From: "james A. Mulick" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
(forwarded to rhetoric - pnews-l is a pointer/announcement list)

A scientist predicts the future?

Election Science

In the advent of the Iraq war, we had to worry about inspection science.
Now, as a national election approaches in the United States, we should
give a thought or two to election science. Among the rich possibilities
for research here, two questions emerge that need serious attention: How
do we guarantee the accountability of the voting system? And what does
information technology have to offer? We voters should be interested in
the answers, because we want to preserve our faith in the system and its
fairness. The two fundamental requirements are traceability (we'd like to
know that our vote counted as delivered) and privacy (we don't want our
vote known by others). The system for counting votes ought to deliver both
objectives without requiring us to rely on trust. In this important domain
of voterecording methods, we are now looking at a new technology that is
being quickly adopted: electronic touch-screen voting machines,
manufactured by a few corporations and delivered to a number of states for
hefty prices. Maryland, for example, just shelled out $55 million for
machines known as the Diebold Accu Vote- TS Voting System. Enthusiasm for
electronic vote-counting on the part of state election commissions is
understandable; few, naturally, want a debacle of the kind that turfed the
2000 Florida presidential vote into the Supreme Court.

Computer science and cryptography experts can get passionate about the
science issues here. The consensus view, with which a few will disagree,
is that for traceability, electronic machines should provide for a
voter-verifiable audit trail in which a computerized system prints a paper
ballot that is read and verified by the voter. Such paper confirmation can
be given to the voter privately, as well as be retained by officials for
later verification. Most of the machines aren't equipped for this
(including the ones that Maryland purchased, though Nevada has fared
better with a vendor whose e-machines are fitted with voter-verifiable
receipt printers). Although some machines can print vote totals and
transactional information at the close of an election, these are not
considered "voter-verifiable."

For the moment, never mind who's right about the need for paper. Most of
the machines out there don't allow for such an auditable paper trail, so
let's ponder the following hypothetical scenario. It's the morning after
Election Day, and it's still a tight race in the battleground state of
Ohio. It looks as
 if the incumbent president will win the national election if he takes
Ohio, but his lead there is only 2000 votes. A team of Democratic lawyers
is already challenging the count from several downstate
 jurisdictions in which voters are claiming that the vote recorded from
their precincts shows large majorities for Bush in sharp disagreement with
exit polls. Unfortunately, Diebold machines that do not provide
voter-verifiable receipts are in use in this particular district, and
public controversy is already high in the state (owing to an actual
pre-election statement by Diebold's chief executive officer, a prominent
Bush fundraiser, that he would "deliver" the state of Ohio to the
president). Thus, the aftermath of a savagely partisan US. election turns
into a field day for conspiracy theorists, and trust in government takes
another hit.

Is this just another exercise in political paranoia? Something of the sort
could happen in Maryland. At the 2004 IEEE Symposium on Security and
Privacy, the Johns Hopkins University Information Security Institute
reported an analysis of the Diebold computer software source code. They
found it "far below even the most minimal security standards applicable in
other contexts" and identified flaws that would allow the system to be
hacked for the purpose of changing votes. They also showed that this could
be accomplished at the "retail" level, by outsiders attacking a single
machine or precinct, or on the "wholesale" level, by insiders bent on
larger-scale manipulation. Since then, Diebold and Maryland have taken
some steps to improve the system to prevent security vulnerabilities.

So, you're ready to vote. Remember that not all electronic voting machines
will print out a receipt for you to verify your transactions. You press
all the right buttons and leave, hoping that your votes have registered.
Your state election commission may have asked you to take it on faith that
your vote will be counted correctly, perhaps because of "upgrades" that
have solved those computer code problems or some other glitch. As you
leave the polling place, how comfortable are you?


Donald Kennedy  Editor-in-Chief SCIENCE, Vol 306 29 October 2004
Posted in compliance with Fair Use Doctrine
Comments to follow...




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