NYT
 
 
The Courts and the Changing Culture  War
 
Ross Douthat
 

June 30, 2014

 
 
For a generation or more, the  lines of debate around religious liberty and 
religion in the public square were  relatively clear. As with other culture 
war issues, religious conservatives  tended to be majoritarians and small-d 
democrats, supporting the rights of  legislatures and town councils and 
school boards to make decisions about issues  ranging from creches on greens to 
school prayer to _the disbursement of  education dollars to religious 
schools_ (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lemon_v._Kurtzman)  without interference 
from the  judicial branch. And there was an assumption among many observers — 
and not  only _on the  religious right_ 
(http://www.goodreads.com/book/show/427914.The_Culture_of_Disbelief)  — that on 
matters related to believers’ 
involvement in  civic life, the courts were a kind of vanguard force for 
secularism, whose  efforts would tend to collide with public sentiment and lead 
to conflict with  the democratic branches of government. 
The reality was always a little  _more complicated_ 
(http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wisconsin_v._Yoder)   than this, but the basic 
binary of secular 
jurists versus religion-friendly  legislators had a lot of explanatory power. 
Now, though, it pretty clearly no  longer obtains: Today’s decision in 
_Burwell v.  Hobby Lobby_ 
(http://www.supremecourt.gov/opinions/13pdf/13-354_olp1.pdf) , in which the 
Supreme Court ruled 5-4 that the Obama White  House’s 
mandate requiring employers to pay for the morning-after pill,  sterilization 
and contraception unduly burdened the religious liberty of Hobby  Lobby’s 
Christian owners, is the latest evidence that we inhabit a very  different 
political and jurisprudential landscape on these issues than we did  from the 
1960s (or 1940s, even) through the 1990s. 
On other culture-war fronts —  same-sex marriage, most notably — the old 
dynamic still sort  of shows up, with judges repeatedly overturning 
democratically-enacted  (though, in many cases, no longer majority-supported) 
laws 
that religious  conservatives tended to support. But on religious liberty, the 
old order is  increasingly reversed, with conservative believers looking to 
the courts rather  than the vox populi for protection against moves made by 
the elected branches,  and especially the current national executive. 
In  this shift, we can see the legacy of conservatism’s political success 
in the  1980s and 1990s, which changed the ideological composition of the 
judicial  branch, intersecting both with recent _leftward_ 
(http://www.gallup.com/poll/162689/record-high-say-gay-lesbian-relations-morally.aspx)
   and 
_secular-ward_ 
(http://www.npr.org/blogs/thetwo-way/2013/01/14/169164840/losing-our-religion-the-growth-of-the-nones)
  trends  in public opinion and with 
the _even  sharper shift among liberal partisans_ 
(http://www.nationalreview.com/article/372984/cross-purposes-ramesh-ponnuru)  
on issues where there 
used to be  a limited consensus. And the overall change has really come into 
focus in the  last few years. Across a range of recent decisions, from _the  
2012 Hosanna-Tabor case_ 
(http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hosanna-Tabor_Evangelical_Lutheran_Church_and_School_v._Equal_Employment_Opportunity_Commission)
  
through the recent town prayer and  abortion-clinic buffer zone (not 
technically a religious-liberty case, but in  the same ballpark) rulings and 
now in 
today’s Hobby Lobby judgment, the high  court has consistently delivered 
religious conservatives something like the  verdict they were seeking. In some 
of those decisions, it has taken what’s  most likely a countermajoritarian 
position (I’m cautious _about  the polling_ 
(http://www.reuters.com/article/2014/06/29/us-usa-court-contraceptives-idUSKBN0F408B20140629)
  in today’s 
case, since the framing of the question matters  so much, but at the very 
least there’s no reason to think that public opinion  was squarely on Hobby 
Lobby
’s side); in others, most notably Hosanna-Tabor, it  has swatted down 
arguments from a liberal White House that even the more liberal  justices found 
too restrictive of religious liberty. In almost all of them,  whether 
unanimously or narrowly, it’s endorsed a more expansive view of  religious 
liberty 
than the view preferred by many on the left. 
As always with the contemporary  court, the persistence of this pattern 
depends in part on the choices of Anthony  Kennedy. His concurrence in today’s 
decision held open the possibility that he  might rule for the Obama 
administration in the other  contraceptive-mandate debate (over the alleged 
accommodation the White House is  providing to religious non-profits), and in 
the 
most recent case where religious  liberty collided with gay rights he 
provided _the  fifth vote for the liberal side_ 
(http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Christian_Legal_Society_v._Martinez) . And then 
it depends, of course, on  
presidential politics: Two terms of President Hillary Clinton would no doubt  
leave the landscape dramatically altered on these issues (as well as many  
others). 
But right now, at least, the old  culture-war categories have been shaken 
up, and the Supreme Court,  instead of being religious conservatives’ worst 
enemy, suddenly looms in at  least some cases as their last best hope.

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