Dana,

Excellent question.

More than 20 years of PV degradation research conducted by NREL and others has 
shown the dominant loss to be in the Isc and fill-factor aspects of PV 
performance due to increasing effective series resistance.   Voc stays 
essentially stable over the life of the PV module.  Vmp will decrease over time 
depending on the severity of the impact on fill factor.  With 0.5% average 
annual degradation in PV wattage, and attributing [say] 80% of the wattage 
reduction to a decrease in current, the balance of the difference would be a 
reduction in Vmp.

A copy of one such study is here.

www.nrel.gov
Document: Photovoltaic Degradation Rates - An Analytical Review
By: Dirk C. Jordan and Sarah R. Kurtz
Journal Article NREL/JA-5200-51664, June 2012
Contract No. DE-AC36-08GO28308


Dan Lepinski


--------------------------------------------
On Tue, 6/3/14, Dana Brandt <[email protected]> wrote:

Subject: [RE-wrenches] Module Degradation - voltage or current?
To: "RE-wrenches" <[email protected]>
Date: Tuesday, June 3, 2014, 5:41 PM
 
Hi Wrenches,
 
Does anyone know what percentage of module degradation over time is voltage and 
what is current? I'm wanting to make sure we give ourselves plenty of breathing 
room on the minimum Vmp of the inverters over the long term so need to try to 
anticipate how much voltage we'll lose on the
array over 30 years.
 
 
 
Thanks,
 
Dana
 
Dana Brandt
Ecotech Energy Systems, LLC
www.ecotechenergy.com
[email protected]
 
 
360.318.7646

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