Juicy Ecumenism
 
 
The Coming Collapse of the PC (USA)

 
By: IRD Staff
July 24, 2013
 
 
 
The Presbyterian Church (USA) recently released the findings of its  “
Religious and Demographic Profile of Presbyterians 2011” (the report). More  
than 
6,000 clergy and members of the PC (USA) were asked to participate in the  
study for a three-year period. The goal was to sketch a broad landscape of 
the  denomination in demographic and theological terms. The report is 
available _here_ (http://www
.pcusa.org/media/uploads/research/pdfs/presbyterian_panel_survey_fall_2011_religious_and_demographic_profile_of_presbyterians.pdf)
  
 in its entirety. In many respects the report is grim reading. In fact, it 
points  to the coming collapse of the PC (USA)—demographic and theological 
realities  will force the denomination to accept a new, diminished future. 
The report reveals, perhaps unsurprisingly, that the PC (USA) is old  and 
white. 94% of the randomly selected members reported their race as “white or  
Caucasian,” as did the randomly selected Ruling Elders. Of clergy, 91% of  
pastors and 89% of specialized ministers (chaplains, professors, etc) 
reported  their race as white. For all categories of respondent, more than 90% 
were born  U.S. citizens. The study notes, most alarmingly, that the 
racial-ethnic makeup  of the denomination has remained virtually unchanged in 
the last 
forty years.  This discontinuity makes the future of the denomination 
untenable since it has  not reached either immigrant communities or people of 
color in any meaningful  way. While there are flickers of light in the 1001 New 
Worshipping Communities  initiative, it seems to be rather too late for 
this to significantly offset  coming losses. 
The denomination also continues to age. The median age of members  rose 
from 60 to 63 between 2008 and 2011. That means that if you were to list  the 
ages of each of the member respondents, half of them would be older than 63  
and half younger. The number is similar—62—for ruling elders. The report 
also  indicates that almost 50% of church members are not employed, while only 
7% of  members report being “full-time homemakers.” Could it be that 
almost half of our  church members are retired? Perhaps the PC (USA) should be 
called the AARP at  prayer? 
Pastor median age is 55 whereas for specialized ministers it is 57.  As a 
point of comparison, the median age of the United States (as reported by  the 
U.S. Census Bureau) is 36.8, a significant difference. If we isolate for  
race and report only non-Hispanic whites, the median age is still only 42.3. 
This does not bode well for the future. Over the last forty years,  the 
make up of our nation has changed considerably. That this change is all but  
absent in the profile of the PC (USA) suggests that it has been unable to  
effectively carry out the very essence of its stated mission—bearing witness to 
 the kingdom of God in there here and now—which includes both ethnic and 
age  diversity under the gospel. 
What does the report show us about the devotional practices of  members and 
clergy of the PC (USA)? 80% of pastors reported praying privately  “
daily/almost daily.” For members the number was less, 56%. It is, of course,  
difficult to discover a cause for this lack of attention to prayer. I’m sure  
there are numerous reasons, but it is alarming to think that one of the chief  
means of grace is so absent in the life of church members and even clergy. 
The church is also not attending well to Scripture. Only 39% of  members 
report reading the Bible weekly. For ruling elders the number is  higher—49%. 
This is a serious problem. Where professed Christians are failing in  the 
practice of prayer and of reading the Scripture, we can be sure that a sense  
of “cheap grace” will also be present. Scripture and prayer—both 
individually  and corporately—shape us to follow Christ. Where they are absent, 
or 
unattended  to, other voices and influences will exert power to form us. 
This reality may contribute to the fact that 46% of members agree  with the 
statement, “An individual should arrive at his or her own religious  belief 
independent of any church.” At play here is an autonomous individualism  
that cheapens the value of community in the formation of Christians. It’s  
promising, however, that 76% of pastors disagreed with this statement although  
that number really ought to be higher. 
In terms of giving insight into the current battles raging within the  PC 
(USA) and the exodus of evangelical churches, the report is quite helpful.  
Consider the following statement: “only followers of Jesus Christ can be 
saved.”  Among pastors, 45% disagreed or strongly disagreed. 41% agreed or 
strongly  agreed. Among our clergy, there is a clearly demonstrable variance 
about a  fundamental tenet of Christian belief that is central to the mission 
of 
the  church—the proclamation of the Gospel. 
Again, in terms of theological self-identification the report  helpfully 
shows that pastors are split on how they identify themselves. 33%  report that 
they are “very conservative or conservative” theologically. 33%  report 
that they are moderate. 34% report that they are “very liberal or  liberal.” 
That clergy leaders of the church express such fundamental  disagreement 
suggests that the future of the PC (USA) as a single denomination  is 
untenable. These beliefs are irreconcilable, which suggests that the best way  
forward is amicable separation or perhaps some degree of negotiated toleration  
of 
evangelical belief and practice in certain PC (USA) congregations. 
Such divisions often come to light while discussing the nature of  marriage 
and the increased support for same sex marriage in parts of the  country. 
Incidentally, the PC (USA) is smallest in states that have approved  same sex 
marriage. It is largest in the south, where states have repeatedly  
defended traditional marriage. Interestingly, church members are less  
enthusiastic 
about the potential of same sex marriages in the church.  Respondents were 
asked whether they favored the PC (USA) permitting pastors to  officiate at 
such services where provided for by state law. Only 30% of members  and 33% 
of ruling elders favored this. Only 44% of pastors favored it, and 56%  of 
specialized ministers favored it. 
The narrative around the church’s discussions of same sex marriage  has 
painted it as something supported by most and almost inevitable. This  
contention is demonstrably false. More likely is a mixture of ambivalence,  
ambiguity, and uncertainty in most that—when mixed with a healthy dose of  
culture’
s laissez-fare mentality—produces the absence of any firm  conviction or 
resolve to doctrinal purity. 
God alone knows the future. Yet, in looking at the numbers there is  much 
that ought to concern us about the future of the PC (USA). It is hard to  
imagine a future that does not include a significant diminishing of the 
cultural  influence of the denomination. This influence has steadily been 
diminishing over  the last forty years. 
What is different about the future as forecasted by extrapolating the data 
in  the study is that it is no long clear that the denomination can exist in 
any  form resembling the PC (USA) we have known till now. In fact, it is 
likely that  tomorrow’s PC (USA) will be a fraction of its present size. It’s 
financial  resources will be stretched the breaking point. Young clergy 
will suffer as the  Board of Pensions is forced to materially alter the terms 
of their retirement  and insurance packages. As older clergy retire it cannot 
be taken for granted  that paid clergy will fill those vacant pulpits. Yet, 
the denomination seems to  be incapable of taking the drastic steps 
required to alter this possible future.  In the end, this is a failure both of 
theological integrity and of  organizational leadership.
 
 
==============================================
 
 
Selected Reader Comments
 
 
As the line forms for the exit to the ECO and EPC denominations, one 
wonders  how long before what is left of the PCUSA seeks merger with the 
denomination  that has tread this path already, the United Church of Christ?
 
---------------------------------------
 
As a communicant in another shrinking denomination, the Episcopal Church, I 
 see that we are ahead of the point of no return. With the formation of the 
 Anglican Church of North America, traditionalists as myself have someplace 
to  go. BUT, I am not letting modernists tell me I am wrong and that they 
have the  market on truth. One of the reasons that this is happening all 
across the  Mainline’s is simple. Complacency. It’s the “My church is OK. It’s 
the crazies  on the other side of town or the national church. My church is 
fine.” Only it is  not. Until we who stay in our denominations get over the 
complacency, then this  is the fate that awaits.
 
---------------------------------------------
 
The idea that “only followers of Jesus Christ can be saved.” is not a core 
 Christian teaching. Was Moses really a follower of Jesus? What the Church  
teaches is that no-one can be saved except through Christ. He taught that 
we  might well be surprised by those he chooses as his own. I would expect 
the bulk  of these to be followers of Christ, but the choice is Christ’s and 
not ours. 

The insinuation that strongly disagreeing with the statement means that  
you have strayed from orthodox thinking implies a narrow form of 
fundamentalism  at odds with the historic church, and the teaching of Jesus.
 
---------------------------------------------------
 
No prayer…no scripture reading…no denomination…and more sadly…no 
salvation.  But…homosexual pastors. The death of a great denomination by it’s 
own  
hand.
 
----------------------------------------------------
 
94% of the randomly selected members reported their race as “white or  
Caucasian,” 
I’m not sure this statistic bears any significance. I suspect that if you  
surveyed the AME churches you’d find that 99.9% of their members are black. 
Does  that mean they are collapsing? Protestant churches of any race or 
ethnicity seem  to be more segregated than society as a whole. 
As a Catholic in SE Texas where there’s a lot of cultural influence from  
black Louisiana and Latin America, I find the segregation in protestant 
churches  peculiar, but I think you may be reading too much into the race angle.
 
-----------------------------------------------------
 
 
“Yet, the denomination seems to be incapable of taking the drastic steps  
required to alter this possible future” 
Such as what? The fact that he makes it sound as if there are clear answers 
 that people might agree on without suggesting what they may be is 
disingenuous.  The sad fact is Protestants made the decision 500 years ago that 
they 
could  decide completely on their own what constitutes Christian truth. 
Once you’ve  made that decision, I’m not sure how you can survive in a culture 
that has  largely rejected Christianity. There really is nothing to prevent 
Protestants  from over time again “changing” Christian truth.
 
-------------------------------------------------------
 
 
If you protestants keep splitting up you will eventually arrive at a “
church  of one” for each of you.
 
-------------------------------------------------
 
“Can only followers of Christ be saved?” is a poorly worded question. Is 
the  man (David) who wrote the words “The Lord is my shepherd…” not saved? 
How about  Abraham and Sarah, Isaac, Isaiah, Daniel, and all of the people of 
God we read  about in the Old Testament? How is a miscarried or stillborn 
child ever a  follower of Christ? Are they thus not saved? I have sat in 
hospital rooms with  parents and grandparents after stillbirths and 
miscarriages. I know what I said  to them. What did you say to the people you 
ministered 
to in those  situations?
 
------------------------
 
Sad to see acceptance embracing and promotion of sin so rampant in the  
ecclesiastical communities. Priests and pastors simply are not preaching on the 
 reality of sin and Hell, a sin of omission. Salvation is through Jesus 
Christ  alone; but that does not limit the merits of Jesus’ sacrifice and 
Resurrection  only to those coming after Him in history. God is not bound by 
time. Jesus  opened the gates of Heaven and “led a host of captives” Eph 4:8-10 
which might  have included the souls of the righteous like Abraham, Moses 
and David.  Revelation says the abode of the dead (Sheol or Hades) will be 
destroyed leaving  only two ultimate destinations: Heaven or Hell. Let Jesus 
Christ reign – Jesus I  trust in 
 
---------------------
 
“An individual should arrive at his or her own religious belief independent 
 of any church.”  
This seems inevitable given the differences shown within the clergy as  
evidenced by the statistics in the article. Personally, I struggle to  
participate in our own church’s organized activities as I see more and more of  
the 
clergy’s leadership working hard to push our church more and more towards  
its own liberal leanings. It’s very disturbing personally. 
The PCUSA has lost the feel for its members, most of whom belong to the  
larger denomination solely because of the individual’s local church community. 
 And, yet, the church leadership continues to pursue its own initiatives  
regardless of the individual churches. One can tout the democratic process  
within the GA but I struggle to see where individual congregations are 
properly  represented.  
The membership is much like the US voting population in that ambivalence,  
which has been creeping, is now becoming much more pervasive. At the 
political  level, the deck is so stacked against challengers. It makes it so 
difficult for  the voters to have an actual voice.  
It’s much the same in the PCUSA with movements in directions that many in  
within the membership would disagree but feel helpless to address. They 
remain  at the church, not because of a feeling of connectivity with others 
within our  denomination (as the ministers seem to profess). Rather, they 
remain 
because of  the local relationships and the connectivity that exists at 
that level. Most  would be offended if they were aware of the various issues 
with which the larger  church is involved. I suspect, too, that they remain as 
they are aware of  problems within other churches/denominations.  
It’s a shame to sit here on a Saturday evening and discuss whether we are  
going to church tomorrow not because of other pressing plans but because 
growing  ambivalence and apathy. It’s no wonder that more and more individuals 
are  stating that they are pursuing their own personal avenues. It would 
appear to be  logical avenue for those who struggle with their own beliefs and 
have  diminishing faith in the leadership to represent them.
 
-------------------------
 
A rough paraphrase of this article might be “Our religion is not really  
important to us, come join us.” 
Not hard to understand why that message doesn’t  resonate.

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