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Credit Suisse Profit Falls 31% After Credit Swings (Update1) 

By Jacob Greber

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Nov. 1 (Bloomberg) -- Credit Suisse Group, Switzerland's second-largest
bank, posted the first profit decline in a year after writing down $1.9
billion in fixed-income securities and leveraged loans linked to the fallout
from the U.S. subprime mortgage market collapse. 

Net income in the third quarter fell to 1.3 billion Swiss francs ($1.1
billion) from 1.89 billion francs a year earlier, Zurich-based Credit Suisse
said in an e-mailed statement today. Profit beat the 1.28 billion franc
median estimate of eight analysts surveyed by Bloomberg, buoyed by earnings
from managing money for wealthy clients. 

Chief Executive Officer Brady Dougan, 48, six months after taking over from
Oswald Gruebel, said earnings were dented by ``extreme market conditions.''
Surging U.S. home loan defaults rippled through credit markets in the
quarter, forcing UBS AG, the biggest Swiss bank, to write down $4.4 billion
in fixed- income securities and post its first quarterly loss since 2002. 

``The good news with Credit Suisse is the private banking side,'' said
Justin Urquhart Stewart, who helps oversee about $3 billion as director of 7
Investment Management in London. 

Credit Suisse has gained about 4 percent in Zurich trading in the last 12
months, while UBS, Europe's biggest bank by assets, fell 17 percent.
Deutsche Bank AG, Germany's biggest bank, has declined about 7 percent in
Frankfurt. 

`Pull-Back' 

Profit from continuing operations at Credit Suisse fell 11 percent to 1.3
billion francs from 1.47 billion francs a year ago. On Oct. 1, the bank
forecast profit of between 1.04 billion francs and 1.56 billion francs. The
bank sold its Winterthur insurance unit to Axa SA in the fourth quarter last
year. 

Pretax earnings at the securities unit slumped to 6 million francs from 758
million francs a year earlier, Credit Suisse said. At the main
wealth-management unit, profit gained by 32 percent to 900 million francs.
Earnings at the Swiss consumer bank rose 15 percent to 389 million francs,
while the asset- management unit posted an 85 percent decline to 45 million
francs from 158 million francs a year earlier. 

``The extreme market conditions that characterized the third quarter
affected many of our businesses,'' Dougan said in today's statement. ``We
are seeing encouraging signs that activity in the credit markets is
increasing although it is too early to predict when all of the affected
markets will return to more normal levels.'' 

Fixed-Income, Equities 

Credit Suisse said its structured-products business, including residential
and commercial mortgages and collateralized debt obligations, recorded a cut
in valuations of 1.1 billion francs, net of fees and hedges. The bank also
wrote down 1.1 billion francs on its leveraged loan commitments. 

The bank had a 300 million-franc loss from stock trading with its own money.


UBS CEO Marcel Rohner posted a net loss of 830 million francs for the third
quarter this week and said it is unlikely the securities unit will return to
profit this year. The bank took a writedown of $260 million on about $12.9
billion of loans to fund LBOs. 

Deutsche Bank said yesterday profit rose 31 percent as tax credits and gains
from asset sales outweighed the first loss at the securities unit in five
years. The bank had 2.16 billion euros ($3.1 billion) in writedowns and
trading losses. 

Merrill Lynch & Co. reported the biggest loss in its 93- year history last
week on $8.4 billion of writedowns, leading to the ouster of CEO Stan
O'Neal. 

`Cautious' 

Credit Suisse has said it foresaw increasing defaults on housing loans to
less creditworthy borrowers in the U.S. The subprime business accounted for
about 2 percent of investment- banking revenue, or about 1 percent of group
revenue, Chief Financial Officer Renato Fassbind said Aug. 2. 

``We anticipated these negative developments in subprime and have been
extremely cautious since the second quarter of 2006,'' said Fassbind. The
company said a month ago it would cut about 320 jobs at the securities unit.


Any further declines in profit at the investment bank, headed by Paul
Calello, increase Credit Suisse's reliance on fees from wealth and asset
management. Rising asset prices boosted revenue this year at the main
private-banking unit which typically accounts for about 20 percent of
revenue. 

``Credit Suisse is very good in a number of the businesses we expect will be
more difficult in 2008,'' including leveraged finance, Merrill analysts
Stuart Graham and Derek de Vries in London wrote in a note to investors last
week. Fixed income accounted for half of investment banking revenue last
year. 

The Morgan Stanley Capital International World Index, a gauge of 23
developed markets, rose for the eighth quarter in nine in the three months
through September. Credit Suisse oversaw 1.63 trillion francs at the end of
June, up almost 10 percent from the end of 2006. To contact the reporter of
this story: Jacob Greber in Zurich at [EMAIL PROTECTED] 

Last Updated: November 1, 2007 02:38 EDT

 

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