EUROPE: Romanian and Bulgarian workers drive wedge in EU
By Sarah Laitner in Brussels and Stefan Wagstyl in London

European Union countries are split over whether to impose labour
market restrictions on workers from Romania and Bulgaria when the
Black Sea states join the EU on Monday.

Leading "old" nations including the UK, Germany, Spain and France will
limit the number of workers they accept, while most "new" members such
as Poland and the Czech Republic will allow unfettered entry.

The curbs in western countries, imposed via work permits or quotas,
will deny citizens of ex-communist Romania and Bulgaria full use of
the fundamental EU right of freedom of movement.

EU officials have put a brave face on the decisions, saying that, with
nearby countries such as Slovakia and Slovenia offering unrestricted
access, Bulgarians and Romanians will not have to travel far to take
up their new rights.

However, most of those who plan to leaveare expected to head to
higher-wage "old" member states, 10 of which have so far said they
will limit labour market entry for at least two years.

The decision by much of "old" Europe comes amid concern in some
countries over the impact the new workers could have on unemployment,
public services and the wages of lower-paid locals.

But the limits can do little to prevent people moving west. Any EU
citizen holding a valid passport can live in another member state for
up to three months without registering. The newcomers can work
anywhere on a self-employed basis.

Catherine Drew, researcher at the Institute of Public Policy Research
think-tank, says: "If you impose labour restrictions on a group of
people who are entitled to come to an EU member state anyway, then you
could just create opportunities for these people to slip into the
illegal workforce."

Behind the restrictions is a debate about westward migration spurred
by the EU's "big bang" enlargement in 2004 that took in eight
lower-wage ex-communist countries.

Britain, Ireland and Sweden were the only "old" member states that
didnot impose curbs onworkers from these nations, which include Poland
and Hungary.

Then, the UK predicted 13,000 entrants from the eight new members.
More than 500,000 new Europeans - mostly Poles - have registered in
Britain since accession, often filling vacancies in the construction
and catering sectors.

Now the UK is to limit Romanian and Bulgarian employment, in a reverse
of its open-door approach. Ireland is to impose curbs, though Sweden
will not.

Leading British business groups back the changeof heart.

They argue that, although the UK economy benefited from the influx of
eastern Europeans, it could not necessarily absorb another large wave.

Economists say the magnitude of emigration from Romania and Bulgaria
to the rest of the EU will depend on how fast the countries close the
income gap with western Europe.

Average incomes in purchasing power terms in Romania and Bulgaria are
just 28 per cent of the western European level, compared with 45 per
cent in central Europe. So the period in which Romanians and
Bulgarians might want to emigrate could turn out to be longer than for
Poles.

Romania does not expect an exodus from its 20m population; an
estimated 2m citizens are already working abroad, some illegally,
mostly in Spain, Italy and Germany. Romanian GDP growth is strong, at
an expected 7 per cent this year, and unemployment has fallen.

Mihai-Razvan Ungureanu, Romanian foreign minister, says: "I know
someRomanians think emigration is a brain drain, but Idon't. Romanians
living abroad maintain their identity. They work hard and bring
Romania a good name."

Emilia Maslarova, Bulgaria's labour minister, says the outflow would
be small and would not "pose a threat for any member state".

Ms Maslarova says departures would be modest because Bulgaria had
experienced a big emigration in 1998-2000, and 800,000 of its citizens
were already living abroad.

She cites a survey carried out in August by polling group Gallup
International which showed that only 46,000 Bulgarians of working age
were seriously considering working overseas.

Bulgarian economic growth in 2006 was strong, at 6 per cent, while the
employment rate was up 3.3 percentage points in the year to 59.1 per
cent.

Brussels says some members have yet to outline plans on labour access
for Romania and Bulgaria.

But Finland joins Sweden as an "old" EU member to buck the trend and
open its doors fully. Hungary, which borders Romania, is the only
ex-communist country to impose curbs.



Copyright The Financial Times Limited 2006 "FT" and the "Financial
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monitoring Romania's journey towards the EU
http://www.europe.org.ro/euroatlantic_club/
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