Andy, you copletely missed my point.  I was not comparing Jim King to Lionel... 
I was merely saying that Jim could have sold more of these SCALE ONLY models if 
he had been able to offer them RTR.  It was a KIT vs. RTR point... not a Jim 
King vs. Lionel point.

And I was also saying that I personally believe that a LOT of those sales would 
have been from AF guys.


John Degnan
[email protected]
[email protected]

  ----- Original Message ----- 
  From: andym 
  To: [email protected] 
  Sent: Saturday, March 03, 2012 01:54 PM
  Subject: {S-Scale List} Scale Items etc from Lionel


  Hi All,

  Interesting points.

  John brought up Jim King only producing scale as a comparison to 
  Lionel.

  You really can't compare the two.  Lionel is a large mass marketer and 
  needs to keep the cash flow going in order to compete and continue.  
  Don't forget, they were successfully sued a few years back by MTH.  
  Samhongsa's exit from model train manufacture was a result.  Lionel 
  really has to be careful from a risk point of view.  Scale 
  considerations that appeal to a small market are real risks.

  Jim King limits his runs to 100 and sometimes has difficulty moving all 
  his product.  This has been shown a number of times when he has appealed 
  to the list to buy out the last few items of a run.  If I recall 
  correctly, I believe Ron Sebastion bought out the last 10 70 tonners as 
  a show of support.   Note the number of 100.  That is only 100 fine 
  scale items and there is some difficulty selling out.

  Jim is smart and also does not move on a project unless he has enough 
  orders from both dealers and direct.  He can't afford to have money tied 
  up in projects that may not sell out.  Producing things scale means a 
  small market.

  I still have all of Jim's old stock that I drag to shows.  People look 
  at it and would buy it if the price was right.  Like everyone else, I 
  can't take a loss but there will come a time.  One convention I sold two 
  waffle cars at a significant loss at the end because I was tired of 
  dragging them around.  What does this mean?  I believe that the scale 
  marketplace is not as large as we would like to think or hope.

  Does this mean that the market can't improve?  I can't answer that.  I 
  can only deal with the present.  What I can tell you from my experience 
  is that I only produce 30 of each kit.  That is the magic number.  None 
  go to dealers as they have never expressed an interest.  I do sell out 
  and I have seen my kits change hands before being built.

  How does this relate to Lionel?  If Lionel chose to address these 
  concerns that I have seen for between 30 to 100 people who MIGHT buy 
  their scale offerings, then they would lose on that investment.

  O Scale 2 Rail market is way larger than all S, period.  All the recent 
  Canadian steam locos that Sunset has recently produced have sold out in 
  2 rail long before 3 rail.  Atlas was smart to come out with the 2 Rail 
  stuff.

  These are simply my observations and you can flame away if you desire.


  cheers,


  Andy Malette






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