Date: Mon, 14 Aug 2000 11:12:31 -0600
>     From: "Bobi's YA email" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
>  Subject: 14 AND UNDER - THE TARGET
>  
>  
>  
>  The Probability of Accepting Christ Is Highest Among Kids Under 14
>  >
>  > The following article was written by the The Barna Research Group.  The
>  > Barna Research Group, Ltd. is an independent marketing research company
>  > located in Ventura, California. Since 1984 it has been studying
cultural
>  > trends related to values, beliefs, attitudes and behaviors. This
research
>  > was funded solely by Barna Research as part of its regular tracking of
>  > attitudes, values and behavior. Future data releases of this nature may
be
>  > obtained for free by subscribing to The Barna Update, a free bi-weekly
>  > e-mailing of new data drawn from Barna Research Group studies. To
>  > subscribe, enter your e-mail address in the Barna Update subscription
>  > field.  Visit their website at www.barna.org.
>  >
>  >
>  >   (Ventura, CA) Jesus said, "Let the little children come to me…for
>  > the kingdom of Heaven belongs to such as these." (Matthew 19:14, NIV)
His
>  > words are being fulfilled in American society according to new data
from
>  > the Barna Research Group of Ventura, California.  The company's
nationwide
>  > surveys have determined the probability of people accepting Christ as
>  > their savior in relation to a person's age.  The data show that if a
>  > person does not accept Jesus Christ as savior before the age of 14, the
>  > likelihood of ever doing so is slim.
>  >
>  >   Based on a nationwide representative sampling of more than 4200
>  > young people and adults, the survey data show that people from ages 5
>  > through 13 have a 32% probability of accepting Christ as their savior.
>  > Young people from the ages of 14 through 18 have just a 4% likelihood
of
>  > doing so, while adults (ages 19 through death) have only a 6%
probability
>  > of making that choice.
>  >
>  >   While this information is consistent with other Barna studies over
>  > the years that have shown that a large majority of Christians accept
Jesus
>  > Christ as their savior before they reach the age of 18, this is the
first
>  > study that has calculated people's probability of accepting Christ at
>  > different life stages.  The data also challenges the widely-held belief
>  > that the teenage years are  prime years for evangelistic activity.
>  >
>  >   The study points out that children and adolescents are most impacted
>  > evangelistically by family members, peers and their youth group (e.g.
>  > Sunday school, mid-week faith-based youth activities).  In fact, the
years
>  > prior to age 12 are when a majority of children make their decision as
to
>  > whether or not they will follow Christ.
>  >
>  >   The data were analyzed by George Barna, president of the firm that
>  > conducted the research.  He indicated that the information must be
>  > carefully interpreted.  "The statistics are eye-opening because they
show
>  > how little evangelistic impact we are having in America upon teenagers
and
>  > adults.  However, that does not mean that teenagers and adults cannot
be
>  > reached with the gospel.  It simply challenges the approaches currently
>  > used to reach those individuals.  Consider that churches spend the bulk
of
>  > their evangelism-specific resources on adults,largely through events
and
>  > collateral materials.  However, the most effective evangelistic
strategies
>  > tend to be intensely relational and are less frequently emphasized by
>  > churches.  It could well be that if churches upgraded their
evangelistic
>  > strategies and reallocated their resources, the probability of
teenagers
>  > and adults embracing Christ as their savior would rise."
>  >
>  >   The study clearly notes, however, that the greatest evangelistic
>  > window currently available is among young children, which led Barna to
>  > discuss other possibilities for churches to consider.
>  >
>  >   Among the potential shifts mentioned were:
>  >
>  > * refocusing teen ministries from an evangelistic thrust to a
>  > discipleship emphasis;
>  > * better preparing parents for family-based evangelism;
>  > * investing greater resources for child and adolescent ministry;
>  > * establishing closer partnerships between churches and parachurch
>  > ministries geared to child evangelism;
>  > * implementing more effective evangelistic strategies among teenagers;
>  >
>  > * and encouraging and equipping young people who have accepted Christ
>  > as their savior to share their faith with peers.
>  >
>  > Barna also mentioned that his firm's research "has consistently shown
that
>  > between the ages of 18 and 24 we lose a very large percentage of young
>  > people who had been regulars at church.  Recognizing the phases of
faith
>  > maturity that kids go through and developing the content of our
ministry
>  > to kids in light of those stages might improve the ability of churches
to
>  > retain young people, rather than to have to win them back once they
enter
>  > parenthood."
>  >
>  > Survey Methodology
>  >
>  > The research was based upon three separate surveys among adults, each
>  > involving more than 1000 interviews, plus two separate surveys among
>  > people 18 and under, both involving over 600 youths.  The estimated
>  > sampling error for each of the adult surveys is +3 percentage points at
>  > the 95% confidence level.  The estimated sampling error for each of the
>  > youth surveys is +4 percentage points at the 95% confidence interval. 
The
>  > aggregate database for this research thus includes more than 4200
>  > completed interviews, providing data with an estimated sampling error
of
>  > less than two percentage points at the 95% confidence interval.
>  >
>  >   Accepting Jesus Christ as one's savior was determined by asking
>  > survey respondents if they have ever made a personal commitment to
Jesus
>  > Christ that is still important in their life today.  If they indicated
>  > they had done so, then they were asked a follow-up question regarding
what
>  > would happen to them after they died physically.  Among the seven
options
>  > provided was "when I die I will go to Heaven because I have confessed
my
>  > sins and have accepted Jesus Christ as my savior."  Respondents who
>  > selected that option from the seven alternatives were included in the
>  > category of those who have accepted Christ as their savior.
>  >
>  >   All of the interviews were conducted from the Barna Research Group
>  > telephone interviewing facility.  People in the 48 continental states
were
>  > eligible to be interviewed and the distribution of interviews coincided
>  > with the geographic dispersion of the U.S. adult population. Multiple
>  > callbacks were used to increase the probability of including a reliable
>  > distribution of respondents.
>  





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