptive competitors start  by competing against 
non-consumption
—that is, by selling inferior goods to  people who aren’t served by 
existing producers. These are generally low-margin  businesses that existing 
industry leaders have little interest in serving  because they became industry 
leaders by selling the best, most profitable  products to the consumers who 
have the most money. But over time, the new  competitors get better and better 
at providing the product or service,  expanding into successively more 
profitable parts of the market, until finally  they displace the incumbents. 
Online colleges like to apply  Christensen’s theory to higher education. 
But the way they apply it is often  imprecise. The common analogy is between 
online courses and in-person courses.   While an online class might not be as 
good as sitting in a classroom being  taught in person by a learned 
scholar, the thinking goes, online courses are  cheaper and getting better all 
time 
and so will eventually disrupt the  providers of live instruction. 
But just as people are ultimately  interested in buying holes, not drills, 
higher education consumers aren’t  buying courses or degree programs. They’
re buying credentials. And  until now, nobody has developed an innovative 
low-cost alternative to  traditional higher education credentials. We’re still 
stuck with the handful  of crude, time-based degrees that have been in use 
for decades or more. The  vast majority of college students acquire an 
associate’s, bachelor’s, or  master’s degree, corresponding to two, four, or 
six 
years attending  school. 
College credentials are a fantastic  product to be selling in the 
twenty-first century. They’re pure intellectual  property with a very low 
marginal 
cost of production and becoming more  valuable all the time, as the economy 
continually reorganizes itself in a way  that values the possession of deep 
knowledge and complex cognitive skills.  They are universally recognized and 
never expire, golden keys to the parts of  the labor market most worth 
entering. 
Traditional colleges and universities  exploit their monopoly over this 
market by overcharging students in order to  generate revenue to support things 
that are important to them. Those things  include producing academic 
scholarship, fielding cash-hemorrhaging  professional sports teams, engaging in 
positional status competition with  rival colleges, and avoiding the difficult 
work of overhauling inefficient  administrative and organizational 
structures in which too many people get paid  too much money. Online for-profit 
colleges haven’t disrupted the industry  because while their business methods 
are different, their product—traditional  credentials in the form of a degree—
is not. 
That’s why the recent emergence of new  credentials is so significant. 
Companies like Udacity and Straighterline can  operate without government 
subsidies and regulatory protections because their  method of service delivery 
is 
phenomenally cheap at scale. The cost of serving  200 students isn’t that 
much less than serving 200,000. The predominant higher  education business 
model of the future may be one where the education itself  costs students 
nothing—the availability of free open educational resources is  constantly 
growing
—and students only pay small fees to cover the cost of  assessing their 
learning. 
The number of organizations offering  outside-the-system credentials will 
only grow. The free online Khan Academy  got tons of press coverage last year 
for Salman Khan’s charming instructional  videos. Millions of students have 
watched them. Khan Academy also offers  “badges” to students who pass 
certain milestones—“Artisan Arithmetrician,”  “Master of Trigonometry,” and 
the like. These are just another kind of  non-traditional educational 
credential. The Mozilla Foundation, funded by the  people who developed the 
Firefox 
web browser, are sponsoring a competition for  the creation of badge systems 
that will help students organize the credentials  they receive from 
different providers. 
The great unanswered question is when the  abundance and quality of new 
credentials will reach a critical mass of  acceptance among employers and 
society at large. Traditional degrees have the  great advantage of being simple 
and universally understood. The problem is  that they provide little 
information about what students actually know and are  becoming more expensive 
all 
the time. The catalyst will probably be when some  large, authoritative 
organization, like the government or a current member of  the Dow Jones 
Industrial Average, compares the skills and performance of  people with 
traditional 
degrees to those bearing certificates from Khan,  Udacity, and 
credential-granters yet to come. If the latter can get the job  done, they’ll 
hire 
accordingly, and then everything will start to  change. 
MIT seems like an early candidate for the  General Electric role, the 
university that not only outlasts its peers but  grows into a huge 
world-striding 
organization. Unlike Stanford, MIT is putting  its brand name behind the 
new credentials. It can afford to, because the world  will still need places 
where great researchers push the frontiers of human  knowledge and the best 
and the brightest come together to learn. There will  always be a market for 
boutique educational models that only the wealthy can  afford. But for 
hundreds of other colleges and universities that lack such  advantages or 
foresight, the future may not look anything like the  past. 
Kevin Carey works for Education  Sector, a think tank in Washington, D.C.
 
____________________________________
(via _Instapaper_ (http://www.instapaper.com/) )


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