Kalau harga timah masih diatas Rp 11.000/ton sampai Rp 12.000.
EPS TINS bisa mencapai Rp 1.200,-
Net income TINS = 2200 X 9100 X 45000 di potong 33 % = Rp 603,6 milyar.
Target setahun bisa mencapai +/- Rp 12.000,--/ saham. Up side masih 72 %
dari
harga penutupan tgl 26 Jan. Mudah mudahan jitu hitungan saya.
Berani mencoba, belum terlambat, sebelum harga naik lebih tinggi lagi.
Good luck
tin berland <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:
Timah Shares Surge on Indonesia's Tin-Export Controls (Correct)
By Claire Leow
(Corrects to say highest since 1999 in second paragraph.)
Jan. 24 (Bloomberg) -- Shares of PT Timah, the world's second-largest tin
miner in 2005, surged after the government moved to curb illegal exports,
potentially raising costs at rival producers.
The stock gained 950 rupiah, or 17 percent, to 6,700 rupiah on the Jakarta
Stock Exchange, its highest close since June 22, 1999. Almost 42 million shares
were traded, compared with the six-month daily average of 6.4 million.
Indonesia, the world's second-biggest tin producer, on Jan. 22 ordered miners
to register within one month for the right to export the metal to try and clamp
down on the use of illegally extracted tin ore. The move has boosted tin
futures in London to their highest since at least 1989.
``Securing new mining licenses will take time,'' said PT Mandiri Sekuritas
mining analyst Ahmad Solihin. ``The new decree will require illegal smelters to
pay royalties and taxes, effectively raising their production costs. Therefore
the smelters might no longer be able to outbid Timah.''
Only companies with mining licenses and who have paid royalties can export
refined tin with a minimum purity of 99.85 percent, Diah Maulida, director
general of foreign trade at the Ministry of Trade, said yesterday by phone.
Timah would also benefit from higher tin prices, said Solihin, who has a
12-month target on the stock of 7,650 rupiah.
Tin, used in electronics soldering, has risen 67 percent in the past year as
Indonesia has cracked down. Metal for delivery in three months gained $150, or
1.2 percent, to $12,300 a ton on the London Metal Exchange today, the highest
since at least 1989.
Timah has forecast output of 45,000 tons of tin this year. Indonesia produces
about 70,000 tons a year, Solihin said.
To contact the reporter on this story: Claire Leow in Jakarta at [EMAIL
PROTECTED]
Last Updated: January 24, 2007 04:43 EST
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