Mobile Linux: the cost effective and open threat to the OS market

With a relatively low market share, the adoption of Linux as a mobile OS is
set to increase dramatically over the next few years, and poses a long term
threat to companies such as Symbian, Microsoft and Palm. The recent
announcement by Motorola that its device strategy for 2005 is to include up
to ten new models based on Linux is hugely significant.

In its latest report into the Mobile Operating Systems industry, "Mobile
Linux: the cost effective and open threat to the OS market", visiongain
highlights that the current low uptake in Linux-based handsets is due to
increase, so much so that by 2006 it will be deployed by most device
manufacturers. Indeed, it is believed that all of the major handset
manufacturers are currently investigating the technology. The significant
drivers behind the uptake of it are the cost effectiveness that it offers
and its openness, especially compared to the proprietary OS being marketed.

* What is your company's strategy towards Linux?
* What are your rivals doing in this area?
* What opportunities will Linux offer you in the future?
* What moves are already being made to port Linux on to handsets?
Don't risk not knowing and being left behind, find out the answers to these
questions and more in this informative report!!


Why you must buy this report
This 130+ page report explores all of the major operating systems, but with
a particular emphasis on Linux, its market position and share. This is
achieved through analysis of the competitive landscape of the wireless
industry, including descriptions of key players, and analysis and vital
comparisons of all the main open operating systems that are being used by
equipment manufacturers. With descriptions of the different mobile devices
available in the market currently manufactured by the companies that are
making Mobile Linux a reality gain an understanding of what features are on
offer and what is expected in the future.

This informative report explores the impact of Linux on the strategies of
operators, and on device manufacturers producing for smartphones, PDAs and
more basic mobile phones. The Linux ecosystem is explained and all of the
players responsible within the ecosystem are described under systematic
categorisation. The main handset manufactures and their strategies  are then
highlighted.

Do you know the benefits and constraints of Linux? This latest report
provides you with detailed analysis of the future of Linux in the mobile
world through extensive analysis, supported by charts, figures and tables.

Find out the many reasons why Linux is shaping up to become so important in
the wireless industry. For example, one such reason to investigate Linux in
the wireless industry is that it will impact on the dominance currently held
by Symbian, due to the lower cost of deployment, and the reliability and
flexibility Linux offers.

Who should read the report?
The implications of the introduction of Linux based handsets are huge, and
they affect many different types of company across the entire industry. Most
notably:
* Device manufacturers
* Network operators
* Software developers
* Content providers
* Consultants



Table of contents


Chapter 1.      Introduction

1.1             Increasing Voice and Data Usage
Chart 1         Worldwide Percentage Data Revenues in 2003
Chart 2         Global Data Revenues in 2010 (Billion Euro)
Chart 3         Percentage Contribution from Mobile Services in 2010
1.2             The Operating System (OS) Debate
1.3             Contenders for OS Race
1.4             Linux Emerging as Key Contender
1.5             Aim of the Report
1.6             Structure of the Report
1.7             Why Linux?
1.7.1   Changes in the Competitive Landscape
1.7.2   Political Support for Linux
Chart 4         Handset Penetration by OS in Q2 2004


Chapter 2       Linux: The technology

2.1             Origin of Linux
2.1.1   Linux: The Free OS
2.1.2   The Official Mascot of Linux
2.2             The Initial Fight
2.2.1   Adaptability of Linux
2.3             Availability of Linux
2.4             Linux: Open Source Code
2.4.1   Formal Rules
2.4.2   Informal Rules
2.5             Roots of Linux
2.6             Popularity of Linux and its users
2.6.1   Where is Linux being used?
2.6.1.1         Applications of Linux
2.6.1.1.1       Internet Servers
2.6.1.1.2       Desktop
2.6.1.1.3       Computation Server
2.6.1.1.4       Mail / Groupware Servers
2.6.1.1.5       Network Box
2.6.1.1.6       PDA
2.6.1.1.7       Smartphones


Chapter 3       The Handset World around us

3.1             Wireless Market
3.1.1   Changing Mobile Equipment Market
3.1.2   Subscriber Growth
Chart 5         Worldwide Subscriber Growth (2003-2010)
3.1.3   Replacement Handset Sales
Chart 6         Handset Shipment Statistics (2003-2010)
3.1.4   Industry Moving Forward
3.1.5   Growth of 3G Services
Chart 7         Growth of 3G Subscribers (2003-2010)
3.1.6   End User Outlook
3.2             Linux becoming one of the Fastest Growing OS in the Mobile 
Device
Market
3.2.1   Changing Customer Requirements
3.2.2   New Technologies: 3G and 3.5G
Chart 8         Linux Market Share in Mobile Handsets (2004-2010)
3.2.3   Benefits of Linux in Mobile Devices
3.3             Handset Manufacturers' Value Chain
Figure 1        Device Manufacturer's Value Chain
3.3.1   Interest in Linux
Table 1         Major Network Operators
Chart 9         Subscriber Figures for Major Operators (Q2 2004)
3.3.1.1         China
Table 2         Subscriber Statistics in China
3.3.1.1.1       Market Structure
Chart 10        Chinese Market Share by Operator in 2004
3.3.1.1.2       Market Development
3.3.1.1.3       China's Global Ambitions
3.3.1.1.4       Market of Linux Phones in China
3.3.1.1.4.1 E2800
3.3.1.1.4.2 A760
3.3.1.1.4.3 Other Handsets
3.3.1.2         Japan
2.9.1.2.1       Market Size/Penetration
Chart 11        Japanese Market Structure (September 2004)
3.3.1.3         Other Asian Countries
Chart 12        Subscriber Growth in Asia (2003-2010)
3.3.1.4         USA
Chart 13        Market Share of the US Operators (2004)
Chart 14        Mobile Penetration in the US (1998-2004)
3.3.1.5         Europe
Chart 15        Demand for Smartphones by Region
3.3.1.5.1       Where is the Growth in Europe?
Chart 16        Percentage Market Penetration in Europe
3.3.1.6         Linux Penetration Forecasts by Region
Chart 17        Linux Penetration Forecast by Region (2010)
Chart 18        Worldwide Linux Smartphone Shipments (2003-2010)
Chart 19        Number of Linux Smartphone Shipments by Region in 2010


Chapter 4       Mobile devices

4.1             Handset Architecture
4.1.1   Layers and Functions of Mobile Device
Figure 2        Layers and Functions of Mobile Devices
4.2             Types of Mobile Handsets
4.2.1   Low End Handsets
4.2.2   Vas and Multimedia Handsets
4.2.3   Smartphones
4.2.3.1         Wireless PDA's
Table 3         Comparison between Mobile Devices
4.3             The Mobile Device Software
Figure 3        Mobile Software (2003)
4.3.1   The OS Options
4.3.1.1         Proprietary OS for Mobile Devices
4.3.1.1.1       Examples of Proprietary Operating Systems
4.3.1.1.1.1 GEOS
4.3.1.1.1.2 Research in Motion (RIM) OS
4.3.1.1.1.3 The Problems with the Proprietary OS
4.3.1.1.1.4 User Interface (UI)
4.1.1.2         Open OS for the Mobile Devices
4.1.1.2.1       Symbian
4.1.1.2.1.1 Symbian OS Version 7
Figure 4        Symbian Smartphone
4.1.1.2.1.2 Symbian's Plans to Expand
4.1.1.2.1.3 Symbian's Competitive Advantage
4.1.1.2.1.4 Symbian and its Licensees
Table 4         Symbian's key Members
4.1.1.2.1.5 Other Licensing Partners
Table 5         Symbian Licensees
4.1.1.2.1.6 Challenges facing Symbian
4.1.1.2.2       Palm OS
4.1.1.2.2.1 Competitive Advantage
4.1.1.2.2.2 Keeping up with Competition
4.1.1.2.2.3 Jumping into Mobile Handset Market
4.1.1.2.3       Microsoft
4.1.1.2.3.1 New Software Releases
4.1.1.2.3.2 Microsoft Customises
Figure 5        Samsung i700
4.1.1.2.3.3 Criticism of the OS?
4.1.1.2.3.4 Competitive Advantage
4.1.1.2.3.5 Challenges facing Microsoft
4.1.1.2.3.6 Motorola embraces Microsoft Software
4.1.1.2.4       SavaJe
4.2             Where do these Operating Systems Stand?
4.2.1   Symbian: The Leader in the OS Race
4.2.2   Microsoft Speeding Up?
4.2.2.1         2005 and Beyond?
4.2.3   SavaJe's Outlook
4.2.3.1         SavaJe's New Partnerships
4.2.4   Linux Will Threaten Symbian Dominance
4.3             The Competition Intensifies
4.4             Comparison between the Open OS
Table 6         Comparison between the Operating Systems
4.5             Which OS to incorporate into Smartphones?
4.5.1           Factors Influencing Vendor Choice
4.6             Key Statistics
Chart 20        Smartphone OS Market (2009)
Chart 21        Smartphone Shipments based on 3rd Party OS (2003-2010)


Chapter 5       Linux Ecosystem

5.1             Embedded Linux
5.1.1   Fertile Field for Linux
5.2             Linux Ecosystem Analysed
Figure 6        Linux Market Place
Figure 7        Linux Software Ecosystem
5.2.1   Players in the Linux Market
5.2.1.1         Operators
5.2.1.1.1       DoCoMo
5.2.1.1.1.1     Impact of DoCoMo on Linux
5.2.1.1.1.2 DoCoMo's Stake in MontaVista will further bolster Linux's growth
5.2.1.1.2       China Mobile
5.2.1.1.2.1 China Mobile's Linux Strategy
5.2.1.1.2.2 Growth Opportunities
5.2.1.2         Chip Manufacturers
5.2.1.2.1       Texas Instruments
5.2.1.3         Linux Service Providers
5.2.1.3.1       MontaVista
5.2.1.3.1.1 MontaVista's Linux for Embedded Devices
5.2.1.4         Software Developers
5.2.1.4.1       Trolltech
5.2.1.4.1.1 Qtopia Editions
5.2.1.4.1.2 Qtopia Features:
5.2.1.4.2       OpenWave
5.2.1.4.2.1 OpenWave's core product line
5.2.1.4.3       NetFront
5.2.1.4.4       Cat
5.2.1.4.5       Renesas
5.2.1.4.6       Metrowerks
5.2.1.4.7       Samsung's Nand Flash Software
5.2.1.5         Device Manufacturers
5.2.1.5.1       Samsung
5.2.1.5.1.1 Samsung's First Linux based Smartphone
5.2.1.5.1.2 Samsung's Strategy
5.2.1.5.2       NEC and Panasonic
5.2.1.5.3       Motorola
5.2.1.5.3.1 Motorola's Pursuit
5.2.1.5.4       E28
5.2.1.5.5       Datang
5.2.1.5.6       Other Players
5.2.1.5.6.1 IBM
5.3             Devices available in the Market
5.3.1   Motorola A760
Figure 8        Motorola A760
5.3.2   Motorola A768
5.3.3   Motorola A780
5.3.4   Motorola E680
5.3.5   Samsung SCH-i519
5.3.6   Wildseed mobile phone
5.3.7   NEC N900iL
Figure 9        NEC N900iL
5.3.8   Other Linux Based Device
Table 7         Summary of Key Linux Handsets in the Market
Table 8         List of Linux Smartphones and PDA's
Table 9         Specifications of Available Linux Handsets in the Market
5.4             Further Developments
5.4.1   E28 and its Linux Software
5.4.2   LG and SavaJe
5.4.3   Palm Source and Linux


Chapter 6       Standards and Regulations

6.1             CE Linux Forum
6.2             Embedded Linux Consortium (ELC)
6.3             The Linux Standard Base (LSB)
6.3             Who owns Linux?
6.3.1   SCO
6.3.2   SCOsource Licensing
6.3.2.1         SCO Intellectual Property License Program

Chapter 7       Linux Market
7.1             Benefits of Linux
7.1.1   Independence from the new OS releases from other Companies
7.1.2   Low Cost
7.1.3   Stability
7.1.4   Performance
7.1.5   Network Friendliness
7.1.6   Flexibility
7.1.7   Compatibility
7.1.8   Choice
7.1.9   Fast and Easy Installation
7.1.10  Memory Constraints
7.1.11  Multitasking
7.1.12  Security
7.1.13  Open Source
7.1.14  Long-Term Benefits
7.1.15  Huge Community of Developers
7.2             The Challenges facing Linux
7.2.1   Linux Fragmentation
7.2.2   Royalty Issues
7.2.3   Economical but not so economical
7.2.4   Compatibility for Handset Environment
7.2.4.1         Memory and Power Management
7.2.5   Complicated OS
7.2.6   Lack of one company support
7.2.7   Handset Size
7.2.8   Not enough Community support in Mobile Arena
7.2.9   Newcomer Status
7.2.10  Lack of solid real-time performance
7.3             The Pros and Cons of Linux for Mobiles
7.4             Attaining Commercial Viability
7.5             Why is Linux taking time to pick up?
Chart 22        Open OS Market Share (2009)
7.5.1   The Great Delay
7.5.2   Competition
7.5.3   Pricing
Table 10        Device Royalties for OS
7.6.            OS Potential
7.6.1   Potential in Asia
7.6.2   Potential in Europe and the US
7.6.2.1         E28 and its plans for Europe and the US
Chart 23        Smartphone Shipments for Western Europe (Q3-2002-Q3-2004)
7.7             Linux's Popularity
Chart 24        Linux Smartphone Shipments By Region (2010)
7.8             Shape of things to come
Figure 10       Mobile Software (2008)


Chapter 8       Market Statistics

8.1             Lack of demand for Linux by Operators
8.2.1   Kyocera's Reluctance
8.2.2   Samsung's Choices
8.2.3   Nokia's Options
8.2.4   Motorola's Stand
8.2.5   LG's Ambitions
8.2.6   Sharp and Sony Ericsson
8.2.7   NEC and Panasonic
8.3             Linux's Market Share Analysis
8.3.1   Smartphone Market Share
Chart 25        Smartphone Market Share of total Handsets (2003)
Chart 26        Smartphone Market Share (2009)
8.3.1.1         Smartphone Shipment Growth
Chart 27        Smartphone Shipments (2003-2010)
8.3.1.2         Smartphones Shipment will beat PC       Shipment
8.3.1.3         Demand in China
8.3.2   The OS Wars
8.3.2.1         OS Market Share Analysis
Chart 28        Operating System Overall Market Share (PDA and Smartphones 2002)
Chart 29        Operating System Overall Market Share (PDA and Smartphones Q3 
2004)
8.3.2.2         Symbian Dominating the Scene
Chart 30        Total Handset Market Share by Vendor (2003)
8.3.2.3         A brief comparison between the OS's in Smartphone Segment
Chart 31        Operating System Market Share in Smartphone Segment ( Q3 2004)
8.3.3   PDA Market Share
8.3.3.1 PDA Market
Chart 32        Growth in the PDA Market (2003-2009)
Chart 33        PDA Market Share (Q3 2003 -Q3 2004)
8.3.3.2         Brief Comparison of OS in the PDA Segment
8.4             Other Technologies Supporting Linux
8.4.1   Java
8.4.1.1         Java Complements Linux
Chart 34        Revenues from Java (2003-2011)
8.4.1.2         Java Technology: Providing a Boost to the Application 
Development
8.4.1.3         Java Handset Growth
Chart 35        Demand for Java Handsets (2003-2010)
8.4.1.4         Java Growth
8.5             Mobile Handsets moving the PC way
8.6             Should Linux be used for Low end phones?
8.7             Linux will have to prove its technological worth
Chart 36        Handset Shipment comparison between Linux and Symbian (2004)
Chart 37        Q2 2004 Shipments
Chart 38        Linux's Share based on GSM/CDMA Technologies (2004)
Chart 39        Linux's Share based on 2G/3G Technologies (2004)


Chapter 9       Conclusion

9.1             Linux's SWOT Analysis
Table 11        Linux SWOT Analysis
9.2             Mobile and Linux
9.3             Recommendations for Device Manufacturers and Network Operators
9.4             Linux is Ready
9.5             Points highlighted in the Report



List of companies mentioned in the report
ALLTEL
Apple
Arima
AT&T Wireless
BEA
BenQ
Casio
China Mobile
China MobileSoft
China Unicom
Cingular
Compaq
Datang
Dell
DoCoMo
E28
Emuzed
Ericsson
Esmertec
Fujitsu
Handspring
Hewlett-Packard
Hitachi
Hopen
HTC
IBM
Intel
KDDI
Kyocera
LG Electronics
Matsushita
Metrowerks
Microsoft
Mio
Mitsubishi
MiZi Research
MontaVista
Motorola
Movial
NEC
NetFront
Nextel
Nintendo
Nokia
OmniSky
OpenWave
Opera
Oracle
Orange
Palm Source
Palm One
Panasonic
Peoplesoft
Philips
Psion
Qtopia
Qualcomm
Red Hat
Renesas
RIM
Samsung
Sanyo
SAP
Sasken
SavaJe
SCO
Sendo
Sharp
Siemens
Sleepy Cat
Sony
Sony Ericsson
Sprint
Sun
Symbian
TAO
Telefonica
Texas Instruments
T-Mobile
Toshiba
Trolltech
Verizon
Vodafone
Vodafone K.K
Wildseed
Wipro

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Mobile TV: Market Analysis and Forecasts 2004-2009 - a new report from
visiongain

Mobile phones and broadcast television are two of the most influential and
popular consumer technologies of the electronics age. So what happens when
the two are merged together? The answer is Mobile TV.

There is no doubt about it, Mobile TV is coming and you need to be aware of
its potential now!

Key Points Of This Report Include:

- Investigation and analysis of the drivers of Mobile TV
- Consumer demand and usage patterns of watching TV on the move
- Technology overviews of DVB-H, satellite DMB amongst others
- Cost-benefit analysis of general vs mobile-specific tailored content
- Emerging relationships between broadcast companies, mobile operators and
content providers

For further information please contact Lisa McCaig
mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED]

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