Lead Advances as Stockpiles Decline; Tin Gains to 18-Year High 

By Brett Foley

July 31 (Bloomberg) -- Lead advanced the most in more than a month in London
as the amount of available metal dropped, fueling speculation supply will
fall short of demand. Tin climbed to the highest since 1989 and nickel had
its biggest rise in six weeks. 

Inventories of lead tracked by the London Metal Exchange, or LME, declined
3.7 percent to 37,575 tons, the exchange said today in a daily report.
That's the biggest daily drop since Nov. 30. Prices for the metal, used
mostly in car batteries, jumped 86 percent this year and outpaced other
industrial metals as supplies from Australia were disrupted and demand
improved. 

``A big drop in stockpiles today has reminded people that the metal is still
in relatively short supply,'' David Thurtell, an analyst at BNP Paribas in
London, said today in a telephone interview. BNP is a member of the LME. 

Lead for delivery in three months rose $175, or 6 percent, to $3,090 a
metric ton at 1:37 p.m. in London, the biggest intraday increase since June
25. The contract traded at a record $3,500 a ton on July 20. 

Ivernia Inc.'s Magellan mine in Australia, which mines about 3 percent of
the world's lead, halted exports March 12 after a pollution probe, and a
smelter in Missouri operated by Doe Run Resources Corp. cut output this
month after an explosion. 

Demand for lead will exceed supply for a fifth consecutive year in 2007, the
Lisbon-based International Lead and Zinc Study Group said May 14. 

Tin Gains 

Tin gained $250, or 1.6 percent, to $16,400 a ton and earlier traded at
$16,600, the highest since 1989. 

The market is in a ``significant deficit'' after supply disruptions in
Indonesia, the world's second-largest producer, BNP's Thurtell said. The
metal may rise to $18,000 this year, he added. 

Two companies held as much as 88 percent of LME-tracked tin stockpiles as of
July 27, according to the exchange's latest data, squeezing supplies. One
position emerged today accounting for 39 percent of inventories. Another
company holds between 40 percent and 49 percent, according to the data. The
market for tin is the smallest of the LME's markets. 

Indonesia began a crackdown on illegal mining late last year, issuing export
licenses for refined tin only to companies that pay royalties. Demand
exceeded supply by 6,700 tons from January through May, the World Bureau of
Metal Statistics said July 18. China is the world's biggest tin producer and
user. 

Mexico Strike 

Copper advanced $170 to $8,005 a ton. Employees at Southern Copper Corp.
stopped work at Cananea, Mexico's largest copper mine, a union official said
yesterday. Southern Copper is the world's fifth-largest producer of the
metal. 

Copper smelters in China, the world's biggest consumer of the metal, have
settled mid-year fees for processing raw material with BHP Billiton Ltd. and
other miners, Beijing's Antaike Information Development Co. said today. The
fees for contracts starting in July have been settled at almost $60 for
treating a metric ton of copper concentrate and 6 cents a pound for
refining, Antaike said. 

The fees, paid by miners, have been falling as smelters compete for raw
materials due to a shortage of concentrates, Calyon said yesterday. 

Kazakhmys Plc, Kazakhstan's biggest copper producer, said today its
second-quarter output of finished metal fell 6.9 percent to 91,342 tons as
the company carried out maintenance at two of its smelters. 

Nickel increased $1,400 to $31,600 a ton. That's the biggest intraday gain
since June 14. The metal used in stainless steel has fallen 37 percent since
trading at a record $51,800 on May 9. 

`Robust' Demand 

Eramet SA, operator of the world's largest ferronickel plant, said demand
for the metal was ``robust'' as stainless steel production expanded 7
percent in the first half. About two-thirds of nickel supplies are used in
stainless steel. 

``Buyers of stainless steel and nickel are reducing their purchasing by
using up their inventories,'' Eramet said. Nickel demand in the ``short
term'' will decline, resulting in a ``substantial drop'' in deliveries in
the third quarter, it added. 

Zinc climbed $66 to $3,536. LME-tracked stockpiles of zinc dropped 1.6
percent to 65,875 tons, the biggest daily decline since June 7. Inventories
are at the lowest since March 28, 1991. Aluminum was unchanged $2,758. 

To contact the reporter on this story: Brett Foley in London at
[EMAIL PROTECTED] 

 

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