Definitely looks more like a surge than a blip. A lot will hinge on how the 
second debate turns out...

E

FiveThirtyEight.com: Electoral Projections Done Right
Oct. 6: Romney Maintains Poll Momentum
Mitt Romney continues to show improved numbers in polls published since the 
first presidential debate and has now made clear gains in the FiveThirtyEight 
forecast.


http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/2012/10/06/oct-6-romney-maintains-poll-momentum/
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