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From: Institute for War & Peace Reporting [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED]
Sent: Friday, November 05, 2004 3:29 PM
Subject: Balkan Crisis Report No. 524

WELCOME TO IWPR'S BALKAN CRISIS REPORT, No. 524, November 05, 2004

MOLDOVA FOCUS

COMMENT: IN SEARCH OF A SOLUTION
It is in the interests of both Russia and the European Union to solve a
problem knocking at both their doors.
By Nicholas Whyte in Brussels

NO END IN SIGHT
There are few hopes that Moldova's bitter 13-year conflict with its
breakaway Slav region can be resolved in the near future.
By IWPR contributors in Chisinau, Tiraspol and Bucharest

MEDIA SERVES TO DEEPEN DIVISIONS
A lack of solidarity, low professional standards and deep divides plague
journalism in Moldova and Transdniester.
By Natalia Angheli-Zaicenco in Chisinau

CRIME AND POVERTY HAUNT DISPUTED LANDS
Life is difficult for the people of Moldova and Transdniester, and confusion
over the unofficial border that divides them only adds to the misery.
By Corneliu Rusnac in Chisinau



MOLDOVA FOCUS


COMMENT: IN SEARCH OF A SOLUTION

It is in the interests of both Russia and the European Union to solve a
problem knocking at both their doors.

By Nicholas Whyte in Brussels

Moldova is soon to become one of the European Union's newest neighbours.
With the expected entry of Romania in 2007, the EU will share a long
frontier with the poorest country in Europe, which suffers from an uneasy
sense of identity and uncertain borders.

The unrecognised separatist region of Transdniester has been out of the
control of Moldova's capital, Chisinau, since 1992 and is essentially a
mafia-run fiefdom which survives thanks only to criminal profits and support
from certain circles in Russia and Ukraine - and the security presence of
the 14th Russian Army.

The region is a prime location for money laundering and the production and
illegal export of weapons. Firearms produced in and trafficked from
Transdniester are said to lack serial numbers, making them untraceable and
therefore ideal for organised crime.

In the current situation, such activities can be conducted in and from
Transdniester very easily and with impunity, as international law
enforcement bodies are not allowed there, and international governmental and
non-governmental organisations are unable to operate normally within its
borders.

As a result, it is difficult to provide training for officials or provide
expertise on legislation, awareness-raising campaigns and witness protection
programmes relating to trafficking issues when the authorities are not
recognised internationally and are resistant to international pressure and
intervention.

The civil war in Moldova was relatively mild by post-Soviet standards when
you consider the Georgian civil war, the Armenian-Azerbaijani war over
Nagorny Karabakh, or the decade of implosion in Chechnya. But this does not
make a long-term solution any easier to find.

A Russian attempt to break the deadlock, the so-called Kozak Memorandum of
November 2003, foundered on two issues: the constitutional set-up of a
reunited Moldovan state, and Russia's continued military presence in
Transdniester.

Russian officials admitted afterwards that their negotiator Dmitry Kozak -
an adviser to President Vladimir Putin - failed to get the necessary buy-in
to the plan from Washington and the EU via the existing OSCE negotiating
mechanism.

However, the EU's new European Neighbourhood Policy - which is designed to
improve stability and security in areas soon to border on the EU following
its expansion - has raised expectations in Moldova.

The European Commission will shortly be publishing an Action Plan for the
country, which should contain clear benchmarks for the country for
development of democracy, rule of law and human rights. After an initial
period when Chisinau got a relatively good bill of health on this score, the
2003 local elections and continuing state harassment of journalists and
media indicate a worrying trend.

A regime of visa sanctions against the Transdniestrian leadership, imposed
in early 2003 in frustration with their failure to move the peace process
forward, was intensified in July 2004 in reaction to Tiraspol's harassment
of Moldovan-language schools.

Tensions also rose in the divided town of Tighina/Bendery in autumn 2004,
when Transdniestrian militia seized control of a vital railway station.

The EU has a clear interest in helping to clean up the serious problems
caused by poverty and endemic crime in Moldova, as both threaten to bring
even greater problems with Romania's succession in perhaps fewer than three
years' time.

And whether or not one believes Chisinau's claims that Transdniestrian arms
are flowing to Caucasian rebels, it surely cannot be in Russia's long-term
interests to allow the dispute to continue to fester.

At present, international actors are unwilling to invest resources in
Moldova; the painful memory of last year's botched Kozak plan lingers.

What is needed is a joint EU-Russia effort to find a solution, in the
context of the European Neighbourhood Policy and also of Russian's 1999
commitment to withdraw its troops and equipment from Moldova, and
specifically from Transdniestria.

The EU's designated new external relations commissioner, Benita
Ferrero-Waldner, has had some experience of the issue from her time as
Chair-in-office of the OSCE in 2000.

Perhaps Brussels and Moscow will find the necessary time and energy to
resolve this comparatively minor problem soon.

Nicholas Whyte is Europe Programme Director of the International Crisis
Group in Brussels.


NO END IN SIGHT

There are few hopes that Moldova's bitter 13-year conflict with its
breakaway Slav region can be resolved in the near future.

By IWPR contributors in Chisinau, Tiraspol and Bucharest

The Republic of Moldova, a tiny nation sandwiched between Romania and
Ukraine, has struggled to cope with the independence it gained when the
Soviet Union dissolved in 1991.

Since then, it has gone from being the "breadbasket and vineyard" of the
former superpower to the poorest country in Europe, where 80 per cent of the
4.4 million-strong population lives below the poverty line.

Aside from whispers of corruption and worries over criminal activities such
as people-trafficking, the EU also views Moldova with concern because the
government there has had no control over 11 per cent of its territory for
nearly 14 years.

The breakaway republic of Transdniester, a sliver of land on the eastern,
left bank of the river Dniester close to Moldova's official border with
Ukraine, declared independence from the then Soviet republic in 1990 and has
remained defiantly separatist ever since.

Around 1,600 Russian troops and 20,000 tonnes of weaponry - the remnants of
the Soviet 14th Army - act as a security and police force in Transdniester,
which has retained its close links to Moscow.

No government or embassy recognises this breakaway nation, which is now
notorious as a haven for those who would traffic people, guns and drugs
across the often-porous borders of the former Soviet republics.

Before the Second World War, most of what is now the Moldovan state was part
of Romania, but the land was then annexed by the Soviet Union.

In the late Eighties, the largely Russian and Ukrainian population east of
the Dniester - who traditionally feel closer to Moscow than to the Moldovan
capital Chisinau - grew increasingly concerned that the central government
wanted the republic to join Romania.

The adoption of a law naming Moldovan - a language virtually identical to
Romanian - as the official state language in 1989 intensified these fears.
It prompted Russian-speaking officals across the Dniester to set up their
own administration in the city of Tiraspol and declare the area independent.

A short but bloody conflict followed in 1992, resulting in the deaths of
more than 700 people in the six months before Russian troops intervened to
bring fighting to a close.

Twelve years on, opinions are still bitterly divided as to the root cause of
the problems - leaving little hope that the situation can be normalised and
the country reunited.

Moldova's deputy minister for reunification, Victor Postolache, said, "The
conflict started because of the desire of a group of former Soviet officials
to keep control over Transdniester, a region that should be used as a
gateway to the whole Balkan region."

Ilie Ilascu, a former political prisoner who spent nine years in jail in
Tiraspol after the conflict, agrees with this assessment. "Russian
geopolitical interests were the only source of the war in this region," he
told IWPR.

But politicians and analysts on the other side of the river dismiss these
claims, insisting that Moldova's desire to rejoin Romania left them with
little choice but to protect the interests of the Russian-speaking
community.

Grigory Volovoi, a former Transdniester politician who now works as a
journalist, said, "The initial reaction of our leaders to the adoption of
the 1989 language law was to demand its amendment, and when this failed, to
insist that a free economic zone to be created in the region.

"When these requests were rejected and certain threats followed, a
referendum for the region's independence was organised and a new kind of
state was created."

Five years after the breakaway republic declared its independence - and
following intense mediation by the Organisation for Security and Cooperation
in Europe, OSCE, involving Russia and Ukraine - Chisinau and Tiraspol
finally produced a "memorandum of understanding", which guaranteed a certain
amount of autonomy for the region.

This was followed by an agreement signed at an OSCE summit in Istanbul in
1999, during which Russia agreed to end its military presence in the region
by the end of 2002. As yet, no timetable for this withdrawal has been
established, in spite of the OSCE putting aside 30 million US dollars to
help finance it.

In the meantime, plans to deploy an OSCE peacekeeping force have met with
considerable resistance in Tiraspol. "If such steps are taken, it would lead
to a new outbreak of conflict - including an armed one," Transdniester's
deputy security minister Oleg Gudymo warned recently.

Hopes for a peaceful solution were raised in November 2003, with a proposal
drafted by Moscow which envisaged turning Moldova into a federation in which
Transdniester would retain its governing and legislative bodies, including
control of its own budget and fiscal policy, and would have its own language
laws.

Moldovan president Vladimir Voronin, after initially making positive noises
about the proposal, went on to reject it following widespread opposition in
Chisinau to what was seen as a plan to undermine the sovereignty of the
state.

The idea of federalism is viewed with suspicion in the breakaway republic,
too.

"Most people [here] are totally against any kind of federal union with
Moldova, but they are also aware that economic cooperation between the two
sides is still necessary," said Sergey Ilchenko, senior editor of the
Dnestrovsky Kurier daily.

Grigory Marakutsa, speaker of the Transdniestrian parliament, said that
local officials were still discussing the construction of a common state, in
line with the wishes of the international community. "But more and more
voices [here] say that these negotiations are useless as it will soon be
quite possible to build a totally independent state outside Moldova," he
said at a recent press conference.

The republic's foreign affairs committee announced earlier this month that a
new referendum - where citizens would be asked to choose between continued
negotiations with Moldova on federalisation, or consolidating independent
status - was in the planning stages, although there was no mention of when
this plebiscite would be held.

Observers familiar with conditions in Transdniester doubt such a referendum
would be credible.

"There is no democratically elected government and those who want to express
their political opinions are afraid, as dissidents are followed by the
political police," said one Russian-speaking journalist, who spoke to IWPR
on condition of anonymity.

Across the river in the rest of the country, where the majority of the
population is of Moldovan origin, the idea of an independent Trandniester
fills many with unease.

Stefan Jurja, a former soldier who fought for Moldova during the 1992
conflict, said, "People [in Transdniester] have to put a stop to their
aggressive politics and illegitimate actions. Unfortunately, I am afraid
that Russia will ultimately succeed in imposing its views in favour of an
independent Transdniester."

Relations between Chisinau and Tiraspol were further strained in summer 2004
following Transdniester's decision to close down schools and kindergartens
that taught the Moldovan language using the Latin script. Transdniester has
retained the Soviet-era Cyrillic alphabet that was designed to differentiate
the language from Romanian, while Moldova has switched to Latin letters.

The heavy-handed school closures outraged the international community, which
slammed the decision as "linguistic cleansing".

This row largely went over the heads of the population on both sides of the
river, who had more pressing things to worry about.

"Many citizens have no opinion on the conflict because of poverty," said
Oazu Nantoi from the Institute for Public Policies in Chisinau. "They are
looking first of all to their own urgent economical and personal needs, and
to the country's problems after that.

"One survey asked Moldovans how they saw prospects for federalisation, and
80 per cent of those polled replied that they didn't know anything about it
and had no opinion either way."

Under such conditions, analysts believe that the only possible solution will
involve a continuation of the dialogue between Chisinau and Tiraspol, under
close international supervision.

"Russia, Ukraine, the EU, and the United States have to find a common stance
on the issue of Moldovan federalisation, and organise a meeting between
Moldovan and Transdniestran leaders in order to overcome the political
crisis," said Andrei Safonov, a political analyst in Transdniester. "There
is no other solution if Moldova is to become a stable and prosperous country
at the EU's borders."

Moldovan president Vladimir Voronin remains defiant, but concedes that any
resolution to this long-running and damaging conflict will ultimately depend
on the international community - particularly Moscow.

"The Transdniester regime is and will remain a puppet ruled by Russia and
Ukraine," said Voronin recently. "But I will never allow this region - this
huge, black and corrupt morasse - to get away."


MEDIA SERVES TO DEEPEN DIVISIONS

A lack of solidarity, low professional standards and deep divides plague
journalism in Moldova and Transdniester.

By Natalia Angheli-Zaicenco in Chisinau

A group of journalists picket the entrance to the National Radio building in
the Moldovan capital Chisinau, yet others continue to work. Another group go
on hunger strike to draw attention to censorship and poor working
conditions, while their colleagues diligently study a "media freedom"
initiative by the Moldovan president.

This is a snapshot of the present-day media scene in Moldova, which suffers
from a lack of solidarity between journalist, bad employment practices and
poor reporting standards.

Journalists remain largely divided along political, linguistic and even
geographical lines, while international surveys all point to a worsening of
media freedom in the country.

Despite a large number of outlets, few newspapers have a circulation
exceeding 10,000, and a limited number of broadcasters can boast a
significant amount of original programming in their output. Most newspapers
are poorly-designed tabloids which run politically-biased articles. The
majority of radio and television channels re-broadcast foreign programmes,
largely from Russia.

In the absence of advertising, media organisations largely depend on
different forms of sponsorship for survival. As a result, they often run
"advertorials" and paid-for "expos�s", and hence have a tendency to hire
young or inexperienced reporters who will write whatever they are ordered
to.

Indeed, according to a recent survey, two-thirds of Moldovan journalists
have been in the profession for less than a decade, and only a quarter admit
to having had any professional training in the last five years.

They seldom make more than 100 US dollars a month, and most have to
moonlight in order to make ends meet.

Editors prefer their reporters to cover a range of topics rather than
concentrating on specific beats. As a result, specialty journalism - and
especially investigative reporting - is underdeveloped.

The few investigative journalists are routinely denied access to information
of public interest, and are frequently harassed.

In June 2004, Alina Anghel of Timpul weekly was hospitalised with concussion
and a broken arm after being attacked in broad daylight near her apartment.
Anghel, who had written extensively about cases of government corruption,
believed the attack was directly related to her work.  Several weeks later
the police claimed to have arrested the attacker, but the reporter suspects
he wasn't the real culprit.

Libel suits are another method employed by the authorities to thwart
reporters. The law does not impose a ceiling on libel awards, which has left
some media close to bankruptcy.

Journalists frequently fail to respond to these challenges in an effective
manner. One reason for this is persisting linguistic divisions. The media
scene is split between Moldovan- and Russian-language players, and their
journalists often belong to different professional associations.

Moreover, events reported in Russian-language media are frequently presented
very differently in Moldovan outlets and vice versa. And sometimes, there's
a significant variation in the range of issues covered by both.

Under these circumstances, it is hardly surprising that journalists rarely
put up a united front in the face of threats to their profession.

Such was the case of the strike at TeleRadio Moldova, TRM, in the summer of
2004. Protests were sparked by what were believed to have been unfair
staffing procedures.

As part of efforts to turn TRM from a state into a public service
broadcaster, the authorities decided to replace its entire staff, despite
concerns from local and international media experts.

After the new recruits were announced, TRM journalists broke into the
National Radio building on July 27 - where the selection committee had been
meeting - claiming that the hiring process lacked transparency and that
"inconvenient" members of staff had been sacked.

The protesters demanded the resignation of the selection committee as well
as the rest of the TRM management. The latter responded by stripping them of
their journalist IDs and banning them from the premises.

In August, the stand-off escalated and police used force to disperse a crowd
of protesting journalists. International watchdog organisations deplored the
authorities' heavy-handed approach towards the protesters and called for the
TRM recruitment policy to be reviewed. At home, however, there was a
distinct lack of sympathy amongst their colleagues.

In the meantime, TRM's management continued to ignore the protesters'
demands and refused to offer them airtime to express their views. The
journalists are now attempting to sue the station's executives for
incompetence and several of the former have gone on hunger strike.

Another problem faces by journalists is their limited access to a sizeable
part of Moldova - which hampers balanced and comprehensive coverage of the
region.

Less than 60 kilometres east of Chisinau, the Transdniester region is
effectively run as a separate state.

The media is under the tight control of the authorities, and visiting
journalists are viewed with suspicion. Reporters from Chisinau-based media,
as well as colleagues from overseas, have had a series of run-ins with the
Transdniestrian police.

In September 2004, TRM cameraman Dinu Mija spent several days in jail for
"illegally entering the territory of the Transdniestrian republic and
offering resistance to the authorities".

Mija was seized and his camera smashed as he tried to film a protest by
railway employees in the town of Tighina. Earlier that month, a visiting BBC
film crew was detained for several hours after attempting to shoot footage
of a Soviet-era munitions dump. According to a Radio Free Europe/Radio
Liberty report, Tiraspol accused the team of "possibly collecting military
intelligence for NATO or the United States".

Soviet-style conspiracy theories are rife in the region's media, and
Transdniestrians are constantly being urged to remain "vigilant" in the face
of "Moldova's subversive activities".

The tone of coverage becomes even more confrontational whenever tensions
between the authorities and local leaders mount.

In summer 2004, as negotiations on the status of the region reached their
current nadir, Transdniestrian newspapers were full of page-long editorials
calling on the local population to stand up in the face of Moldova's plans
to "launch military aggression".

Meanwhile, newspapers in Moldova were focusing on the plight of several
Moldovan-language schools closed by the authorities in Transdniestria, where
Russian is the dominant language.

The communication gap is enforced by Trandsniestrian officials, who
discourage local journalists from contacting the authorities in Chisinau to
check facts or hear the Moldovan side of the story. Reporters who disobey
this unwritten law are routinely summoned for questioning.

With such intimidation, the poor communication between journalists, the
biased nature of much of the political reporting, and the overall shortage
of money and resources, the people of Moldova and Transdniester are being
sold short. They are served a skewed and fragmented picture of reality, and
there is no section of the media that can be relied upon to act as public
watchdog.

Natalia Angheli-Zaicenco is senior consultant at the Independent Journalism
Centre in Chisinau.


CRIME AND POVERTY HAUNT DISPUTED LANDS

Life is difficult for the people of Moldova and Transdniester, and confusion
over the unofficial border that divides them only adds to the misery.

By Corneliu Rusnac in Chisinau

Sergiu Nirca worked hard all year to grow barley for the farmer's
association he runs in Cocieri, some 50 kilometres northeast of the Moldovan
capital Chisinau. But when he tried to shift the crop to market, he was
penalised by the Russian-speaking troops who police the neighbouring
breakaway republic of Transdniester.

"At the end of August, Transdniestrian custom officials confiscated a truck
full of barley from me, and they took another one a week later, claiming I
was breaking their custom rules," said Nirca, unshaven and bleary-eyed after
weeks of stress.  "Now I have been forced to leave my entire crop there."

The farmer added that well over 200 people in this impoverished part of
Moldova have had similar trouble along the porous border with the breakaway
republic of Transdniester. Jurisdiction here is blurred and the Moldovan
authorities are rarely able to intervene to help those caught in the middle.

The village of Cocieri is one of five settlements situated on the right,
western bank of the river Dniester, in an area formally under the
jurisdiction of Moldovan authorities, but effectively controlled by the
self-proclaimed Transdniestrian Republic. Chisinau's writ does not run to
this area, which is policed by Russian soldiers.

Transdniester, where the majority is of Russian or Ukrainian origin,
declared independence from Moldova in 1990 over fears that the central
authorities would seek unification with Romania. The breakaway entity was
tacitly supported by Russia, which sees the area as its gateway to the
Balkans and south-eastern Europe.

The rebel area's capital Tiraspol has changed little since Soviet times and
remains defiantly Russian-leaning. Downtown, a granite statue of Lenin looms
over a tank which symbolises Moscow's victory over Nazi Germany in the
Second World War.

The breakaway republic uses its own ruble currency, and the remnants of the
old 14th Soviet Army acts as its defence force. The links to Moscow stretch
to its president Igor Smirnov, a Russian Federation citizen who has adopted
a Soviet style of rule.

As Transdniester has not been recognised by any government, its citizens
face difficulties if they want to travel abroad, as their passports are not
internationally recognised. As a result, some 90 per cent of the population
holds dual citizenship. Tiraspol estimates that 100,000 people use Moldovan
passports and 80,000 people travel on Russian passports, while 20,000 rely
on Ukrainian papers or documents from other former Soviet states.

Lack of recognition by the international community also means Tiraspol has
not been to enter into legitimate business transactions to boost its
economy. As a result, the area has become synonymous with black
marketeering, corruption and crime.

>From 1998, Transdniestrian custom officials - backed by the military - began
to demanding arbitrary taxes and even confiscating property from people in
some borderline areas like Cocieri that technically lie outside their
territory.

"This happens mainly during the autumn season when farmers harvest their
crops," Nirca told IWPR, adding that other villagers have had their gas or
water supply cut off, or have been removed from their jobs.

Grigore Policinschi, a local government chief on the Moldovan side of the
river Dniester, is pessimistic about the area's prospects, "While people
here are under constant pressure from the Transdniester regime, Moldova's
government is just offering us advice and asking us not to react to any
provocation."

Officials in Chisinau the Transdniester region is causing huge losses to the
Moldovan economy, including billions of dollars lost every year through arms
smuggling and non-taxed trade.

Prime Minister Vasile Tarlev recently told the media that many of Moldova's
economic problems can be blamed on its inability to control all of its state
borders and collect customs duties. He estimated that Moldova's economy
would see tenfold growth if only it could get hold of these revenues.

As things stand, signs of poverty can be seen almost everywhere in Moldova.
Many country villages - typically with crosses and statues of Christ or the
Virgin Mary by the roadside - are half-empty because so many young people
have gone abroad to find work and send money home to support their families.
It is thought that 14 per cent of Moldova's 4.4 million population - mostly
young people - have left their homeland in search of jobs since the republic
became independent 13 years ago.

In the Soviet period, Moldova's fertile landscape supported orchards and
huge vineyards that produced wine for the Communist bloc. But with the
collapse of the Soviet Union and the loss of its centralised market and
economy, around half the Moldovan population now scratches a living from
subsistence farming. But even that economic activity has shrunk to the third
of the size it was a decade ago.

The tiny republic, sandwiched between Romania and Ukraine, is now the
poorest state in Europe. The average income is 30 US dollars a month, and
the quality of life is uniformly miserable - cold apartments, empty
refrigerators, hand-me-down clothing, and a hope that things just have to
get better.

Only a few thousand at the top enjoy any real benefits - many of them former
Communist insiders who profited from post-Soviet disintegration by snapping
up former state industries at bargain prices. They are to be found at
restaurants such as the capital's Coliseum, where customers wash down
Italian dishes with Moldovan wine. The bill for three is similar to the
average monthly wage earned by the bulk of the population.

In another part of Chisinau, unemployed former engineer Vitalie Lupu looks
up at the decaying Soviet-era concrete flats that loom over the city. He
blames confusion and inertia for the bulk of the problems facing Moldova -
and believes that a blurred identity following the collapse of the Soviet
Union has not helped the people adjust.

"I really don't know what kind of country Moldova is," he shrugged. "It's a
country with porous borders, one which does not control its entire
territory, and with an official language which is called Moldovan despite it
being very similar to Romanian."

Lupu, who is now taking accountancy classes in an attempt to boost his
career prospects, sees no improvement in Moldova's political future.

"Unfortunately, we are still under very strong Russian influence as we are
dependent on fuel imports from there," he said. "And Moscow still controls
all the important factories in the region. How can Moldova develop under
such conditions?"

Corneliu Rusnac is a journalist with the independent news agency Basa Press.


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BALKAN CRISIS REPORT No. 524






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