Yeah, realistically we need 1 billion new jobs to deal with the breakdown of 
industrialization. 

E

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> On Nov 30, 2016, at 19:43, BILROJ via Centroids: The Center of the Radical 
> Centrist Community <[email protected]> wrote:
> 
> VOA  / Voice of America  Blog
>  
> October 26, 2016
>  
> Despite Fast-Growing Economy, India Struggles to Create Jobs
> By: Anjana Pasricha
>  
>  
> NEW DELHI — 
> India’s main Hindu festival of lights is just days away, but there is little 
> cheer for 35-year-old Kali Charan. For a week, the daily-wage laborer has 
> hung on the side of a busy street intersection in the business hub of Gurgaon 
> hoping that building contractors or home owners will stop by to seek his 
> services.
> 
> He is not alone. This is the spot where scores of other unemployed laborers 
> gather daily in search of work as masons, carpenters, painters and plumbers.
> 
> But Kali Charan is finding far less work than he did eight years ago when he 
> migrated from his village. “I get work only for ten or fifteen days a month,” 
> he said despondently. “I try to manage in as little as possible to save a few 
> dollars to send home to my village.”
> 
> His woes are not surprising. In the last decade, as Gurgaon boomed, massive 
> construction projects created tens of thousands of jobs making it a hotspot 
> for migrant labor.
> 
> But many projects have been stalled due to a slowdown in demand. The 
> situation is no different in other parts of the country.
> 
> Construction is not the only labor-intensive sector to be struggling. 
> Factories making garments, leather products and other goods for export are 
> also facing tough times due to the global slowdown.
> 
> Economist Rajiv Kumar at New Delhi’s Center for Policy Research said the 
> export industry was a massive job creator, but “they (exports) have been 
> declining for continuous 18 months, sector after sector.”
> 
> 
> Surveys have shown that thousands of jobs were lost in factories making 
> garments, leather goods and other products for exports in last year.
> 
> A recent survey by the government’s Labor Bureau says the unemployment rate 
> rose to a five-year high of five percent.
> 
> It is a surprising statistic for an economy that outpaced China to grow at 
> more than seven per cent last year. But economists say India is experiencing 
> what they call “jobless growth.”
> 
> “Growth is there, but it is taking place in those sectors where capital 
> intensity is higher, but where labor absorption is not much. So our 
> prediction that the modern, globalized sector would be able to provide 
> employment is not happening,” said Amitabh Kundu, former professor at 
> Jawaharlal Nehru University.
> 
> That is not good news for India, the country with the world’s largest 
> population of those under 25. One million people are added to the workforce 
> every year.
> 
> The failure to add employment opportunities for these young people poses a 
> huge challenge for Prime Minister Narendra Modi, whose promise to create 
> millions of new jobs catapulted him to power in 2014.
> 
> It has been a key focus of his government since he took office. The 
> government has launched a “Make in India” program and liberalized foreign 
> investment rules to woo investors with an eye on expanding manufacturing and 
> employing millions moving out of agriculture.
> 
> Some investment has come, but there are no signs that India will be able to 
> emulate China’s success in manufacturing.
> 
> Modern factories are also unlikely to create jobs on the scale witnessed some 
> years ago. “In the large corporate sector, because of ongoing automation or 
> call it robotization, companies are tending to replace labor with machines,” 
> points out economist Kumar.
> 
> 
> The government has taken other initiatives to create jobs. It has promised 
> loans to small and medium sized businesses, which are more labor intensive, 
> and has started a $1.5 billion fund to encourage start-ups.
> 
> But will that be enough? In its Asia-Pacific Human Development Report this 
> year, the United Nations Development warned India faces a huge challenge of 
> finding jobs in the next 35 years for the 280 million people that will enter 
> the job market.
> 
> On the ground, that is not hard to see. Seventeen-year-old Nikhil Singh in 
> Gurgaon comes in search of work every day after he quit school after grade 
> nine. “I come here because we need money at home. Sometimes I get work, 
> sometimes I don’t,” he said.
> 
> An older man shrugged in resignation – he does not need a study to tell him 
> that the swelling ranks of job seekers are a threat to his livelihood. “When 
> our numbers have increased, work will decrease, wont it?” he said.
> 
> 
> Political analysts say while Prime Minister Modi is widely credited with 
> rejuvenating the economy and making India more open for business, his key 
> test lies in finding ways to revive the job market.
> 
> Head of New Delhi’s Center of Developing Societies, Sanjay Kumar, points out 
> that the lack of jobs could test the popularity of the ruling Bharatiya 
> Janata Party (BJP). “Lok Sabha (parliament) elections are at a distance, at 
> least two and a half years away. Things might improve, but if we go by the 
> same trend which we find now, this is [an] alarm bell for [the] BJP.”
> 
> Finding enough work for India’s young population is a daunting task, said 
> economist Kumar. “Huge is an understatement, can’t find the word, gigantic, 
> gargantuan, whatever, very, very challenging.”
> -- 
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