Tin May Rise to $14,000 a Metric Ton in 2007, Timah's
Alwi Says 

By Claire Leow

Feb. 23 (Bloomberg) -- Tin may rise to $14,000 a
metric ton this year after the Indonesian government
moved to stem illegal mining, Thobrani Alwi,
President-Director of PT Timah, Indonesia's largest
tin miner, said. 

Tin for delivery in three months reached $13,975 a ton
yesterday, its highest since at least 1989. It traded
at $13,700 a ton in after-hours trading today on the
London Metal Exchange at 2:29 p.m. Jakarta time. 

The price of the metal, used in soldering, has risen
more than 40 percent since Indonesia, the world's
second-biggest producer, began a crackdown on illegal
production in October. Indonesian tin producers, with
operating licenses and proof of paying royalties, have
until midnight today to register for the right to
export refined tin of 99.85 percent purity. 

Tin trading at ``$13,000 to $14,000 a ton is a
reasonable price for us,'' Alwi said by phone late
yesterday from Bangka, where the company is based. The
curbs have cut off ore exports to Malaysia and
Thailand for smelting, and they will take some time to
resume, he added. 

Only seven producers have applied for new tin export
licenses, and Timah is the only one that meets
government requirements, trade ministry official Diah
Maulida said yesterday. Maulida, director general of
foreign trade at the ministry, could not be reached
for comment today. 

There were 37 smelters in Bangka Belitung province,
the source of tin in Indonesia, said Apik Chakib
Rasjidi, who chairs the Indonesian Association of Tin
Industry. His association represents 22 smelters. 

While Timah is benefiting from the higher prices, any
``higher than $14,000 a ton is very difficult for us
because then users can substitute tin with other
metals,'' Alwi said. ``No more than that is good.'' 

Higher tin prices may also persuade miners in
Australia, New Zealand and Russia to resume
tin-mining, Alwi said. 

``They could have reserves, whether in Australia or
Russia, but at a high cost,'' he said.


 
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