The Guaridan
 
Ukip's success is no false dawn – it's time to  stop sneering
The local  election results show that Nigel Farage's party is a force to be 
reckoned with,  and the two-party system in crisis

 
John Harris
May 23, 2014
 
 
 
Over the past week or so –  in the wake of _Nigel  Farage's supposedly 
disastrous LBC interview_ 
(http://www.newstatesman.com/staggers/2014/05/what-racism-nigel-farage-s-disastrous-interview-lbc)
  and as _politicians  and 
pundits queued up to accuse his party of being racist_ 
(http://www.theguardian.com/politics/2014/may/19/nigel-farage-racist-yvette-cooper-david-lammy)
  – 
something  interesting began to emerge. It was almost as unpleasant as some of 
the views of  the Ukip leader and the out-there candidates who were 
crash-landing in the news  – a collective outbreak of sneering, which started 
to 
transcend the party itself  and blur into a generalised mockery of anyone 
minded to support it. You could  see it most clearly in the rash of 
satirical(ish) _#WhyImVotingUkip  tweets_ 
(https://twitter.com/hashtag/WhyImVotingUkip?src=hash)  that are piling up even 
now (eg "Because our true British maypoles  
are set to be completely replaced by foreign gay Poles within 5 years" or  
"Because I'm uneducated,uncultured, white and old") and it's not pretty: an  
apparent belief that to vote UKIP is to be an idiot of some description, 
either  bigoted or duped, and worthy of little more than contempt. 
If you remain of that  opinion, you should stop reading and go somewhere 
else. As the _local  election results come in and Ukip's numbers continue to 
look remarkable_ 
(http://www.theguardian.com/politics/blog/2014/may/23/local-election-results-live)
 , the  rest of us should maybe pause for thought and 
realise that something rather  sobering is afoot, _as  happened in the 2012 
county council elections_ 
(http://www.theguardian.com/politics/2012/may/04/ukip-farage-local-election-results)
 , only more so. If a party is  _averaging 
 47% of the vote in a Labour stronghold_ 
(http://www.theguardian.com/politics/blog/2014/may/22/local-election-results-2014-live)
  such as Rotherham, 
_toppling Tories from their  perches in crucial Conservative territory_ 
(http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-27533313)  and apparently heading 
towards  
first place in the European contest, something important is obviously afoot. 
 Moreover, if people are supporting Ukip in such large numbers – even after 
the  media's massed guns have been rattling at it for weeks – it is 
probably time to  drop all the sneering and think about why. 
So far, neither side of politics has even the beginnings of an adequate  
response. Listening to senior Conservatives this morning (Michael Gove on BBC  
Breakfast was a good example), you would think they simply need to further 
turn  the screw on welfare and immigration and everything will be OK. 
Equally, when  the left pipes up about Ukip voters' worries being reducible to 
either the "cost  of living crisis" or a tangle of concerns around job markets 
and public  services, they get nowhere near the whole story. 
The truth is that the Ukip surge is built around a multitude of factors 
that  wrong-foot both left and right. And on my side of politics, the most 
difficult  stuff to process is about things from which the left tends to avert 
its eyes:  notions of identity and belonging, anxiety about accelerated 
change and the fact  that that leftie hooray-word "community" can actually have 
chewy connotations.  Crudely put, when you meet a Labour-Ukip switcher who 
expresses worries about  immigration, you can't simply reduce what they say to 
falling wages and the lack  of social housing. 
Immigration and people's responses to it are complex beyond words: they 
test  just about every article of faith across the political spectrum. 
I am writing this piece in  _Great  Yarmouth, where the borough council 
count has yet to start_ 
(http://www.theguardian.com/politics/2014/mar/24/ukip-little-england-east-anglia-lincolnshire-elections)
 , but a few hours  spent 
talking to people outside polling stations underlined all those themes,  and 
more. What was most telling, though, was the fact that so many people were  
engaged with what was happening and under precious few illusions. Given that 
 Ukip is a non-story in London, the metropolitan media will presumably 
continue  to misunderstand it and patronise its voters, but one misapprehension 
needs to  be corrected, and fast: Ukip voters do not form some blind 
personality cult and  neither are they unaware of the often unpleasant views of 
the 
party's people.  Mention Farage and you hear things such as, "I don't trust 
him either". Yet  again, "complicated" doesn't even begin to describe it. 
This is not some bolt from the blue. The two – no, three – party system is 
in  deep crisis. It looks like there is no way back to the world where 
either Labour  or the Tories compete to break through the magic 40% barrier and 
all is largely  well. The Liberal Democrats look to have had it. Meanwhile, 
Scotland is  threatening to pull away from the UK and the result of next 
year's general  election, let alone what will happen in its aftermath, is 
anyone's guess. 
In my hotel room – at a ring-road Travelodge, in case anyone was wondering –
  a succession of Westminster faces are blathering on the television and I 
have  just received a text message from an activist friend in response to 
one I sent  which read, "I love the smell of toast in the morning". He wrote: 
"We can all  smell the coffee. Ed, Cameron et al refuse to act because it's 
all about them.  How long can it last?"

-- 
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Centroids: The Center of the Radical Centrist Community 
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