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Analysts: JCI Still Likely to Drop at 2,450-2,200
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Thursday, 25 October 2007 10:17:56
StockWatch (Jakarta) - The Jakarta composite index (JCI) is still likely
to decline in the medium term at 2.450-2.200, BNI Securities' analyst Muhammad
Alfatih said in his analysis report today (25/10) in Jakarta.
->> Harusnya?: Whilst JCI may decline to 2,450-2,200, foreign
investor is still
accumulating buy as shown while JCI drop in May 2006,
Jan-Mar07, and Jul07.
Alfatih said accumulative buying by foreign investors has continued in
the JSX since 2006, that caused the index to drop at 1,550-1,230 in May 2006 or
when it moved sideways during the period of January-March 2007 and even when it
stumbled at 2,400-1.860 in July 2007.
->> Oops, justru grafik dibawah memperlihatkan bahwa Asing tetap
membeli
saat terjadi koreksi-koreksi yang terjadi sejak 2006. Bukan
asing yang
bikin drop.
However, the foreign buying has stepped down near the support level,
while in the long term the index is expected to move uptrend, Alfatih said. He
said ANTM, PGAS, TINS and UNTS are among stocks that are likely to climb up
today.
At the same time, Mega Capital Indonesia's head of research, Felix
Sindhunata, the Jakarta index is expected to move sideways today, while the
global and regional markets are still likely to bring sentiment for the Jakarta
index movement.
The Asian stock markets moved uptrend in the opening today, while the
Jakarta index is expected to move within range of 2,500-2,575 with next
intraday support and resistance targets are 2,470-2,625. (yan/bud)
----- Original Message -----
From: M Alfatih
To:
Sent: Thursday, October 25, 2007 7:02 AM
Subject: ** Konsep Daily BNI Securities + Analisa Net Buy Foreign
Konsep Daily 25 Okt 2007:
ANTM, PGAS, TINS, UNTR.
DANA ASING MASIH AKUMULATIF DI BEJ :
Koreksi IHSG dalam jangka menengah mungkin saja akan menguji 2,450-2,200. Namun
kalau melihat akumulasi pembelian yang menggunakan kode Nasabah Asing, terlihat
bahwa dari tahun 2006 pihak asing masih melakukan akumulasi terhadap
saham-saham di BEJ. Termasuk saat IHSG koreksi bulan May06 yang turun sekitar
20% (1,550-1,230), atau saat sideways Jan-Mar07 bahkan saat koreksi Jul07 yang
turun 22.5% (2,400-1,860). Namun demikian, batas resiko penentuan perubahan
sentimen di penurunan pembelian Asing sudah mendekati supportnya. Sementara
ini, long term masih uptrend.
Analyst : M. Alfatih ([EMAIL PROTECTED])
