Ernie :
I guess I  agree with the article. My problem is that there is relatively 
little there,  there.
Mostly generalities.  No dispute from  me about those generalities, but 
where
are there examples of what works   ?
 
Charter schools that can be pointed to ?
Selected parochial schools  ?
Private academies, at least in New England  / upscale California ?
 
Something to sink one's teeth into, in  other words.
 
Also, there are ways to be fairly certain  about the future.
Mostly this is to think about "structural  certainties"  --mentioned before
but as a refresher. Viz, we know who at  least 2/3rds of our Senators will 
be
in 2013 and into 2014. We may not know the  prime rate the Fed will
require for more than the next month or  two, in the present case until
the end of the year, or so they say, but  we can estimate changes
with some degree of assurance even if the  further out we go
the less certainty. And so forth.   Thus there are "boundaries"
to the near term future, even some that  extend out several
or many years, like the plausible rate of  new use for
alternative energy or, conversely, usage  rates for 
natural gas. Etc.
 
Waaaaay back in 1974 two of my articles  appeared in an anthology edited by 
Toffler
called  Learning  for  Tomorrow.   I must admit that I have not kept up  
with the field
but at the time there were a good number  of  experimental futures programs 
in schools
across the country, mostly college level  but some in secondary ed and even
a couple in grade school.  It might  be worthwhile to revisit the subject
and see what happened, what exists now,  and what new programs
are in the works. That is, the author of  the article seems to assume
that none of this exists or ever has  existed.
 
So, yes, I like the overall thrust of the  article, but there are some
limitations to the content.
 
 
Billy
 
 
=========================================
 
 
4/9/2012 2:11:23 P.M. Pacific Daylight  Time, [email protected] 
writes:

On education and public  policy... 
E 
why-system-dynamics.html
_http://turnock.blogspot.com/2012/04/why-system-dynamics.html?spref=tw_ 
(http://turnock.blogspot.com/2012/04/why-system-dynamics.html?spref=tw)  
  
____________________________________
 

 
All systems, everywhere have  levels and flows. These are the only two 
concepts needed to understand  why systems work the way they do (Forrester,  
1996).
We were taught in school to  accumulate knowledge and skills in order to 
get a job. We define learning as  the accumulation of knowledge. We test every 
child at every grade level to  measure their accumulated knowledge. We 
teach people how to do things so they  have a skill in order to get a job.
 
Public education teaches  people what is important to know. Students learn  
skills so that they know how to do things.   Students are tested on what 
they know and the skills for  how to use what they know. System  Dynamics (SD) 
enables us to understand why systems  work they way they do.
 
Public education involves a  way of thinking, learning and communicating 
that focuses on the past up to the  present. Science, math, reading and 
writing are all focused on knowledge  (what) and skills (how) that have been 
codified into a curriculum. In public  education students learn about the past 
up 
to the  present.
 
Life is moving fast. We need  a way to think, learn and communicate about 
the future.  The current  public school system does not meet that need.
 
Sustainability education and  environmental literacy are focused on 
students learning more and more about  how to do more things.  By conforming to 
the 
way the current public  education system focuses on what and  how, we are 
asking students to accumulate more and more  knowledge about the recent past. 
 We are asking students to accumulate  more and more skills about how 
things were done in  the recent past.
 
System dynamics is a tool to  think, learn and communicate about the 
future. (Richmond 2010)  With SD,  learning is about why systems work they way 
they  do.  What is needed to model a system is  accumulated just in time to use 
in a model.  The knowledge needed  about how the parts of a system are 
related is  accumulated just in time to use them in a model.  The understanding 
 
needed about why feedback loops in systems tell a  story is accumulated 
just in time to use them in a  model.
 
SD enables us to  understand why systems work they way they do.   
Politicians and decision makers need to know why  systems work the way they do 
so 
that they can craft policies that are  successful in the future. Policy makers 
need informed citizens who know  why systems work they way they  do.
 
Why do policymakers choose  policies that fail? A policy response is 
rational for decision makers who fail  to account for the feedback structure of 
a 
system. Only by considering the  full feedback structure is the 
ineffectiveness of a policy revealed. By  learning why feedback affects system 
behavior, 
small system dynamics models  have a crucial role to play in policy making. 
(Ghaffarzadegan,  2012)
 
Policy makers fall prey to  the “Pull my finger” joke.  They develop a 
policy that responds to  correlations, trends and events believing that they 
understand the cause like  when the finger pull and the sound are close 
together in space and time. The  irony of public policy making is that, without 
understanding system feedback,  what happened in the past will be made worse 
by a policy  response.
 
Without SD, public education  is teaching students to look to the past to 
make decisions about the  future.  The public school system is walking 
backwards into the  future. 
 
The public school system is  the primary obstacle to students using SD.  
The entrenched paradigms are  the foundation for education institutions that 
teach what  and how from K12 through university doctorate  programs.  
Educators and students are evaluated based on  what they know and how to use  
what 
they know.  SD enables us to understand why  systems work they way they do.
 
System dynamics is a tool to  think, learn and communicate in a new way so 
that educators engage student’s  mental models. When mental models rely on “
Pull my finger” thinking a person  is not going to understand feedback. To 
use SD requires a new way of thinking:  Think about levels and flows 
connected in feedback loops within a closed  boundary.
 
To use SD requires a new  definition of learning: Learning is improving the 
quality of our mental  models.(Richmond 2010) The current public school 
system does not attempt to  improve the quality of student’s mental  models. 
 
To use SD requires a new way  of communicating: Communicate about why your 
model  works using feedback loops.  This is where qualitative tools like 
causal  loop diagrams and behavior-over-time graphs are used and  useful.
 
Jay Forrester is the founder  of System Dynamics. He has said for many 
years that with the right guidance  “students must create their own models and 
learn from trial and error.” In  this way dynamic modeling is learning by 
doing. “I believe that immersion in  such active learning can change mental 
models.” (Forrester  2009)
 
Why System Dynamics? System  Dynamics enables us to understand why systems 
work  they way they do in order to prepare for the  future.
 
 
Bibliography
    1.  Forrester, Jay W. “System  Dynamics and K-12 Teachers.” Creative 
Learning Exchange. 30 May 1996. Web.  11 Feb. 2012. 
<_http://clexchange.org/ftp/documents/Roadmaps/RM1/D-4665-5.pdf_ 
(http://clexchange.org/ftp/documents/Roadmaps/RM1/D-4665-5.pdf) >.  
    2.  Ghaffarzadegan, Navid, John  Lyneis, and George P. Richardson. “Why 
and How Small System Dynamics Models  Can Help Policymakers: A Review of 
Two Public Policy Models.” System  Dynamics Society. Web. 10 Feb. 2012. 
<_http://www.systemdynamics.org/conferences/2009/proceed/papers/P1388.pdf_ 
(http://www.systemdynamics.org/conferences/2009/proceed/papers/P1388.pdf) >.  
    3.  Richmond, Barry.  “Introduction: The Thinking in Systems Thinking- 
Eight Critical Skills.” Ed.  Joy Richmond. Tracing Connections: Voices of 
Systems Thinkers. Lebanon, NH:  ISEE Systems, 2010. 3-21. Print.  
    4.  Forrester, Jay W. “Learning  through System Dynamics as Preparation 
for the 21st Century.” Creative  Learning Exchange. 2009. Web. 11 Feb. 
2012. 
<_http://clexchange.org/ftp/documents/whyk12sd/Y_2009-02LearningThroughSD.pdf_ 
(http://clexchange.org/ftp/documents/whyk12sd/Y_2009-02LearningThroughSD.pdf) 
>. 

  
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