23 Jan Official
Prices  Cash Ask   3m   15m       Cash Ask   3m   15m     Copper  5568  5610  
5310    Lead  1695  1674  1422    Aluminium  2910  2784  2575    Tin  12350  
12250  11600    Nickel  40605  37600  29400    Al.Alloy  2220  2250  2305    
Zinc  3732  3701  3293    NASAAC  2181  2245  2340

Teddy Halim <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:          Klik utk :

Stok nikel 
Harga harian dan chart  timah
Graphic dari LME 

salam sejahtera,

th
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Base metals steady, nickel and tin near highs
Tue Jan 23, 2007 8:48 AM GMT

SHANGHAI (Reuters) - Base metals prices in London and Shanghai were steady on 
Tuesday, with nickel and tin just shy of record levels, supported by supply 
worries.By Nick Trevethan

Nickel for delivery in three months on the London Metal Exchange was at $37,050 
a tonne at 0433 GMT, versus the record high at  Monday's close of $37,300, when 
the market rallied 2.8 percent.Tin was $11,600, down $190 from the previous 
close. Earlier on Monday, tin matched its all-time high of $11,850 recorded on 
December 29.

"It is difficult to say whether prices can continue at these levels. 
Fundamentals support strong prices, but whether they support prices at these 
levels is debatable," an LME dealer said. 

"But there is very little metal around and if you are are short you have to buy 
regardless of the price. You don't haveany other option."
Available stocks of nickel in LME warehouses stand at around 4,000 tonnes, 
little more than one day's global consumption and down from around 36,000 
tonnes at the start of 
2006. In the same period, prices have jumped 170 percent.

Tin stocks are running at 12,520 tonnes, down from 16,725 tonnes at the start 
of 2006. Uncertainty about the operation of independent smelters in Indonesia 
and a switch to tin-based solders from lead-based, have supported prices. 

But industry officials warned that if prices, especially those of nickel, 
continued at high levels, demand would ease.

"Higher nickel prices put pressure on production at domestic stainless steel 
mills," a manager at a eastern China-based stainless steel maker said. 

"In my opinion, the mills which produce both stainless steel and carbon steel 
may shift some capacity from stainless to carbon steel, or from 300-series 
stainless steel to 400 and
200-series, which consume less nickel," he added. 
Chinese stainless producers sell metal on an outright basis, which does not 
take into account day-to-day movements in nickel prices, unlike Western steel 
makers who make an alloy
surcharge to reflect changing prices. 
He said nickel accounted for more than 85 percent of the cost of production of 
300-series stainless steel, up from 60 percent a year ago.
Shanghai copper futures were steady, with the most active March contract up 40 
yuan at 52,590 yuan a tonne by the midday break on Tuesday. 

Spot copper prices in Shanghai were up 390 yuan, quoted between 55,700 yuan and 
55,900 yuan.
LME copper futures were $15 lower at $5,605 a tonne.
"The key for copper this year is not the demand story. There is a chance for 
restocking, in China and elsewhere in the world, but the crucial thing will be 
supply," ABN AMRO commodities analyst Nick Moore said. 

"Five years into the boom and producers are in a position to maximise, rather 
than optimise, output."

Moore pointed to latest data from the International Copper Study Group showing 
there was a sharp rise in mine capacity utilisation to 92.7 percent in October 
from 84.2 percent in September.
"This very sharp acceleration in one month of 8.5 percentage points is a 
harbinger of the supply surge that we expect and a major shift to surplus." 
On Monday, global LME stocks stood at 193,450 tonnes, almost double from the 
start of 2006. The most traded April Shanghai aluminium futures rose to 19,500 
yuan from 19,400 yuan. LME aluminium ticked down $2 to $2,758. "Aluminium now 
seems to be on a slow-paced climb despite 


the 825-tonne influx of stocks into LME warehouses," Standard Bank London said 
in a report. "The continuing tightness keeping the cash-to-three-months 
backwardation at near decade record levels shows no sign of easing and indeed 
Feb-March is continuing to tighten, meaning that this tightness could last at 
least until March." 

Premiums for LME cash metal above the three-month price were $105/125, near 
their highest since 1990, and up from $30 at the start of 2007.

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