Vox


Note: The success story of the Mormons is not as unalloyed as the article 
suggests.

Yes, Mormon memberships are holding steady but this is down from a time

as recently as a decade ago when there still was yearly LDS strong growth.

I think in the 5% range. The growth rate is now just an eyelash above zero.


BR



----------------------------------------------

Most churches are losing members fast — but not the Mormons. Here’s why.
In an era of declining faith, Mormon membership is holding steady.
Daniel Cox<https://www.vox.com/users/DanielCox1> Mar 6, 2019



Jennifer, a young mother and member of the Church of Jesus Christ of Latter-Day 
Saints in northern Virginia, is honest about the challenges of being Mormon in 
America today. “It’s not an easy gig,” she says. It’s not just the expectation 
that you will adhere to strict religious standards when it comes to dating and 
sex. Or the 10 percent tithing requirement. The prohibition on caffeine or 
alcohol. It’s the time, she says. “My husband and I teach Sunday school to 14- 
and 15-year-old teenagers. On a Saturday night, we might not be kicking back 
and watching a movie or bingeing Netflix; we’re planning our Sunday school 
lesson.”

While the structure of the LDS Church, which relies on volunteer leadership at 
the local level, requires an active membership, there is an upside to the 
obligations of religious community. In an era marked by unprecedented religious 
decline, Mormons appear to be holding their own.


One-quarter of Americans are religiously unaffiliated today, a roughly fourfold 
increase from a couple of decades earlier. Christian denominations around the 
country are contending with massive defections. White Christian 
groups<https://www.prri.org/wp-content/uploads/2017/09/PRRI-Religion-Report.pdf>
 have experienced the most dramatic losses over the past decade. Today, white 
evangelical Protestants account for 15 
percent<http://ava.prri.org/#religious/2017/States/religion/m/national> of the 
adult population, down from nearly one-quarter a decade earlier. By contrast, 
Mormons have held steady at roughly 2 
percent<http://ava.prri.org/#religious/2017/States/religion/m/national> of the 
US population for the past several years. And perhaps as importantly, Mormons 
are far younger than members of white Christian traditions.


At one time, sociologists and religion 
scholars<https://www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/abs/10.1086/230409> argued that 
theologically conservative churches, which demanded more of their members, were 
successful because they ultimately provided more rewarding religious and 
spiritual experiences. This theory has since fallen out of favor as the tide of 
disaffiliation appears to be washing over conservative and liberal 
denominations alike. The Southern Baptist Convention, the heart of conservative 
Protestantism, has sustained 12 straight years of membership loses. Since 2007, 
the denomination has shed 1.2 million 
members<https://www.arkansasonline.com/news/2018/jun/10/southern-baptists-to-reflect-on-numbers-1/>.


But more than the rules, rituals, and rigorous theology, the success of the 
Mormon Church may have to do with their unrelenting focus on the family. Few 
religious communities have made the development and maintenance of traditional 
family structures such a central priority. Eighty-one 
percent<http://www.pewforum.org/2012/01/12/mormons-in-america-family-life/> of 
Mormons say being a good parent is one of their central life goals. Nearly 
three-quarters say having a good marriage is one of their most important 
priorities in life, and a majority of Mormons — including nearly equal numbers 
of men and 
women<http://www.pewforum.org/2012/01/12/mormons-in-america-family-life/> — 
believe that the most satisfying type of marriage is one in which the husband 
provides and the wife stays home.

Mormon emphasis on family strengthens ties

There’s no better illustration of this emphasis than family home evening. The 
church introduced this officially sanctioned weekly event in 1915 with the goal 
of strengthening family ties and engaging children in religious and spiritual 
activities, such as prayer, singing hymns, and reading Scripture. Sociologist 
Vern Bengtson, author of Families and Faith: How Religion Is Passed Down Across 
Generations<https://global.oup.com/academic/product/families-and-faith-9780199948659?cc=us&lang=en&;>,
 described family home evening as among the “most successful [religious] 
programs fostering intergenerational 
connections<https://www.theatlantic.com/family/archive/2018/03/mormon-family-home-evening/556658/>.”


It’s no accident that Mormon families tend toward traditional two-parent 
households with children. A 2015 Pew Research 
report<http://www.pewresearch.org/fact-tank/2015/05/22/mormons-more-likely-to-marry-have-more-children-than-other-u-s-religious-groups/>
 shows that Mormons are more likely to be married and to have larger families 
than other Christians. Roughly two-thirds of Mormons are married, compared to 
only about half (52 percent) of Christians overall.


Even more importantly, Mormons are more likely to marry within their faith than 
members of most other religious traditions: 82 percent of married Mormons 
report that their spouse is also Mormon. And Mormon families are large even 
compared to other Christian traditions, averaging 3.4 children compared to 2.2. 
children for all Christian households.


The structure of Mormon families is hugely advantageous when it comes to 
passing along religious identity. Family life has always been a critical source 
of religious vitality. It is the crucible within which religious identity is 
formed, rituals are learned and practiced, and beliefs take shape. As societal 
attitudes about sexual norms drift further from traditional religious norms, 
and the stigma of non-belief wanes, formative religious experiences are 
becoming even more important. A generation ago, most Americans who shed their 
childhood religious attachments did so during their college and post-college 
years. Today, four in five young 
adults<https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/college-professors-arent-killing-religion/>
 who report having left their childhood religion say the turning point occurred 
before they reached age 18, most likely when they were still sleeping under 
their parents’ roof.


Family dynamics and structure matter in at least two ways. Recent 
research<https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/religious-diversity-may-be-making-america-less-religious/>
 has shown that when Americans are raised in households with parents of 
different religious backgrounds, they have weaker attachments to religion as 
adults and are more likely to disaffiliate. Divorce, which can physically 
separate young people from their religious community and often creates greater 
emotional distance between children and parents, has also shown to hamper the 
transmission of religious values. Because the vast majority of Mormon children 
are raised in two-parent Mormon households, they are far more likely to receive 
robust and consistent religious instruction throughout their childhood.


Recognizing the centrality of family, the LDS Church has not been shy about 
encouraging young Mormons to start families early. In 2005, the LDS Church 
leadership was actively encouraging college students to start 
families<https://www.deseretnews.com/article/600110324/Fireside-focuses-on-families.html>
 even before they graduated. More recently church elder M. Russell Ballard 
urged Brigham Young University students to not 
<https://www.lds.org/church/news/elder-ballard-tackles-tough-topics-and-gives-timely-advice-to-young-adults?lang=eng>
 let educational goals lead them to postpone marriage. “You can accomplish both 
with hard work, sacrifice, and planning,” he said. “In fact, with a companion’s 
support, you can be more successful.” It’s a message that resonates with many 
Mormon college students.


A recent poll by College Pulse<https://collegepulse.com> of students currently 
attending four-year colleges and universities found that the most common 
response among students about the ideal age to be married was 28. However, the 
response among Mormon students was 24.

Young Mormons want a more tolerant church

Even with a concerted emphasis on family formation and religious education, 
there is evidence that an increasing number of Mormons are still leaving the 
church. The Pew Research Center’s 2014 Religious Landscape 
Survey<http://www.pewforum.org/2015/05/12/chapter-2-religious-switching-and-intermarriage/>
 found that 64 percent of those raised in Mormon households still identify as 
Mormon as adults. And while this rate is still better than that of most other 
Christian 
denominations<http://www.pewforum.org/2015/05/12/chapter-2-religious-switching-and-intermarriage/>,
 it represents a modest decline from 2007, when the retention rate stood at 70 
percent. Jana Riess, author of the upcoming book The Next Mormons: How 
Millennials Are Changing the LDS 
Church<https://go.redirectingat.com?id=66960X1516588&xs=1&url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.amazon.com%2FNext-Mormons-Millennials-Changing-Church%2Fdp%2F0190885203>,
 argues that younger Mormons are leading the way out the door, at least in part 
over the church’s 
hardline<https://religionnews.com/2016/04/14/mormons-20s-30s-leaving-lds-church/>
 stance on LGBTQ issues.

It is an argument that resonates with many younger Mormons. Jennifer struggles 
with her own feelings about the church’s treatment of gay and lesbian people. 
“I wished that certain doctrines would have come out differently, and I wished 
that things had been communicated differently,” she says. Sarah, another young 
Mormon mother, concedes that the church might be out of step with young people 
— even younger Mormons — on the issue of same-sex marriage. “A lot of members 
of the church feel like more love is better and being more welcoming is 
better,” she says. But there are signs that the church hierarchy is listening.

Quin Monson, a professor of political science at BYU and co-author of Seeking 
the Promised Land: Mormons and American 
Politics<https://go.redirectingat.com?id=66960X1516588&xs=1&url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.amazon.com%2FSeeking-Promised-Land-American-Cambridge%2Fdp%2F1107662672>,
 says that while the church has maintained its conservative theological stance, 
it is offering a kinder and gentler approach on hot-button social issues like 
LGBTQ rights. “It’s a matter of emphasis and how the church talks about social 
issues,” he says.


In 2016, the LDS Church launched a website called Mormon and 
Gay<https://mormonandgay.lds.org/> featuring firsthand accounts of Mormons who 
identify as gay, lesbian, or bisexual. Importantly, the church remains opposed 
to same-sex marriage, but church leaders have adopted much more inclusive 
language<https://www.lds.org/church/news/elder-ballard-tackles-tough-topics-and-gives-timely-advice-to-young-adults?lang=eng>
 when discussing LGBTQ members of the church. “It shows the church is taking a 
step in the direction of understanding and empathy,” Monson says.


This shift stands in stark contrast to what is unfolding in the United 
Methodist Church, which recently voted to toughen prohibitions on same-sex 
marriage and LGBTQ 
clergy<https://www.theatlantic.com/politics/archive/2019/02/united-methodists-fracture-lgbt-plan-rejected/583693/>.
 The Catholic Church remains similarly steadfast in its opposition to same-sex 
marriage. The Vatican’s website describes 
homosexuality<http://www.vatican.va/archive/ccc_css/archive/catechism/p3s2c2a6.htm>
 as “contrary to the natural law” and claims that “homosexual acts are 
intrinsically disordered.” The Southern Baptist Convention does not feature the 
issue of homosexuality or gay and lesbian people prominently. But the 
denomination’s position<http://www.sbc.net/aboutus/positionstatements.asp> on 
the issue is clear: “Homosexuality is not a ‘valid alternative lifestyle.’”

At the congregational level, members of conservative churches still receive 
negative messages about LGBTQ people with some regularity. A 2016 Pew Research 
Center study found that 46 
percent<http://www.pewforum.org/2016/08/08/many-americans-hear-politics-from-the-pulpit/>
 of white evangelical Protestants said their clergy had brought up the issue of 
homosexuality in the past couple of months, and the overwhelming majority of 
those who reported hearing about the issue said their clergy spoke out against 
it.


The reasons Americans leave religion are varied, often complex, and incredibly 
personal. As a result, there is no single tactic that will ensure the vitality 
of religious congregations in the US. But the Mormon experience is instructive. 
At a time when the American family is undergoing seismic 
shifts<https://www.nytimes.com/2013/11/26/health/families.html> in structure 
and function, the church appears to be leaning into its emphasis on traditional 
family life and roles. However, the church appears much more willing to change 
its approach and rhetoric, if not theology, when it comes to LGBTQ members.


Every religious congregation in the US will have to make the same bet about 
which traditions and practices are inviolable and which are not, where to bend, 
and where to hold firm. Time will be the ultimate arbiter as to whether the 
Mormon Church got it right. Bengtson’s study provides a reason to think Mormons 
may be successful in their fight against religious decline. Among the 350 
families he studied, no religious group was more 
effective<https://www.deseretnews.com/article/865593024/Faith-in-the-family-How-belief-passes-from-one-generation-to-the-next.html>
 in passing on their religious identity and beliefs to their children than 
Mormons.



Daniel Cox is a research fellow in polling and public opinion at the American 
Enterprise Institute (AEI), where he specializes in survey research, politics, 
youth culture and identity, and religion. Before joining AEI, he was the 
research director at the Public Religion Research Institute, which he 
co-founded, and where he led the organization’s qualitative and quantitative 
research program.

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