*Nggak apa-apa...* ** *Namanya juga mailing list ajang diskusi.* *Jadi mbak Betty Cantik hari ini sikat apa nih? =)* ** ** *T.o.m*
On 10/13/08, Betty Cantik <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote: > > Maaf Bung Tom, Betty cuma becanda aja yah, jangan marah... > > > ------------------------------ > *Dari:* Betty Cantik <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> > *Kepada:* [email protected] > *Terkirim:* Senin, 13 Oktober, 2008 13:51:24 > *Topik:* Bls: [saham] Hati-hati ban kempes di tengah jalan... > > Betty tambahin : "PEDULI SETAN" > > > ------------------------------ > *Dari:* Tom DS <tom.ds.stock@ gmail.com> > *Kepada:* obrolan-bandar@ yahoogroups. com; [EMAIL PROTECTED] com; > investium_saham@ yahoogroups. com; junior_Trader@ yahoogroups. com > *Terkirim:* Senin, 13 Oktober, 2008 13:36:15 > *Topik:* [saham] Hati-hati ban kempes di tengah jalan... > > *FYI saja, nanti malam masih ada pengumuman Treasury Budget, hari rabu > nanti Retail Sales, serta puncaknya minggu ini ada di hari kamis nanti yaitu > pengumuman US Core CPI...* > ** > *Saran saya jangan terlalu banyak membuang energi dulu, takutnya > ban kempes di tengah jalan.. =)* > ** > ** > *T.o.m* > ** > ** > *August Treasury Budget, How about September ???* *Updated 24-Sep-08 > 20:08 ET* > *About this > release*<http://www.briefing.com/Investor/Public/Calendars/EconomicReleases/budget.htm#about> > > > * > > > > * *Highlights* > > - *Raw Data Available At: **http://www.fms. treas.gov/ mts/index. > html*<http://www.fms.treas.gov/mts/index.html> > > *Key Factors* > > ** > > *Big Picture* > > ** > > > *Category* *Aug* *Jul* *Jun* *May* *Apr* *Deficit (-)/Surplus* * > -$111.9B* *-$102.8B* *$50.7B* *-$165.9B* *$159.3B* *Deficit (-)/Surplus > Fiscal YTD* *-$483B* *-$371B* *-$267B* *-$318B* *-$152B* *Deficit > (-)/Surplus over last 12 months* *-$360.9B* *-$375.6B* *-$309B* *-$332B* * > -$234B* > *Up to > Top*<http://www.briefing.com/Investor/Public/Calendars/EconomicReleases/budget.htm#top> > > > ** > > *Release Details* *Treasury Budget* > > - *Importance (A-F): This release merits a D. * > - *Source: U.S. Treasury Department. * > - *Release Time: 14:00 ET, about the third week of the month for the > prior month. * > - *Raw Data Available At: **http://www.fms. treas.gov/ mts/index. > html*<http://www.fms.treas.gov/mts/index.html> > *. * > > *In Brief* > > *The monthly Treasury budget data follow strong seasonal patterns which > produce huge month-to-month fluctuations in the deficit. These fluctuations > tell us little about long term budget trends. To the extent that the market > analyses the monthly Treasury data, the focus is on year/year changes in > receipts and outlays, since the data are not seasonally adjusted. Only in > April, the most important month for tax inflows to the Treasury, does the > market pay any attention to this report. The data can be predicted with > reasonable accuracy by using daily data in the Daily Treasury Statement.* > *In Depth* *The President's Budget* > > *The annual budget process begins in late January or early February with > the presentation of the President's budget for the coming fiscal year. The > President's proposals serve as an outline for Congress, particularly when > the White House and Congress are controlled by the same party. In the 1980s, > the conflicting agendas of the President and Congress often resulted in a > final budget which bore little resemblance to the President's budget. After > a quiet budget year in 1994 when Democrats controlled Congress and the White > House, the Republican takeover of the House and Senate has produced more > contentious budget battles in 1995 and 1996.* > > *One of the most common misperceptions about the budget process is that > the annual budgeting actually covers all federal spending. Though the > President's proposed budget will include projections for all federal > government outlays, less than half of all spending is actually controlled by > the annual budget legislation. Roughly 67% of federal outlays are mandated > by "permanent" law. Unless these laws are changed, no legislative review of > spending programs funded by permanent law is required in the appropriations > process. The same is true of federal receipts, where permanent law does not > require annual review of taxation.* > > *Permanent law should not by any means be construed as suggesting true > permanence. Permanent laws are changed frequently, with the 1990 and 1993 > budget deals being the most recent examples. These recent efforts to reduce > the deficit have incorporated both changes in discretionary spending and > changes in permanent laws affecting taxes and spending. Such deficit > reduction efforts are usually packaged into a so-called Omnibus Budget > Reconciliation Act (OBRA). In the absence of these comprehensive deficit > reduction efforts, the annual budget review will only deal with > discretionary spending which makes up roughly 33% of the budget. It is > perhaps one of the better kept secrets in Washington that the annual budget > review which seems at the core of the democratic process does not in fact > review even half of all federal spending.* > *The Budget Resolution* > > *Once the President has submitted his budget to Congress, the legislative > process begins. Within six weeks of the date that the President presents his > budget, each Congressional committee must report to the House and Senate > Budget Committees regarding budget estimates for programs overseen by their > committee.. The Budget Committees then approve a budget resolution based on > these estimates. After full House and Senate approval of these resolutions, > any differences between the House and Senate versions are worked out in > conference committee and then a final resolution is approved by each house. > This process is scheduled to be completed by April 15, but is often delayed, > as was the case this year. As the budget resolution is only a blueprint for > the budget and not actual legislation, it does not require presidential > approval.* > *Appropriations Bills* > > *The real job of budgeting begins after the budget resolution is adopted. > The appropriations process is when actual budget authority for discretionary > programs is legislated. We have already noted that annual budgeting only > covers discretionary programs, which are responsible for just 33% of total > spending. Even these discretionary programs are not bundled into one budget > package. The annual budget for discretionary spending is actually comprised > of 13 separate appropriations bills. The House and Senate Appropriations > Committees each include 13 subcommittees which are responsible for the 13 > bills. The 13 subcommittees are listed below.* > > *Subcommittees of the House and Senate Appropriations Committees* > *Agriculture > Commerce, Justice > Defense > District of Columbia > Energy, Water* *Foreign Operations > Interior > Labor, Health > Legislative* *Military Construction > Transportation > Treasury, Postal Service > Veterans, HUD, Agencies* > > *As all tax and spending bills must originate in the House, the House > Appropriations subcommittees will see the first action in the appropriations > process. The 13 bills are crafted individually and do not work their way > through the House and Senate on the same timetable. The goal is of course to > complete legislation on all 13 bills by the beginning of the fiscal year on > October 1. Yet these bills proceed and are approved of on their own, and are > not packaged into one comprehensive bill known simply as the budget.* > > *Once a House Appropriations subcommittee approves its bill, the > legislation proceeds to the full Committee and then to the House floor. > Approval by the House sets in motion the same process in the Senate. Upon > approval by the full Senate, differences between the House and Senate > versions of the bill are reconciled in conference committee and then a final > version of the bill is sent back to the House and Senate floors. > Presidential approval of each of the 13 appropriations bills completes the > process.. When work on the 13 bills is delayed past the start of the fiscal > year, Congress and the President must approve of continuing resolutions > which fund government programs at the prior year's level until the relevant > appropriations bill is signed into law.* > > *One final note about the appropriations process is that the > appropriations bills do not set actual outlays for the coming fiscal year, > but instead legislate "budget authority." The Office of Management and > Budget (OMB) defines budget authority as "the authority to incur legally > binding obligations of the Government that will result in immediate or > future outlays." Actual outlays may exceed or fall short of budget authority > in any given year depending on past budget authority and the duration of a > program.* > *Omnibus Budget Reconciliation Act* > > *In years such as 1985, 1987, 1990, and 1993, Congress has enacted > legislation aimed at long term deficit reduction. These legislative efforts > occur separately from the annual appropriations process. They may change > permanent laws and set caps which affect discretionary spending, but the > regular budget process will nevertheless be unchanged. OBRA legislation > affects permanent law and is not a substitute for annual budgets. OBRA > legislation packages changes in permanent laws which will typically affect > both taxation and mandatory spending. The legislative process for OBRA is > completely different than the appropriations process. Legislation is still > initiated in the House, but is not limited to work by the Appropriations > Committee. The House Ways and Means Committee oversees tax law, and thus > plays a critical role in OBRA legislation, as does its Senate counterpart, > the Finance Committee. Legislation affecting entitlement programs also falls > under the jurisdiction of committees other than Appropriations, i.e. > proposed Medicare changes would be considered by a House Ways and Means > subcommittee on health care.* > *Supplemental Appropriations* > > *The 13 appropriations bills are not necessarily the last word for the > year on federal spending. Supplemental appropriations bills may be approved > at any time to provide additional funding for government programs. Tight > caps on discretionary spending set by the 1990 and 1993 budget acts require > a pay-as-you-go approach to such funding, thus limiting the number of > supplemental appropriations. "Emergency" spending circumvents the > pay-as-you-go mandate, however, allowing for a variety of supplemental > appropriations. Past "emergencies" have covered everything from the Gulf War > to extended unemployment insurance to natural disaster relief.* > > > ------------------------------ > Dapatkan nama yang Anda sukai! > <http://sg.rd.yahoo.com/id/mail/domainchoice/mail/signature/*http://mail.promotions.yahoo.com/newdomains/id/> > Sekarang Anda dapat memiliki email di @ymail.com dan @rocketmail. com. > > > ------------------------------ > Nama baru untuk Anda! > <http://sg.rd.yahoo.com/id/mail/domainchoice/mail/signature/*http://mail.promotions.yahoo.com/newdomains/id/> > Dapatkan nama yang selalu Anda inginkan di domain baru @ymail dan > @rocketmail. > Cepat sebelum diambil orang lain! > > >
