Another Voice Predicting Islamism's Doom
by Daniel Pipes
June 23,  2016
 
Moncef Marzouki, the president of Tunisia from 2011 to 2014, has penned an  
analysis predicting, as I have, the demise of Islamism. I quote from a  
MiddleEastEye.net _abridgement  and translation_ 
(http://www.middleeasteye.net/columns/political-islam-decline-705939169)  of 
the _original  Arabic 
version_ (http://www.aljazeera.net/knowledgegate/opinions/2016/5/24/الموجة-
الإسلامية-هل-بدأ-الجزر)  that appeared at Aljazeera.net
 
Marzouki, a liberal human rights activist who returned from exile after a  
popular revolt brought down dictator Zine El Abidine Ben Ali, became 
president  under a power-sharing agreement following Tunisia's first free 
parliamentary  elections in October 2011, heading a government dominated by the 
Islamist  Ennahda party. "We do not have the same point of view on women's 
rights, human  rights, and so forth," he _lamented_ 
(http://world.time.com/2012/09/26/the-president-and-the-islamist-two-politicos-spar-over-the-arab-springs-f
uture/)  to Time magazine  in 2012. 
In this article, Marzouki begins by placing Islamism in the context of 
three  other isms: nationalism, pan-Arabism, and communism, all of which have 
declined.  Today, he writes, we are "about to see the decline of a fourth 
wave, Islamism,  after witnessing its launch in the early 1970s and reaching 
its 
peak in the late  1990s." 
Like other isms, "Islamism expanded as a result of society's wish to solve  
all or some of its problems." Today, "awkward questions" are being asked: 
"Have  you fulfilled all of your promises? Did you live up to the high hopes 
that were  placed on you? In the end, what did you achieve?" 
He notes the gaudy current Islamist achievements but dismisses them,  
recalling that the Soviet Union "was seen as a power that will stay for the 
next  
thousand years" but, in fact, "collapsed like cardboard, albeit gradually, 
but  not many people foresaw it. That's exactly what is happening today with 
regards  to the Islamist current."
 
Most Islamist parties lose their way and "mutate into right-wing parties  
looking for a place in power," without regard to morality or principle.  
Islamists "use an ideological cover for a tyranny that is ... repressive and  
corrupt." 
Marzouki calls most armed Islamist groups "the biggest contemporary 
disaster  that the Arab and Muslim nations - and even Islam – are facing. ... 
Thanks to  them, the whole world regards us as a nation that has nothing to add 
other than  breeding terrorism. We are perceived as a threat to the rest of 
the world." 
In a _2013 op-ed_ (http://www.danielpipes.org/13124/islamism-doom) , I 
noted  that Islamist movements are becoming increasingly divided along 
sectarian,  ideological, political, and tactical lines (which I subsequently 
discussed in  more detail _here_ 
(http://www.danielpipes.org/blog/2013/10/islamism-in-disarray) ).  "Should the 
fissiparous tendency hold, the Islamist movement 
is doomed, like  fascism and communism," I wrote, "to be no more than a 
civilizational threat  inflicting immense damage but never prevailing."

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