from the site : Business Insider Polls Are Collapsing For Obama All Over The Place After The Debate _Brett LoGiurato_ (http://www.businessinsider.com/author/brett-logiurato) |Oct. 6, 2012
Both national and swing-state polls are beginning to tighten in the presidential race between President Barack Obama and Republican challenger Mitt Romney. It's a signal that an expected Romney bump is starting to take shape _after his consensus win in the first presidential debate on Wednesday_ (http://www.businessinsider.com/romney-zingers-debate-obama-2012-10) . Polls that track both national and swing state voting have shown nothing but bad news for the president over the last couple of days. Here's a sampling of the national polls: * _Gallup_ (http://www.businessinsider.com/blackboard/gallup) : Romney is starting to close in on Obama, _trailing by only 3 points in the seven-day rolling average_ (http://www.businessinsider.com/obama-vs-romney-gallup-poll-oct-6-results-2012-10) . And that average only reflects two days of surveys post-debate, so the full effect won't be known until next Wednesday. * Rasmussen: Rasmussen has had wild swings and tends to be Republican-leaning this election, but _Romney holds a 2-point advantage here_ (http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/obama_administration/daily_ presidential_tracking_poll) . * Reuters/Ipsos: Here, _the race has tightened_ (http://www.reuters.com/article/2012/10/07/us-usa-campaign-obama-idUSBRE89509B20121007) from a 6-point Obama lead pre-debate to only a 2-point lead on Friday. But Saturday didn't provide any further bounce for Romney in the online survey. And in swing states: * Florida: Two polls — from Rasmussen and We Ask America — found Romney in the lead here on Friday by 2 and 3 points, respectively. Both polling firms tend to lean Republican. * Virginia: The same two firms — again, leaning Republican — found Romney with 1- and 3-point leads, respectively. * Colorado: After Obama slipped up in the debate at the University of Denver, he saw a big, 7-point swing in this state in a Gravis Marketing survey. Romney now leads 49-46, after trailing 50-46 pre-debate. * Wisconsin: This is the big one that should worry Obama. _The Democratic-leaning Public Policy Polling found_ (http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_WI_1006.pdf) that Obama's lead had tightened from 7 points in its last survey to just 2 points post-debate. The reason for that is almost exclusively debate-related — 61 percent of Wisconsin voters thought Romney won the debate, compared with just 25 percent who saw Obama winning. A potential silver lining for Obama: Most of these polls don't measure the potential bounce-back he could have received from good news on Friday — that the _7.8 percent unemployment rate is the lowest mark since he took office_ (http://www.businessinsider.com/obama-unemployment-rate-comments-jobs-report-non-farm-payrolls-2012-10) . -- Centroids: The Center of the Radical Centrist Community <[email protected]> Google Group: http://groups.google.com/group/RadicalCentrism Radical Centrism website and blog: http://RadicalCentrism.org
