Vox
 
Bernie Sanders vs. the billionaires  
 
 
 
 
 
 
Why Vermont’s socialist senator may run for  president
by _Andrew Prokop_ (http://www.vox.com/authors/andrew-prokop)  on October 1
4, 2014 


 
 
On a recent Sunday morning in Waterloo, Iowa, about 150  people filed into 
the local arts center to hear a speech by the United States'  only socialist 
senator. Vermont's Bernie Sanders, white-haired and 73 years old,  spoke 
for about an hour in his gravel-voiced, thick Brooklyn accent. His views  are, 
he said, "a little different than most views." Sanders denounced the  power 
of the wealthy, advocated for single-payer health care and the public  
funding of elections — and called for a "political revolution" in  America. 
The crowd of mostly-elderly, liberal Iowans seemed to like the senator's  
pitch. When Sanders said the top 25 hedge fund managers last year made more  
money than 425,000 public school teachers, many gasped. When he said Wall 
Street  bankers were "too big to jail," many clapped. And when he opened the 
floor for  questions, one from a younger audience member, Rachel Antonuccio, 
led to  particularly loud cheers. "I have a very simple question," she said 
to Sanders.  "Will you please run for president?"


Once Sanders quieted the applause, he didn't give the standard politician's 
 coy non-response. He admitted that he's "given thought to" running, saying 
 he was motivated by the "enormous problems" the US faces — but he then 
quickly  veered into his misgivings.


"I'm not much into hero-worship and all this stuff," he said. "If somebody  
like me — or me — became president, there is no chance in the world that  
anything significant could be accomplished without the active, unprecedented 
 support of millions of people, who would be prepared to make a commitment —
 the  likes of which we have not made!"


"60 percent of the American people are not likely to vote in  the coming 
election. You think you can bring around change with that  dynamic?"  
Sanders argued that his positions — critical of the wealthy and corporate  
power, supportive of campaign finance reform, skeptical of trade 
deregulation  and cutting social services — had the support of most Americans. 
But, he  
said, more than half of the public remained politically apathetic. "60 
percent  of the American people are not likely to vote in the coming election," 
he said.  "You think you can bring around change with that dynamic? You can 
have the best  human being in the world in the White House fighting all the 
right fights, and  he or she will fail."


The question, he said, was whether those average Americans would join the  
political process — because, if they didn't, the power of billionaires and  
corporate interests would never be checked. He asked, "Will those people 
stand  up and fight?" When someone in the audience yelled out, "Yes," Sanders 
cut him  off. "It's easy to say that they will!" He raised his voice further: 
"But I know  that I don't wanna be in the White House taking on the Koch 
brothers, who'll be  running ads 24 hours a day, 7 days a week, trying to 
destroy me and my family  and everything else that we believe in, and not have 
people getting involved.  And I don't know whether that can happen." He wound 
down: "That's what I'm  trying to figure out."


As Hillary Clinton prepares for another presidential run, most observers  
believe that she's nearly certain to win the Democratic nomination. Yet over 
the  past several months, progressive activists have grown increasingly 
unsettled by  her positions on both economic and foreign policy issues. She 
generally takes a  conciliatory, rather than confrontational, tone toward the 
rich — which is  perhaps not surprising, since she's accepted _millions in 
speaking fees_ 
(http://www.motherjones.com/politics/2014/05/hillary-clinton-goldman-sachs-private-equity-white-house-2016)
  and donations from corporations 
 and banks, for both herself and her family's foundation. Like Obama, 
Clinton  wants to win support from, and work closely with, many of the 
wealthiest 
people  in the country.


Bernie Sanders offers a very different approach. Though he's never been a  
member of the Democratic Party, he's considering challenging Clinton for the 
 Democratic presidential nomination. He believes the central issue in 
America  today is that the nation is drifting toward oligarchy. To stop this, 
he 
hopes to  mobilize the American public — including traditionally Republican 
constituencies  like elderly, rural, and white voters — to back an explicit, 
full-on challenge  to the power of billionaires and corporate interests. 
With _Thomas Piketty's book_ 
(http://www.vox.com/2014/4/24/5643780/who-is-thomas-piketty)  becoming a 
bestseller, and  politicians like Elizabeth Warren 
and Bill de Blasio winning enthusiastic  support for campaigning on 
inequality, could the Democratic electorate be ready  for Bernie Sanders' pitch?
The socialist senator
The word "socialist" is generally considered an epithet in the US,  
suggesting support for excessive government power or even Communist-style  
dictatorial abuse. But it's a term Sanders embraces. A portrait of Eugene Debs, 
 
labor organizer and five-time Socialist Party candidate for president, hangs on 
 a wall of Sanders' Senate office in Washington, DC. Back in the late 
1970s,  Sanders created educational filmstrips for schools, and wrote and 
narrated _one about Debs_ 
(http://www.folkways.si.edu/bernard-sanders/eugene-v-debs-trade-unionist-socialist-revolutionary-1855-1926/oral-history-biography/albu
m/smithsonian) , in which he called him "a socialist, a  revolutionary, and 
probably the most effective and popular leader that  the American working 
class has ever had." Sanders _told C-SPAN_ 
(http://www.c-span.org/video/?301271-1/eugene-v-debs-presidential-contender)  
in 2011 that Debs pioneered 
ideas like  retirement benefits and a right to health care. When ABC's Jeff 
Zeleny  quizzed him about the socialist label in August, Sanders _responded_ 
(http://news.yahoo.com/blogs/power-players-abc-news/bernie-sanders-says-he-has-a
--damn-good-platform--to-run-for-president-in-2016-212513869.html) , "Do 
you hear me cringing? Do you hear me running  under the table?"


Debs' portrait is a reminder that, over Sanders' four decades in politics — 
 as a perennial third-party candidate, mayor of Burlington, Congressman, 
and then  senator — he's been laser-focused on checking the power of the 
wealthy  above all else. Even as a student at the University of Chicago in the 
1960s,  influenced by the hours he spent in the library stacks reading famous  
philosophers, he became frustrated with his fellow student activists, who 
were  more interested in race or imperialism than the class struggle. They 
couldn't  see that everything they protested, he _later said_ 
(http://articles.chicagotribune.com/1990-07-29/news/9003030805_1_bernie-sanders-socialist-pet
er-smith) , was rooted in "an economic  system in which the rich controls, 
to a large degree, the political and economic  life of the country." 


"Bernie is in many ways a 1930s radical as opposed to a 1960s radical,"  
says Professor Garrison Nelson of the University of Vermont. "The 1930s 
radicals  were all about unions, corporations — basically economic issues 
rather 
than  cultural ones." Richard Sugarman, an old friend who worked closely  
with Sanders during his early political career, concurs. "We spent much less  
time on social issues and much more time on economic issues," he told me.  
"Bernard always began with the question of, 'What is the economic fairness of  
the situation?'" 
 
Sanders' parents were Jewish immigrants from Poland, and his father  
couldn't speak English. They lived in a small apartment in Brooklyn. "My  
mother's 
dream was to own her own home, and she never achieved that," he told  me. 
"We were never hungry by any means. But money was always a major issue  
within our family. It caused a lot of tension between my mother and my  dad."


After college and a few aimless post-graduation years, Sanders moved up to  
Vermont permanently in 1968, and has lived there ever since. At the time,  
Vermont was viewed a rural refuge from New York, and a wave of migrants was  
reshaping the conservative state. Only a few years later, Sanders walked 
into a  meeting of a local third party, the Liberty Union Party, and walked 
out its  candidate for United States Senate. It would be the first of 20 
third-party or  independent bids for office — 14 of which he'd win.


Sanders' first such victory — his election as mayor of Vermont's largest  
city, Burlington, in 1981 — made national news. Dissatisfied with the  rising 
cost of living, he had come out of nowhere to challenge an entrenched  
five-term Democratic incumbent, who basically ignored him. But Sanders had a  
keen political eye for finding defining issues. He opposed a plan to build  
high-end condos on the Burlington waterfront as a sop to the wealthy, 
criticized  proposed property tax increases as too regressive, and won a 
crucial 
endorsement  from the city's police union. After a bitter recount battle, he 
ended up with  4,030 votes to the incumbent's 4,020. Stories across the nation 
announced that a  socialist would become the mayor of Vermont's largest 
city. One report ran with  the headline: "Everyone's scared."


The Sanders agenda
While Sanders is clearly to the left of today's Democratic Party, the  
platform he laid out in Waterloo, Iowa, was not as extreme as the word  
"socialist" might lead people to think. "He's a 'small s' socialist," says  
Nelson. 
"He's not, 'Let's totally revamp the government, break up the  corporations, 
create five-year plans.' He doesn't get out too far on an  ideological 
limb."


The major issue on which Sanders embraces "full socialism" is health care,  
where he maintains his longtime support of a _single-payer health care 
system_ 
(http://www.vox.com/cards/single-payer/what-is-single-payer-health-care) 
. In Waterloo, Sanders  called Obamacare a "modest step forward," but 
called for expanding coverage and  reducing the costs of care, much as 
candidates 
Obama and Clinton did in 2008.  The problem is that in the current system, 
he said, "the goal is for the  insurance companies and the drug companies to 
make as much money as possible."  (As a Congressman, Sanders brought a 
busload of breast cancer patients to Canada  so they could buy cheaper 
prescription drugs.)


But support for single-payer isn't so radical in Sanders' home state, which 
 actually enacted the nation's _first such system_ 
(http://www.vox.com/2014/4/9/5557696/forget-obamacare-vermont-wants-to-bring-single-payer-to-america)
  in 2011. After years of advocacy, and  bitter disappointment at the 
compromises to the health industry that Bill  Clinton and Barack Obama made, 
Sanders was jubilant over Vermont's  achievement. "If we do it and do it well, 
other states will get in line and  follow us," he _said_ 
(http://www.sanders.senate.gov/newsroom/recent-business/single-payer-in-vermont)
 . "And we will 
have a national system."




On other issues, Sanders is more like a traditional populist Democrat,  
willing to disregard the concerns of business and the wealthy in order to try  
and help the less fortunate. "I _voted against_ 
(http://www.citizen.org/trade/article_redirect.cfm?ID=7170)  all the trade 
agreements," he told me. 
"Unfettered free trade has been a disaster for the  American people." He has no 
time for deficit hawks, and instead mocks  "entitlement reform" as a "code 
word" meaning "cutting Social Security and  Medicare." Rather than cut Social 
Security, he says, we should expand it, after  raising payroll taxes on the 
wealthy. On education, he says "it's time we  thought about" making college 
free for everyone. He's argued that the government  should spend billions 
more on infrastructure, to create jobs. And he  supports amending the 
Constitution to allow for greater Congressional regulation  of campaign 
finance, 
like the _rest of his party_ 
(http://www.vox.com/2014/9/11/6136767/citizens-united-constitutional-amendment-fails-senate)
 . 


Elsewhere, he is more cautious. He has not voiced support for increasing  
taxes on the middle class, arguing instead that they're already getting  
squeezed. On social issues, like abortion, gun rights, and gay rights, he is  
squarely within the mainstream of the Democratic party — not to its left. And 
on  foreign policy, while he opposed the war in Iraq, he voices sympathy 
with  Israel's security concerns and warns of the dangers of ISIS — positions 
that  have sometimes led to _awkward confrontations_ 
(https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Vf2cCdgwgoM)  with a few more radical  
constituents. 
"He knows the game," Nelson says. "Most radicals don't know the game and 
they  don't want to learn the game because it would compromise their purity. 
But he  likes to win elections, and he has got a very good sense of what will 
work and  what won't." In Waterloo, Sanders voiced confidence that the 
views he's pushing  were broadly popular. "What I believe is, on all these 
issues, we have the  vast majority of people on our side." 
Mayor of Burlington
Half an hour before the Waterloo event, I met up with Sanders at a cafe  
downtown. It was a chilly, windy Sunday morning, and few places nearby were  
open. We sat at a table outside, Sanders ordered tea, and I asked him why  
Obama's presidency fell short of progressives' expectations. "I like Barack  
Obama. I think he is a very, very smart guy," he said. "His views, his heart, 
 while not terribly progressive, are more progressive than I think some of 
his  actions have shown." But his "major flaw," Sanders said, was his 
"post-partisan"  approach to Washington politics. "He believed that people 
could 
sit down in  Congress and have serious discussions about serious issues and 
move forward.  Well, he was wrong."


Instead, Sanders said, "There was an unprecedented level of obstructionism" 
 from the GOP, "starting literally from the day that he got inaugurated." 
He  argued that the GOP's major strategy was trying to block action on any 
issue, so  the American people would blame Obama for being a failure. "And I 
think he did  not understand that," he said. "That has been their political 
strategy, and by  and large it's been reasonably successful."


If Sanders believes Obama should have been prepared for an immediate,  
tooth-and-nail fight, perhaps that's because he himself faced one right after  
being sworn in as mayor of Burlington in 1981. His "most bitter enemies," he  
told a reporter at the time, were the local Democrats, who controlled the 
city's  13-member board of aldermen. Board members viewed Sanders' victory as 
a  ludicrous affront, and felt a Democrat was certain to retake the  
mayoralty two years later. So when the new mayor tried to replace city  
officials 
held over from the previous administration with his own appointees,  the 
Democrats blocked nearly all of them, refusing even to hold hearings  
considering their appointments. Forget socialist reforms — Sanders couldn't  
even get 
a staff. "He was operating without any kind of administration," his  first 
mayoral campaign manager, Linda Niedweske, said. 
The atmosphere was tense. Early on, his political inexperience was  mocked. 
In one embarrassing case, he nominated a man for a city position  without 
realizing the man had died a month earlier. A Democratic alderman told a  
reporter that Sanders was "quite crude." A leaflet dubbed the "Burlington Flea  
Press," written anonymously by an apparent City Hall insider, spread  
rumors that Sanders was truly a Communist, not a socialist. He even got a 
ticket  
for parking his car in the mayor's parking spot. "I guess now what I  
expect is that the Democrats on the board are going to attempt to make every 
day  
of my life as difficult as possible," Sanders said at the time. "That's 
fine. We  will reciprocate in kind." 
Rather than sway his opponents by reason, or through  compromise, he 
campaigned to get them kicked out of office — recruiting  challengers, 
organizing 
volunteers, and working himself to exhaustion. Beyond  that, he zeroed in on 
the tedious, day-to-day details of ensuring services were  provided. "He 
understood that if you were going to be  mayor of a city with a very cold 
climate and a lot of snow, that snow removal  rather than ideology would most 
often prevail," says Sugarman. He  started to ride around on snow trucks to 
supervise the plowing, and even started  a volunteer program called Operation 
Snow Shovel to help senior  citizens. 
The voters rewarded him. In 1982, most of his Democratic opponents  went 
down to defeat, and Sanders' appointees were soon confirmed. And when  Sanders 
himself was up for reelection the following year, he won easily, with 52  
percent in a three-way race. "We came close to doubling the voter  turnout" 
compared to his initial election, Sanders told me. "Why? Because  we kept our 
promises. We did pay attention to the low-income and working-class  areas. 
They saw parks being improved, they saw their streets being plowed, and  
being paved. People saw — 'Oh my God, government works!'" 
While some of his most bitter enemies would never fully be won over,  
tensions with business interests began to cool when they realized Sanders 
wanted  
to bring jobs to the city, not confiscate their wealth. "Taxes went  up and 
the government charged new fees for all kinds of things that kind of  
aggravated them," Nelson said. "But the smarter businesses learned to live with 
 
Bernie." The proposal for making high-rises on the waterfront was killed, 
but  the developer behind it started to work closely with Sanders on other 
issues,  and they became good friends. Sanders' radicalism was mainly  limited 
to foreign policy — yes, Burlington had one, including resolutions  
supporting the Sandinista regime in Nicaragua. (The mayor's supporters were  
nicknamed the "Sanders-istas.") 
Sanders served four two-year terms as mayor, and left a legacy. "Had  
Bernie Sanders not become mayor, the city would have become hopelessly  
yuppified, with poor people being priced out of Burlington," Nelson told the  
Washington Post's Lois Romano in 1991. Still, nothing like a socialist  
revolution 
ever materialized. But Sanders had raised his profile enough to be  elected 
Vermont's sole Congressman in 1990 — the first independent elected to  the 
US House of Representatives in 40 years. 
Political revolution
Throughout his two and a half decades in Congress, Sanders has  often 
worked with Republicans on individual issues. In 2005, Matt Taibbi dubbed  him 
the House's "_amendment king_ 
(http://www.rollingstone.com/politics/news/inside-the-horror-show-that-is-congress-20050825)
 " because, since the GOP 
takeover of  1994, Sanders had more amendments approved by floor vote than any 
other  lawmaker. "He accomplishes this on the one hand by being  relentlessly 
active, and on the other by using his status as an Independent to  form 
left-right coalitions," Taibbi wrote. Sanders looked for issues that would  
appeal to most Americans and be broadly popular, even if — especially if —  the 
corporate-influenced leadership of both parties would prefer to avoid  them. 


But small wins haven't been enough for Sanders, who's always been obsessed  
with the big picture. He now says the trend he's been warning about  for 
decades — the rise of oligarchy — has only gotten more urgent and dire. 
Somehow, despite his belief that the American people agree with  him, the 
Republican Party has won many elections, even as it's moved further to  the 
right. 
"The Republican Party right now in  Washington is highly disciplined, very, 
very well-funded, and adheres to more or  less the Koch brother position," 
Sanders told me. They've "moved from being a  right-center party to a 
right-wing extremist party," he said. As with the  Burlington Democrats, 
Sanders 
doesn't believe they can be negotiated with on  major issues — only defeated. 


How would defeat be possible? Democrats already have some advantages among  
the presidential electorate, with large leads among racial minorities, 
women,  and young voters. But in midterms, the electorate tends to be older  
and 
whiter. In 2010, Democratic Congressional candidates got their _lowest_ 
(http://www.nationaljournal.com/magazine/bad-bet-why-republicans-can-t-win-with-
whites-alone-20130905)  percentage of the white vote ever, and in  2012, 
Obama _lost_ 
(http://www.nationaljournal.com/magazine/bad-bet-why-republicans-can-t-win-with-whites-alone-20130905)
  whites and white seniors by the most 
of any  Democratic presidential candidate since the 1980s. Plus, the GOP  
has a _built-in edge_ 
(http://www.vox.com/2014/8/4/5960095/what-would-it-take-for-democrats-to-win-the-house)
  in both chambers of  Congress — from the 
gerrymandered map and natural geography for House districts,  plus the 
overrepresentation of rural white states in the Senate. 


Yet Sanders himself has repeatedly won double-digit statewide  victories in 
Vermont — the _second-whitest_ 
(http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/2012/10/01/new-vermont-is-liberal-but-old-vermont-is-still-there/?_php=true&_ty
pe=blogs&_php=true&_type=blogs&partner=rss&emc=rss&_r=1) , _second-oldest_ 
(http://money.cnn.com/2011/05/26/real_estate/americas_oldest_states/) , and 
_second-most-rural_ 
(http://bangordailynews.com/2012/03/26/business/census-maine-most-rural-state-in-2010-as-urban-centers-grow-nationwide/)
  state in 
the nation. Accordingly, he believes that the only way to break  the GOP's 
power is to turn many of their own core voters — white voters, rural  voters, 
and seniors — against them, and against the power of the wealthy. 


This is the political revolution Sanders hopes to achieve, and this is  why 
he's repeatedly visited Iowa and New Hampshire this  year. "I do not know 
how you can concede the white working class to  the Republican Party, which 
is working overtime to destroy the working class in  America," Sanders told 
me. "The idea that Democrats are losing  among seniors when you have a major 
Republican effort to destroy Social  Security, Medicare, and Medicaid, is 
literally beyond my comprehension." 


"The agenda of the Koch brothers is to repeal virtually every  major piece 
of legislation over the past 80 years that has protected the middle  class"  
So why is it happening? "I think the average Tea Party person is angry  
because he or she has seen their family's income go down, their college is  
unaffordable, that they're struggling with health care, they've seen their jobs 
 go to China," Sanders said. "But the people who fund the Tea Party believe 
in  all of those things! So I think the first thing you have to do is 
explain to  them how they are being manipulated by the Koch brothers and the 
folks who put  the money into the Tea Party." 
That explanation has recently been the main theme of Sanders' political  
project. In Waterloo, Sanders listed a blizzard of statistics about growing  
inequality — diagnosing the problem. Then, he identified the culprit —  
billionaires, corporations, and specifically the Koch brothers, whose names he  
mentioned 18 times. He spent several minutes reading and criticizing  the 
Libertarian Party's political platform from 1980, when David Koch was its  
vice presidential nominee. He quoted sections supporting "the repeal of  
federal campaign finance laws," "the abolition of Medicare and Medicaid  
programs," "the repeal of the fraudulent, bankrupt, and increasingly oppressive 
 
Social Security system," and the repeal of minimum wage laws and personal and  
corporate income taxes.  
"The agenda of the Koch brothers,"  Sanders said, "is to repeal virtually 
every major piece of legislation that has  been signed into law over the past 
80 years that has protected the middle class,  the elderly, the children, 
the sick, and the most vulnerable in this  country." 
Essentially, Sanders is calling for the Democratic Party to wage a  
rhetorical war on the billionaire class, to better mobilize the general public  
against them, and break their power. He believes the power of the  rich is the 
defining issue of our politics, and wants to elevate it accordingly.  The 
specifics of how this mobilization happens, and what the public does once  
it's mobilized (beyond voting out Republicans), are less clear. Sanders' 
generic  suggestion tends to be for a march on Washington. "You wanna lower  
the 
cost of college? Then you're gonna have to show up in Washington with a few  
million of your friends!" he told an audience member in Waterloo. "You wanna 
 raise the minimum wage? Bring two million workers to Washington," he  
continued. 
Much of the party has already gravitated toward his rhetoric, if not  all 
of his policies. In September, every Senate Democrat voted to amend the US  
Constitution to reverse the Citizens United  Supreme Court decision on 
campaign finance. And lately, Harry Reid has been  sounding positively 
Sanders-esque on the topic of the Koch brothers, mentioning  their names on the 
Senate 
floor repeatedly in speeches. Though it's just  rhetoric, politicians who 
use it tend to elicit very strong reactions from their  targets — Obama's 
brief, one-time use of the term "fat-cat bankers" resulted in  quite a 
_backlash_ 
(http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=newsarchive&sid=aRHyY6FMYZSA)  
from bankers who felt offended. 
But Hillary Clinton is extremely unlikely to take up the banner of  class 
warfare in her presidential campaign. According to a report by _Amy Chozick_ 
(http://www.nytimes.com/2014/09/13/us/clinton-silent-on-2016-bid-as-campaign-
style-actions-begin-to-speak-volumes.html?hp&action=click&pgtype=Homepage&ve
rsion=HpSumSmallMedia&module=third-column-region&region=top-news&WT.nav=top-
news&_r=4)  of the New York Times, she is currently  exploring, through 
discussions with donors and friends in business, how her  campaign can address 
inequality "without alienating businesses or castigating  the wealthy." 
Beyond Clinton's desire to raise campaign cash, there's a  long-held belief 
among many Democratic political consultants that messaging  critical of the 
rich 
simply _isn't effective_ 
(http://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/with-democrats-split-on-inequality-issues-obama-shifts-talk-away-from-income-gap/2014/0
7/04/102f1f32-02be-11e4-b8ff-89afd3fad6bd_story.html)  in US politics. 
Instead,  they argue, much of the American public actually rather admires 
successful  businessmen, and aspires to be like them. And lack of trust in  
government is a real and consistent _force_ 
(http://www.edelman.com/news/trust-in-government-plunges-to-historic-low/)  in 
American politics and public  
opinion.  
Sanders acknowledges all this, but wants to persuade people that  they 
should blame the billionaires and corporations pulling the government's  
strings 
and gumming up its gears. The problem, he believes, is that many  Americans 
don't believe the Democratic Party will fight for them — because, he  says, 
"corporate influence makes the party more conservative, which raises  
doubts among people." A campaign focused on issues of inequality and the  power 
of the wealthy, he argued, can convince people Democrats will fight for  them 
again. "You win because you are there fighting for working families all  
across the board, for seniors, for the children," he says. "That's how you 
win."  Beyond Vermont, though, it's a theory that remains unproven. 
A presidential run?
After Sanders laid out his misgivings about running for president in  
Waterloo, an audience member broached the question of whether he might run as 
an  
independent or a Democrat. "That's a great question!" Sanders said,  
animated. "I'd love to get your opinions on it." He laid out his thinking to 
the  
crowd. An independent candidacy could be appealing because of "huge 
frustration  at both parties," but it's very difficult to get on the ballot in 
50 
states. And  he emphasized that he would never run as a spoiler if it could 
lead to the  election of a Republican president — "we've made that mistake in 
the past." On  the other hand, if he ran as a Democrat, "It's easier to get 
on the  ballot, you can get into the debates, and the media will take you 
more  seriously." The disadvantage? "People are not overwhelmingly 
enthusiastic about  the Democratic Party." 


Sanders asked the crowd which sounded better, and about 80 percent of them  
raised their hands in favor of a primary contest. "I think you run as a  
Democrat, because you want to push the debate, with Hillary or whoever it is, 
in  the direction you want to see it go," an audience member said. "We need 
to hear  the establishment challenged." Sanders then asked the crowd another 
question. "I  know Iowa does politics differently than other states," he 
said, to knowing  chuckles. "How many of you would be prepared to work hard if 
I ran?" A sizable  majority raised their hands again.


If Sanders runs, his ideas could have their highest-profile spotlight in  
decades. In 2007 and 2008, the candidates in the Democratic presidential 
primary  debated 26 times, though that number will surely be much lower next 
time  around. Sanders' best hope is that few other candidates besides  Clinton, 
or none, enter the race. If there are 8 challengers on stage, he could  
easily be dismissed by the media as a kook, like Dennis Kucinich and Mike  
Gravel. If it's just him and Clinton debating, that's exactly the contrast he  
hopes for. "I think there's a hunger for somebody who will take on banks and 
the  corporations and the wealthy," said Huck Gutman, Sanders' former chief 
of  staff. 


"How many of you would be prepared to work hard if I ran?,"  Sanders asked. 
A sizable majority of the crowd raised their hands.  

It's quite plausible that we'll see a moment in 2015 when Sanders  benefits 
from such a surge of attention, however brief it may be. "I have nightmares 
that someone like a Bernie Sanders will catch  fire and cause trouble for 
Hillary Clinton," a pro-Clinton Democratic operative  told MSNBC's _Alex 
Seitz-Wald_ 
(http://www.msnbc.com/msnbc/bernie-sanders-giving-pro-clinton-democrat-nightmares?cid=sm_m_main_1_20141005_32895216)
  recently. But  
little-known challengers who go up in the polls are then likely to go down. In 
the GOP 
race in 2012, dissatisfaction with front-runner Mitt  Romney led to a surge 
of attention and poll performance for several other  challengers — Michele 
Bachmann, Rick Perry, Herman Cain, Newt Gingrich, Rick  Santorum — who soon 
flamed out. Political scientists John Sides and  Lynn Vavreck _characterized_ 
(http://books.google.com/books?id=Qj-OAwAAQBAJ&pg=PA45&lpg=PA45&dq="discover
y+scrutiny+and+decline"&source=bl&ots=nPagjsMtQO&sig=chQjS-N-LnYZn4uUAWdZ_CY
At7M&hl=en&sa=X&ei=26Y8VMOIKOeHsQS3-oGQCg&ved=0CC4Q6AEwAg#v=onepage&q="disco
very%20scrutiny%20and%20decline"&f=false)  this pattern as "discovery, 
scrutiny,  and decline." The GOP electorate learned more about an interesting 
new  challenger, but eventually realized he or she wasn't the right choice — 
perhaps  due to concerns over electability. 


Still, Iowa and New Hampshire could be two advantageous states for Sanders. 
 Rural and white, they resemble Vermont demographically, and are filled 
with  exactly the sort of voters he wants for his revolution. "A  misconception 
about Vermont is that it's a bunch of Volvo-driving liberals,"  said 
Gutman. "A lot more people there drive patched up old cars than Volvos, and  
they're the heart of Bernie's constituency. Bernie appeals to working families, 
 
seniors, veterans — to people who say 'I'm being pushed and shoved.'" But 
though outsider Republicans like Pat Buchanan, Mike Huckabee,  and Rick 
Santorum have edged out victories in either Iowa or New Hampshire, true  
outsider 
Democrats have had less luck there in recent years. And afterward, the  road 
will only get tougher. 


Ideals are nice, but pragmatists deal with the world as it is. Bernie  
Sanders knows that very well — and so does Hillary Clinton. Even if the  
political revolution doesn't quite materialize, Sanders, in positioning himself 
 
for a run, is reshaping the world Clinton will have to deal with by presenting 
a  threat to her left. How she responds will have implications for her own  
candidacy, the Democratic party's platform, and potentially even the  
presidency. "I like Hillary. I respect Hillary," Sanders told me.  "But it is 
important that we discuss issues. Which is what the future of America  will be 
about." 


 (http://www.voxmedia.com/) 





 
 






 






 





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