>However, in terms of how he does what he does,

maybe some belated respect is due to Mr. Trump. 

 

>It pains me to concede even this much, but it is necessary

to do so for the sake of honesty.

 

I agree Billy

 

 

From: BILROJ via Centroids: The Center of the Radical Centrist Community 
[mailto:[email protected]] 
Sent: Monday, November 21, 2016 8:57 AM
To: [email protected]
Cc: [email protected]
Subject: [RC] Mistrust of the Media -and political effectiveness

 

Centroids:

I'm not really sure about the conclusions of the following essay although it 
certainly

is thought-provoking. It seems to me that something is missing although

what this may be is uncertain. However, it is just as clear that the author

has hit upon an important truth.

 

The essay also dovetails with on-air remarks I heard recently about

the effectiveness of Donald Trump on the campaign trail. His secret?

Very simple and very media savvy:  Make every point concrete,

that is, make every point into something visual.

 

Want to discuss immigration? Talk about "the wall."  Do this and the message 
sticks.

Want to talk about Islam?  Discuss some specific type of atrocity committed 

by Al Qaeda or the Islamic State that anyone can relate to, like beheading.

Want to make a powerful point about the problems of people in the Rust Belt

as the economies of the Great Lakes states decline?  Talk about the closure

of a steel plant in Youngstown or the loss of an auto factory in Michigan

to Mexico. 

 

What makes for bad writing, especially among academics but also among

many  political scriveners?  Recitations of statistics and almost nothing but

statistics. A few choice numbers may be effective; a laundry list of

computations puts people to sleep. But what most engages attention

are thoughtfully chosen vivid (visual) examples that are easy to remember.

 

As someone who is very media hip, Trump seems to do this instinctively.

He may do this unconsciously, he may be unable to string together

lengthy sequences of events or sequences of meaningful facts and figures,

but as a political campaigner he has proven himself to be effective

and, for political purposes, that is what counts the most.

 

Now he has made something visual and dramatic  -hence attention getting-

that all previous presidents-elect have chosen to carry out in private

with no public attention, the process of selecting a cabinet. And by 

so doing he has increased public interest in his policies.

 

As I told a friend the other day, I was ecstatic at the defeat of Hillary

but despondent at the victory of Donald Trump. My opinion of the outcome

has not changed. However, in terms of how he does what he does,

maybe some belated respect is due to Mr. Trump. 

 

It pains me to concede even this much, but it is necessary

to do so for the sake of honesty.

 

 

Billy

 

 

 

 

----------------------------------------------------------

 

Real Clear Politics

 

 

 


The Real Reason You Shouldn't Trust the Media


 

 

By  <http://www.realclearscience.com/authors/ross_pomeroy/> Ross Pomeroy
November 21, 2016

The mainstream media is absolutely biased, but not in the manner you might be 
thinking. Ideology sways reporting at some news organizations, but far more 
pernicious and pervasive is the modern media's penchant for reporting anecdotes.

These one-off stories are amazing, attention-grabbing, and extraordinary, 
newsworthy precisely because of their rarity. But seeing and reading about them 
each and every day with little to no context systematically warps our 
perception of everyday life. Nobel prize-winning psychologist  
<https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Daniel_Kahneman> Daniel Kahneman recognized as 
much after decades of studying human cognitive biases.

"The world in our heads is not a precise replica of reality; our expectations 
about the frequency of events are distorted by the prevalence and emotional 
intensity of the messages to which we are exposed," he wrote in his 
best-selling book 
<https://www.amazon.com/Thinking-Fast-Slow-Daniel-Kahneman/dp/0374533555> 
Thinking, Fast and Slow.

With that in mind, let's take a look at cable news. Whether it's MSNBC, CNN, or 
Fox News, you'll watch everything from dueling pundits spouting conspiracies to 
terrorism, crime sprees, weight loss miracles, and shark attacks, always shark 
attacks... Assaulted with these fabulous events on a regular basis, we 
unconsciously keep them at the front of our minds.

"People tend to assess the relative importance of issues by the ease with which 
they are retrieved from memory–and this is largely determined by the extent of 
coverage in the media. Frequently mentioned topics populate the mind even as 
others slip away from awareness," Kahneman wrote.

What are the effects of the media's systematic misleading? Here are a few 
examples: The public thinks that college campuses are rife with trigger 
warnings and political correctness, when in fact, they are not. A  
<http://nymag.com/scienceofus/2015/12/are-trigger-warnings-actually-widespread-at-all.html>
 surveyconducted last year showed that a mere 15 percent of professors had 
students request trigger warnings. The vast majority of Americans  
<http://www.pewsocialtrends.org/2013/05/07/gun-homicide-rate-down-49-since-1993-peak-public-unaware/#what-is-behind-the-crime-decline>
 believe that crime has gone up or stayed the same since the 1990s. In reality, 
it has  
<http://www.usnews.com/news/articles/2016-09-26/us-crime-rate-rises-slightly-remains-near-20-year-low>
 plummeted to all-time lows. Sharks  
<http://www.livescience.com/51579-fear-of-sharks-psychology.html> prompt 
widespread fear, while deer, which  
<http://www.realclearscience.com/blog/2014/04/the_science_of_deer_in_the_headlights.html>
 kill more than200 Americans annually and cause approximately 10,000 injuries, 
do not.

And what about politics? By and large, the electorate  
<http://www.gallup.com/poll/185759/widespread-government-corruption.aspx> 
considers politicians to be corrupt, unscrupulous, and even criminal. But  
<http://www.nytimes.com/2014/01/26/us/politics/it-only-seems-that-political-corruption-is-rampant.html?_r=1&register=facebook>
 data collected through 2007 shows that fewer than one percent of the 12,000 
people to have served in Congress had been expelled, indicted, or tried for 
crimes. Moreover, analysts 
<http://www.nytimes.com/2014/01/26/us/politics/it-only-seems-that-political-corruption-is-rampant.html?_r=1&register=facebook>
 insist that corruption was far more common in the past than it is today.

Veteran reporter Garrett Graff has spent a good chunk of the last ten years 
trying to root out political malfeasance. But as  
<https://www.thisamericanlife.org/radio-archives/episode/601/master-of-her-domain-name?act=1>
 he told This American Life's Sean Cole, he hasn't turned up much of the 
sinister behavior he originally suspected was rampant.

"Whenever you hear a government conspiracy theory, the almost universal truth 
is that the explanation is more likely either bureaucratic bungling or outright 
incompetence," he said.

No malevolence, just everyday human stupidity.

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