The National Bureau of Economic Research
http://m.nber.org//papers/w16300

Who Creates Jobs? Small vs. Large vs. Young

Abstract

There’s been a long, sometimes heated, debate on the role of firm size in 
employment growth. Despite skepticism in the academic community, the notion 
that growth is negatively related to firm size remains appealing to 
policymakers and small business advocates. The widespread and repeated claim 
from this community is that most new jobs are created by small businesses. 
Using data from the Census Bureau Business Dynamics Statistics and Longitudinal 
Business Database, we explore the many issues regarding the role of firm size 
and growth that have been at the core of this ongoing debate (such as the role 
of regression to the mean). We find that the relationship between firm size and 
employment growth is sensitive to these issues. However, our main finding is 
that once we control for firm age there is no systematic relationship between 
firm size and growth. Our findings highlight the important role of business 
startups and young businesses in U.S. job creation. Business startups 
contribute substantially to both gross and net job creation. In addition, we 
find an “up or out” dynamic of young firms. These findings imply that it is 
critical to control for and understand the role of firm age in explaining U.S. 
job creation.

Acknowledgments

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