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Stocks Rally on Strong Economic Data
Wednesday December 5, 5:42 pm ET 
By Joe Bel Bruno, AP Business Writer 


 

Stocks Soar As Investors Grow More Optimistic About Economy, Upcoming
Interest Rate Cut 

NEW YORK (AP) -- Wall Street resumed its rally Wednesday after new data
showed the overall economy is holding up but isn't too strong to prevent the
Federal Reserve from cutting interest rates. The Dow Jones industrial
average rose nearly 200 points. 

Stocks turned around following two sessions of losses after a report showed
hiring in the U.S. private sector expanded at a faster pace in November. ADP
Employer Services said 189,000 jobs were added during the month -- an
increase that bodes well for consumer spending. 

The report raised hopes for a strong November jobs report from the Labor
Department on Friday. Investors were also encouraged Wednesday after the
department reported worker productivity advanced by an annual rate of 6.3
percent in the summer, the fastest pace in four years, while wage pressures
eased. 

"The best news for the market is good news on the economy," said Jack Ablin,
chief investment officer at Harris Private Bank. "There might be a general
malaise among homeowners these days, but as long as more people are getting
paychecks then the economy can withstand the stress." 

Still, there is enough uncertainty in the economy to bolster the argument
for lower rates. The financial sector is still struggling from months of
credit problems, and the Institute for Supply Management reported Wednesday
that service sector growth slowed in November. 

Some investors are betting the Fed will go beyond the generally anticipated
quarter percentage point cut, and lower rates by a half point. A mere
quarter-point cut could bring some disappointment to Wall Street, but as
long as the Fed reiterates an openness to lower rates further in its
accompanying economic assessment, the market should move higher, said Ryan
Detrick, senior technical strategist at Schaeffer's Investment Research. 

"We could see a nice December here," Detrick said. 

The Dow rose 196.23, or 1.48 percent, to 13,444.96, resuming the big
recovery it launched last week following a mostly dismal November. 

The blue chip index got an extra boost from component American International
Group Inc., which said that although it's expecting a hefty portfolio
writedown in the fourth quarter, the ongoing mortgage crisis is manageable.
AIG rose $2.70, or 4.9 percent, to $58.15. 

Broader indexes also moved higher. The Standard & Poor's 500 index added
22.22, or 1.52 percent, to 1,485.01, while the Nasdaq composite index rose
46.53, or 1.78 percent, to 2,666.36. 

Bond prices fell. The yield on the benchmark 10-year Treasury note, which
moves opposite its price, rose to 3.95 percent from 3.90 percent late
Tuesday. The dollar rose, and gold prices fell. 

The market is currently pricing in a rate cut next week, Ablin said.
Supporting the case for a cut is that central banks globally seem to be open
to the idea, a trend that would give the Fed even more room to move. 

The Bank of Canada cut rates Tuesday, while the Bank of England and European
Central Bank will make rate decisions Thursday. 

Investors also weighed a Commerce Department report that showed factory
orders unexpectedly rose in October. However, that data was likely offset by
a report from the Institute for Supply Management showing growth in the
service sector cooled somewhat in November. 

Wednesday's advance was fed by investors betting that the Fed might be
generous and cut rates a half percentage point, or, in market lingo, 50
basis points. 

"I do believe the market wants 50, that the Fed needs to do a lot more work,
and that a quarter is not going to do it," said Greg Church, chief
investment officer of Church Capital Management. 

A resumption of the downtrend in oil prices also contributed to the gains on
Wall Street. OPEC decided Wednesday to keep production steady but set a new
meeting for Feb. 1 to raise output if prices rise. Meanwhile, the government
reported that U.S. oil supplies fell steeply last week while gasoline
stockpiles rose, both by greater margins than analysts had expected. 

Light, sweet crude fell 83 cents to settle at $87.49 a barrel on the New
York Mercantile Exchange. 

Fannie Mae shares rose 95 cents, or 2.7 percent, to $36.13 after it followed
rival mortgage financer Freddie Mac in cutting its dividend and selling
special stock to raise capital. The government-sponsored lender hopes to
cushion against mounting losses from high-risk home loans. Freddie rose
$2.36, or 7.3 percent, to $34.67. 

Technology stocks broadly advanced after Intel Corp.'s stock was upgraded on
expectations the personal computer market will be strong next year. Shares
added 91 cents, or 3.5 percent, to $27.22. 

The Russell 2000 index of smaller companies rose 13.58, or 1.81 percent, to
765.64. 

Advancing issues led decliners by a nearly 3 to 1 basis on the New York
Stock Exchange. Consolidated volume came to 3.55 billion shares, up from
3.22 billion Tuesday. 

Overseas, Japan's Nikkei stock average closed up 0.83 percent, while Hong
Kong's Hang Seng index rose 1.61 percent. Britain's FTSE 100 closed up 2.83
percent, Germany's DAX index rose 1.74 percent, and France's CAC-40
increased 2.02 percent. 

New York Stock Exchange: http://www.nyse.com 

Nasdaq Stock Market: http://www.nasdaq.com 









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