http://www.elliottwave.com/features/default.aspx?cat=mw*aid=3658*time=pm

It's Confirmed!! The Fed Follows the Market!!
1/30/2008 4:56:17 PM

By Robert Folsom

Wednesday's stock market sessions (Jan. 30) ended higher.

*****

CNBC had a "countdown clock" on its TV screen earlier today, so that you
could see just how much of your time on earth would elapse (to 1/100 of a
second!) before the Fed rate cut. I guess a countdown suggests an event
that somehow "matters."

And, after the central bank's formal announcement of the rate cut (at
2:15pm eastern), it did indeed look like an Event That Matters to the
stock market -- for all of about an hour. The Dow Industrials immediately
shot up some 200 points...

...and then gave it all back by the closing bell. The reversal doesn't
always happen that quickly, but being born yesterday is the only decent
excuse for being "surprised" by the market's
up-quickly-then-quickly-back-down price action. The same thing has
happened more than once since the Fed began cutting rates last year. The
Federal Reserve cannot change the dominant trend of the stock market.

What's more, the notion that interest rates "follow the Fed" is an even
bigger myth. See for yourself.

No description necessary -- it speaks for itself. That chart was in
Monday's (Jan. 28) Short Term Update. The mythology of the Fed won't die
easily; if facts were relevant, the myth would have evaporated long ago.
Distractions like "countdown clocks" and 100-basis point reductions within
eight days will keep coming, and are in fact predictable. For example:

Recent market action makes a 'surprise' Fed rate cut highly probable
before their next meeting on January 30. If so, expect a large rally in
conjunction with the announcement.

That too is from the Short Term Update, on January 15, a full week before
the so-called "surprise." It's what a real forecast looks like. The latest
commentary, charts and analysis from the STU is online now, and can be on
your computer screen in minutes via the fast steps below.





Kunjungi situs http://www.info-saham.com untuk informasi seputar saham.

DILARANG KERAS MEMOSTING OPINI PRIBADI TENTANG POLITIK DI MILIS INI.
Silahkan lakukan itu di milis [EMAIL PROTECTED]

[EMAIL PROTECTED] untuk berhenti dari milis saham
[EMAIL PROTECTED] untuk bergabung ke milis saham
 
Yahoo! Groups Links

<*> To visit your group on the web, go to:
    http://groups.yahoo.com/group/saham/

<*> Your email settings:
    Individual Email | Traditional

<*> To change settings online go to:
    http://groups.yahoo.com/group/saham/join
    (Yahoo! ID required)

<*> To change settings via email:
    mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED] 
    mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED]

<*> To unsubscribe from this group, send an email to:
    [EMAIL PROTECTED]

<*> Your use of Yahoo! Groups is subject to:
    http://docs.yahoo.com/info/terms/
 

<<attachment: fedfollows.gif>>

Kirim email ke