>From: Robin Whittle [mailto:r...@firstpr.com.au] 
>> From Eric Fleischman
>> The argument that we are rapidly running out of IPv4 addresses has 
>> always been a significant concern for me personally.  New deployments 
>> (e.g., civil aviation's ATN IPS) and certain industries that have vast 
>> numbers of networked devices (e.g., electrical power
>> industry) are excellent candidates to adopt IPv6 for this very reason. 
>> However, for the majority of end users, I expect us to prefer to 
>> indefinitely use IPv4 by leveraging map-and-encaps techniques such as 
>> RANGER, despite the fact that RANGER is part of the effort to support 
>> a clean migration to IPv6.

>I agree with all this, except I would use the term Core-Edge Separation 
>architectures, and at present I think LISP and Ivip are a better solution 
>than RANGER for either IPv4 or IPv6.

I value your articulate insights, Robin. 

You apparently read the above paragraph of mine as trying to comment on the 
technology choice confronting the RRG. Rather, I was explaining what the large 
end user has a very high probability of doing concerning the issues that the 
RRG is considering. This is a different topic, since I believe that the RRG is 
primarily oriented to ISPs and largely lacks the large end user viewpoint.

Large end users with an adequate supply of IPv4 addresses have a strong 
business motivation to maintain their network infrastructure "as is". The only 
thing that I can see changing this is if a "killer app" requires the use of 
IPv6, but thus far no such "killer app" has appeared except in niche contexts 
(e.g., smart grid, ATN IPS). Should one appear, then IPv6 will be deployed as 
needed and the network infrastructure will be modified to accommodate it. By 
contrast, should external business relationships or government decrees require 
IPv6, then the end users' externally facing network will support IPv6 but the 
internal infrastructure itself is unlikely to change.

Large end users lacking an adequate supply of IPv4 addresses for their 
continued growth are also likely to remain IPv4-only in a similar manner for 
parallel reasons. There are many map-and-encaps technologies that enable end 
users to retain IPv4 indefinitely in combination with private addresses. I only 
mentioned RANGER because I believe that it is a clean alternative.

Of course, should senior management become convinced to bear the expense to 
internally support IPv6 for patriotic or other non-business reasons, then this 
analysis will not pertain to that particular company.

Mergers and acquisitions are a special case that should worry the RRG because 
of the possibility of companies externally advertising multiple discontinuous 
PI address spaces. Of course, such issues already exist for corporations using 
pre-CIDR addresses.

Should governments push IPv6, then the issues confronting the RRG will become 
more problematic due to the need to externally route a combination of IPv4 and 
IPv6 for corporations that solely use IPv4 today and who will probably continue 
to only use IPv4 internally in the future.

--Eric
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