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Scientific evidence that you probably don’t have free will
 
George  Dvorsky  


Humans have debated the issue of free will for millennia. But over the  
past several years, while the philosophers continue to argue about the  
metaphysical underpinnings of human choice, an increasing number of  
neuroscientists have started to tackle the issue head on — quite literally. And 
 some of 
them believe that their experiments reveal that our subjective  experience of 
freedom may be nothing more than an illusion. Here's why you  probably 
don't have free will.  
Indeed, historically speaking, philosophers have had plenty to say on the  
matter. Their ruminations have given rise to such considerations as 
cosmological  determinism (the notion that everything proceeds over the course 
of 
time in a  predictable way, making free will impossible), indeterminism (the 
idea that the  universe and our actions within it are random, also making 
free will  impossible), and cosmological libertarianism/compatibilism (the 
suggestion that  free will is logically compatible with deterministic views of 
the universe). 
Now, while these lines of inquiry are clearly important, one cannot help 
but  feel that they're also terribly unhelpful and inadequate. What the debate 
needs  is some actual science — something a bit more...testable. 
And indeed, this is starting to happen. As the early results of scientific  
brain experiments are showing, our minds appear to be making decisions  
before we're actually aware of them — and at times by a significant  degree. 
It's a disturbing observation that has led some neuroscientists to  conclude 
that we're less in control of our choices than we think — at least as  far as 
some basic movements and tasks are concerned. 
At the same time, however, not everyone is convinced. It may be a while  
before we can truly prove that free will is an illusion. 
Bereitschaftspotential
Neuroscientists first became aware that something curious was going on in 
the  brain back in the mid 1960s. 
German scientists _Hans  Helmut Kornhuber and Lüder Deecke discovered a 
phenomenon_ 
(http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1567424X09701588)  they 
dubbed "_bereitschaftspotential_ 
(http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/16876476) "  (BP) — a term that translates 
to "readiness potential." Their 
discovery, that  the brain enters into a special state immediately prior to 
conscious awareness,  set off an entirely new subfield.

 
After asking their subjects to move their fingers (what were self-initiated 
 movements), Kornhuber and Deecke's electroencephalogram (EEG) scans showed 
a  slow negative potential shift in the activity of the motor cortex just 
slightly  prior to the voluntary movement. They had no choice but to conclude 
that the  unconscious mind was initiating a freely voluntary act — a wholly 
unexpected and  counterintuitive observation.  
Needless to say it was a discovery that greatly upset the scientific  
community who, since the days of Freud, had (mostly) adopted a strictly  
deterministic view of human decision making. Most scientists casually ignored  
it. 
But subsequent experiments by Benjamin Libet in the 1980s reinforced the  
pioneering work of Kornhuber and Deecke. Similarly, Libet had his 
participants  move their fingers, but this time while watching a clock with a 
dot 
circling  around it. His data showed that the readiness potential started about 
0.35  seconds earlier than participants' reported conscious awareness. 
He concluded that _we  have no free will as far as the initiation of our 
movements are concerned_ 
(http://journals.cambridge.org/action/displayAbstract;jsessionid=84922D40CA4B0B979EC260B96667BC32.journals?fromPage=online&aid=671
1468) ,  but that we had a kind of cognitive "veto" to prevent the movement 
at the last  moment; we can't start it, but we can stop it. 
>From a neurological perspective, Libet and others attributed the effect to  
the SMA/pre-SMA and the anterior cingulate motor areas of the brain — an 
area  that allows us to focus on self-initiated actions and execute 
self-instigated  movements. 
Modern tools show the same thing
More recently, neuroscientists have used more advanced technologies to 
study  this phenomenon, namely fMRIs and implanted electrodes. But if anything, 
these  new experiments show the BP effect is even more pronounced than 
previously  thought.
 
For example, _a study by  John-Dylan Haynes in 2008_ 
(http://www.nature.com/neuro/journal/v11/n5/full/nn.2112.html)  showed a 
similar effect to the one 
revealed by  Libet. After putting participants into an fMRI scanner, he 
told them to press a  button with either their right or left index fingers at 
their leisure, but that  they had to remember the letter that was showing on 
the screen at the precise  moment they were committed to their movement.  
The results were shocking. Haynes's data showed that the BP occurred one  
entire second prior to conscious awareness — and at other times as much as  
ten seconds. Following the publication of his paper, _he told_ 
(http://www.nature.com/news/2011/110831/full/477023a.html)   Nature News: 
The first thought we had was 'we have to check if this is real.' We came up 
 with more sanity checks than I've ever seen in any other study  before.
The cognitive delay, he argued, was likely due to the operation of a 
network  of high-level control areas that were preparing for an upcoming 
decision 
long  before it entered into conscious awareness. Basically, the brain 
starts to  unconsciously churn in preparation of a decision, and once a set of 
conditions  are met, awareness kicks in, and the movement is made. 
In another study, neuroscientist Itzhak Fried put aside the fMRI scanner in 
 favor of digging directly into the brain (so to speak). To that end, he 
_implanted  electrodes into the brains of participants_ 
(http://www.cell.com/neuron/retrieve/pii/S0896627310010822)  in order to record 
the status of  
individual neurons — a procedure that gave him an incredibly precise sense of  
what was going on inside the brain as decisions were being made. 
His experiment showed that the neurons lit up with activity as much as 1.5  
seconds before the participant made a conscious decision to press a button. 
And  with about 700 milliseconds to go, Fried and his team could predict 
the timing  of decisions with nearly 80% accuracy. In some scenarios, he had 
as much as 90%  predictive accuracy. 
Different experiment, similar result. 
Fried surmised that volition arises after a change in internally generated  
fire rates of neuronal assemblies cross a threshold — and that the medial  
frontal cortex can signal these decisions before a person is aware of them. 
"At some point, things that are predetermined are admitted into  
consciousness," he _told_ 
(http://www.nature.com/news/2011/110831/full/477023a.html)   
Nature, suggesting that the conscious will might be added on to a  decision 
at a later stage. 
And in yet another study, this one by Stefan Bode, _his  detailed fMRI 
experiments_ 
(http://www.plosone.org/article/info:doi/10.1371/journal.pone.0021612)  showed 
that it was possible to actually decode the  outcome of free 
decisions for several seconds prior to it reaching conscious  awareness. 
Specifically, he discovered that activity patterns in the anterior  
frontopolar cortex (BA 10) were temporally the first to carry information  
related 
to decision-making, thus making it a prime candidate region for the  
unconscious generation of free decisions. His study put much of the  concern 
about 
the integrity of previous experiments to rest. 
The critics
But not everyone agrees with the conclusions of these findings. Free will,  
the skeptics argue, is far from debunked.
 
 
Back in 2010, _W. R. Klemm  published an analysis_ 
(http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC2942748/)  in which he complained 
about the ways in 
which the  data was being interpreted, and what he saw as grossly 
oversimplified  experimentation.  
Others have _criticized  the timing judgements_ 
(http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/17214565) , arguing about the short 
timeframes between action and  
movement, and how attention to aspects of timing were likely creating  
distortions in the data. 
It's also possible that the brain regions being studied, namely the  
pre-SMA/SMA and the anterior cingulate motor areas of the brain, _may only be  
responsible for the late stages of motor planning_ 
(http://www.sciencemag.org/content/318/5850/594.abstract) ; it's conceivable 
that  other higher brain 
systems might be better candidates for exerting will. 
Also, test subjects — because of the way the experiments were set up — may 
 have been influenced by other "choice-predictive" signals; the researchers 
may  have been measuring brain activity not directly related to the 
experiment  itself. 
The jury, it would appear, is still out on the question of free will. While 
 the neuroscientists are clearly revealing some important insights into 
human  thinking and decision making, more work needs to be done to make it more 
 convincing. 
What would really settle the issue would be the ability for neuroscientists 
 to predict the actual outcome of more complex decisions prior to the 
subject  being aware of it themselves. That would, in a very true sense, prove 
that free  will is indeed an illusion. 
Furthermore, neuroscientists also need to delineate between different types 
 of decision-making. Not all decisions are the same; moving a finger or 
pressing  a button is very different than contemplating the meaning of life, or 
preparing  the words for a big speech. Given the limited nature of the 
experiments to date  (which are focused on volitional physical movements), this 
would certainly  represent a fruitful area for inquiry. 
Blurring science, philosophy, and morality
Moreover, there's also the whole issue of how we're supposed to reconcile  
these findings with our day-to-day lives. Assuming we don't have free will, 
what  does that say about the human condition? And what about taking 
responsibility  for our actions? 
Daniel Dennett has recently tried to rescue free will from the dustbin of  
history, saying that there's still some elbow room for human agency — and 
that  these are still scientific questions. Dennett, acknowledging that free 
will in  the classic sense is largely impossible, has attempted to reframe 
the issue in  such a way that free will can still be shown to exist, albeit 
under certain  circumstances. He _writes_ 
(http://edge.org/conversation/normal-well-tempered-mind) :
 
 
There's still a lot of naïve thinking by scientists about free will. I've  
been talking about it quite a lot, and I do my best to undo some bad 
thinking by  various scientists. I've had some modest success, but there's a 
lot 
more that  has to be done on that front. I think it's very attractive to 
scientists to  think that here's this several-millennia-old philosophical idea, 
free will, and  they can just hit it out of the ballpark, which I'm sure 
would be nice if it was  true. 
It's just not true. I think they're well intentioned. They're trying to  
clarify, but they're really missing a lot of important points. I want a  
naturalistic theory of human beings and free will and moral responsibility as  
much as anybody there, but I think you've got to think through the issues a 
lot  better than they've done, and this, happily, shows that there's some real 
work  for philosophers. 
Dennett, who is mostly responding to _Sam Harris_ 
(http://www.samharris.org/blog/item/life-without-free-will) ,  has come under 
criticism from people 
who complain that he's being  epistemological rather than scientific.
 
Indeed, Sam Harris _has  made a compelling case that we don't have it, but 
that it's not a problem.  Moreover, he argues that the ongoing belief in 
free will needs to come to an  end_ 
(http://www.amazon.com/gp/product/1451683405?ie=UTF8&tag=io9amzn-20&linkCode=xm2&camp=1789&creativeASIN=1451683405)
 :  
A person's conscious thoughts, intentions, and efforts at every moment are  
preceded by causes of which he is unaware. What is more, they are preceded 
by  deep causes — genes, childhood experience, etc. — for which no one, 
however  evil, can be held responsible. Our ignorance of both sets of facts 
gives rise  to moral illusions. And yet many people worry that it is necessary 
to believe  in free will, especially in the process of raising children.
Harris doesn't believe that the illusoriness of free will is an "ugly 
truth,"  nor something that will forever be relegated to philosophical 
abstractions. This  is science, he says, and it's something we need to come to 
grips 
with.  "Recognizing that my conscious mind is always downstream from the 
underlying  causes of my thoughts, intentions, and actions does not change the 
fact that  thoughts, intentions, and actions of all kinds are necessary for 
living a happy  life — or an unhappy one, for that matter," he writes. 
But as Dennett correctly points out, this is an issue that's far from being 
 an open-and-shut case. Advocates of the "free will as illusion" 
perspective are  still going to have to improve upon their experimental 
methods, while 
also  addressing the work of philosophers, evolutionary biologists — and 
even quantum  physicists. 
Why, for example, did humans evolve consciousness instead of zombie-brains 
if  consciousness is not a channel for exerting free will? And given the 
nature of  quantum indeterminacy, what does it mean to live in a universe of 
fuzzy  probability? 
There's clearly lots of work that still needs to be  done.

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