akhirnya TBLA BREAK JUGA...



--- In [email protected], Eka Suwandana <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:
>
> Betul pak, sabar saja bukan kita2 saja yg nyangkut.
> Bandar gede juga nggak bisa ngeshort! alias nyangkut
> juga liat aja volumenya. 
> Kalo saya lihat dari panen TBS-nya saja tahun
> 2005-2006 kan nggak sampai 500rb ton. Nah seharusnya
> tahun 2007-2008 sudah naik +-700rb ton. Masa harganya
> diem. Sengaja saya beli sekarang karena kalo beli
> nanti lebih dak dik duk.
> Plus kalo RUPO tgl 28 lancar, masak harga diem juga?
> Gede loh yg mau di buyback?
> 
> --- laven_28 <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:
> 
> > kayaknya harga 385 memang masih kemurahan kali
> > yach..
> > soalnya baru2 ini Union Sampoerna (jointan keluarga
> > sampoerna dan TP 
> > Rahmat) membeli 63rb lahan sawit, yang ternanam baru
> > 20rb ha..dari 
> > KULIM malaysia seharga 125jt USD..(umur sawitnya
> > rata2 baru 4tahun)
> > 
> > Kalo kita hitung 125jt dibagi dengan 63rb didapt
> > harga 18,5juta 
> > perhektar (kurs 9300).
> > 
> > sedangkan TBLA kalo kita hitung capitalisasinya baru
> > sekitar 21jtan 
> > perhektar.. (HARGA 385 X 4,15 MILYR SAHAM DIBAGI
> > 76rb HEKTAR)..
> > 
> > PADAHAL KAN UMUR RATA2 SAWIT TBLA UDAH 8-9TAHUNAN
> > (ARTINYA UDAH SIAP 
> > PANEN).
> > 
> > 
> > 
> > 
> > 
> > 
> > 
> > 
> > --- In [email protected], Eka Suwandana
> > <esuwandan@> wrote:
> > >
> > > EBIT dan operating income selalu naik. Anda lihat
> > sendiri.
> > >   Masalahnya naik turun karena gede untung/rugi
> > kurs dan ada 
> > cicilan hutang Obligasi yg mature 5 tahun lagi
> > (belum dilunasi baru 
> > bunga saja). Kalo Obligasi nya lunas dia bisa save
> > beban bunga 10-
> > 15M/tahun dari cicilan bunga 44 M/tahun. Obligasinya
> > bunganya flat 
> > 14.75% dari tahun 2002.
> > >    
> > >   Kalo RUPO done laba berkurang karena hutang di
> > switch dgn bunga 
> > bank yg 10%.
> > >    
> > >   Tapi yg penting selain itu TBLA produksi CPO
> > dari kebun sendiri 
> > baru 100rb ton tahun 2006 lalu sementara dia jualan
> > CPO 700000ton 
> > sisa yg 600000ton beli TBS dari lahan tetangga
> > diproses di mill dia. 
> > Untung dari trading ini cuma 5% beda kalo TBS dari
> > lahan sendiri 
> > sekarang bisa 40-50%.  Makanya ROE, NPM kecil
> > dibandingkan yg lain.
> > >    
> > >   Tetapi juga karena kapasitas mill dia sudah
> > besar TBLA nggak 
> > perlu invest di mill baru karena dari proyeksi
> > produksi CPO lahan 
> > sendiri peak tahun 2016 saja nggak akan sampai
> > 900000ton (max 
> > capacity) jadi nanti income dia double dari lahan
> > sendiri tanpa 
> > harus ngurangin trading.
> > >    
> > >   Dan itu juga menurut kawan saya KENAPA alasan
> > TBLA extraction 
> > ratenya rendah cuma 20% soalnya hasil dari kebun
> > tetangga lebih 
> > jelek sementara bibit milik TBLA kualitas super
> > (sumber bilang dapet 
> > dari R&D di Malaysia) . So kedepan extraction rate
> > bakal naik karena 
> > proporsi dari kebun sendiri meningkat.
> > >    
> > >   TBLA muantap lah makanya PERnya selalu mahal
> > karena bandar tahu 
> > growthnya.
> > >    
> > >   
> > > 
> > > Sriwisnu-gmail <sriwisnu@> wrote:
> > >           Pak Eka lihat income statement TBLA kok
> > quartely EPS-nya 
> > naik turun dalm tahun yg sama.. Contohnya 2006
> > >   EPS Q1 2006 = Rp. 15
> > >   EPS Q2 2006 = Rp. 12
> > >   EPS Q3 2006 = Rp. 9
> > >   EPS Q4 2006 = Rp. 19.23
> > >    
> > >   Bahkan kalau dibanding EPS 2007 makin menurun 
> > >   EPS Q1 2007 = Rp. 1
> > >   EPS Q2 2008 = Rp. 6
> > >    
> > >   Kalo nanti dilihat yoy 2007 : 2006 mungkin 
> > tahun ini eps total 
> > nya malah turun drastis.. 
> > >    
> > >   Gimana pak Eka,  saya  perlu advice nih dari pak
> > Eka.....
> > >    
> > >    
> > >           Quarterly Period Ending:  (in Rp) 
> > 30-Jun-2007  31-Mar-
> > 2007  31-Dec-2006  30-Sep-2006  30-Jun-2006 
> > 31-Mar-2006  31-Dec-
> > 2005  30-Sep-2005        Total Sales 
> > 827,191,097,000  
> > 345,771,322,000  1,193,998,873,000  853,889,436,000 
> > 
> > 531,529,828,000  318,737,217,000  1,220,635,658,000 
> > 
> > 908,399,367,000    Cost of Good Sold 
> > 676,399,784,000  
> > 290,936,343,000  931,578,397,000  670,657,942,000 
> > 425,178,561,000  
> > 267,642,575,000  989,612,438,000  725,570,450,000   
> >     Gross 
> > Profit  150,791,313,000  54,834,979,000 
> > 262,420,476,000  
> > 183,231,494,000  106,351,267,000  51,094,642,000 
> > 231,023,220,000  
> > 182,828,917,000        Operating Expenses:     
> > Sales & Marketing 
> > Expenses  48,718,775,000  16,427,004,000 
> > 69,617,531,000  
> > 35,765,227,000  26,276,194,000  12,701,700,000 
> > 56,840,645,000  
> > 40,761,377,000      Administrative Expenses 
> > 27,420,351,000  
> > 12,085,418,000  58,018,473,000  47,048,223,000 
> > 28,356,200,000  
> > 14,584,345,000  54,751,597,000  41,782,365,000     
> > Other Operating
> > >  Expenses  -  -  -  -  -  -  -  -        Total
> > Operating Expenses  
> > 76,139,126,000  28,512,422,000  127,636,004,000 
> > 82,813,450,000  
> > 54,632,394,000  27,286,045,000  111,592,242,000  
> > 82,543,742,000        Operating Income 
> > 74,652,187,000  
> > 26,322,557,000  134,784,472,000  100,418,044,000 
> > 51,718,873,000  
> > 23,808,597,000  119,430,978,000  100,285,175,000    
> >    Other Income 
> > & Expenses:      Interest Income  8,460,060,000 
> > 4,221,254,000  
> > 8,316,846,000  4,362,142,000  1,047,582,000 
> > 297,022,000  
> > 579,590,000  675,650,000      Foreign Exchange Gain
> > (Loss)  -
> > 1,920,387,000  -6,511,944,000  36,214,396,000 
> > 24,430,444,000  
> > 23,562,374,000  26,169,226,000  -15,087,891,000  -
> > 37,901,230,000      Gain (Loss) on Sale of Assets  -
> >  -  -  -  -  -
> >   -  -      Other Items  -45,595,866,000 
> > -18,360,155,000  -
> > 100,163,749,000  -63,971,885,000  -42,631,921,000 
> > -21,828,165,000  -
> > 86,407,736,000  -59,126,436,000        Total Other
> > Income & 
> > Expenses  -39,056,193,000  -20,650,845,000 
> > -55,632,507,000 
> > >  -35,179,299,000  -18,021,965,000  4,638,083,000 
> > -
> > 100,916,037,000  -96,352,016,000        Income
> > Before Tax  
> > 35,595,994,000  5,671,712,000  79,151,965,000 
> > 65,238,745,000  
> > 33,696,908,000  28,446,680,000  18,514,941,000 
> > 3,933,159,000    
> > Income Tax Expenses  9,507,515,000  3,553,948,000 
> > 26,176,515,000  
> > 27,130,241,000  14,720,700,000  4,619,267,000 
> > 12,293,825,000  
> > 3,534,879,000        Income From Normal Operations 
> > 26,088,479,000  
> > 2,117,764,000  52,975,450,000  38,108,504,000 
> > 18,976,208,000  
> > 23,827,413,000  6,221,116,000  398,280,000       
> > Extraordinary 
> > Items  -  -  -  -  -  -  -  -    Minority Int. in
> > Net Earnings 
> > (Subsidiary)  -241,717,000  -17,016,000  -91,350,000
> >  -96,774,000  -
> > 55,937,000  29,167,000  -2,243,000  79,547,000      
> >  Net Income  
> > 25,846,762,000  2,100,748,000  52,884,100,000 
> > 38,011,730,000  
> > 18,920,271,000  23,856,580,000  6,218,873,000 
> > 477,827,000        
> > Earnings Per Share  6.00  1.00  19.23  9.00  12.00 
> > 15.00  3.85  -
> >         Diluted Earnings Per
> > >  Share  -  -  -  -  -  -  -  -
> > >
> > 
> === message truncated ===
>




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