http://www.truthout.org/docs_04/111704V.shtml
Election 2004: Lingering Suspicions
By Greg Guma
United Press International
Tuesday 16 November 2004
The Internet, that wonderful engine of democracy, is rife with messages
purporting to demonstrate how the U.S. presidential election results were
manipulated in ways benefiting the Republicans.
To start, voting analyses of selected Florida and Ohio precincts conducted
by the University of Pennsylvania's Steven Freeman and independent investigator
Faun Otter have revealed surprisingly high percentages for Bush. Those
skeptical about the results further suggest spoiled ballots and provisional
votes, which may have a disproportionate impact on the results in the areas
with high concentrations of minority voters, could have made the difference.
The earliest exit poll data released on Nov. 2 indicated Kerry - who had
run narrowly behind Bush but within the margin of error for most of the race -
was rolling to victory and carrying many of the battleground states, including
Florida and Ohio, by higher than expected margins. These same polls also
suggested the Republicans were ahead in most of the tight U.S. Senate races.
By the end of the night, however, the predictions in the presidential exit
were wrong while the Senate projections were largely correct.
Exit polling by Edison Media Research and Mitofsky International, which
created the National Election Poll for ABC, AP, CBS, CNN, Fox, and NBC, had
shown Kerry leading by 3 percentage points in Florida and by 4 points in Ohio.
Kerry lost Florida by 5.2 percent, with Bush running ahead of his 2000
performance in 58 of the state's 67 counties. In Ohio, the margin was 2.5
percent.
Florida's 8.2-percent spread - between the early exits and the results - is
more than double the standard error rate. In Ohio, the spread is 6.5 percent.
In Baker County, Fla. located near the city of Jacksonville and just across
the border from Georgia, there are 12,887 registered voters: 69.3 percent are
Democrats, 24.3 percent are Republicans. Yet 2,180 of county residents voted
for Kerry while 7,738 voted for Bush - the opposite of what some election
critics say was the typically pattern elsewhere in the United States.
http://www.truthout.org/docs_04/111704V.shtml
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