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-----Original Message-----
From: MeLinda MeLisa <[email protected]>
Sender: [email protected]
Date: Thu, 10 Feb 2011 02:53:40 
To: <[email protected]>
Reply-To: [email protected]
Subject: [StockForex] Inflation could force Bank of England to raise interest 
rates, says
 Deputy Governor Charlie Bean

Inflation could force Bank of England to raise interest rates, says
Deputy Governor Charlie Bean.



Thursday, February 10, 2011 - http://marketpin.blogspot.com/



The prospect of interest rate rises edged closer as one of the Bank of
England's Deputy Governors warned that it may have to act if commodity
prices continue to rise and inflation becomes embedded.

Despite stressing that delaying rate rises has been the right course
of action, Charlie Bean said the Bank will have to act if commodity
prices remain high.

"We would expect, providing there aren't further shocks, that
inflation will come back down toward the target," he told the Western
Mail. If inflation remains high, though, "we may well have to respond
to that by keeping domestically generated inflation lower", he said.

"It is one of the risks that continuing strong growth in emerging
markets may mean a tendency for commodity prices to continue to rise
relative to the general prices of goods and services."

His warning came as Andrew Sentance repeated his call for a rate rise
in an interview with CityAM. "The longer we delay [monetary
tightening] the more there is a risk that interest rate rises when
they come will have to be larger, and then there will be a bigger risk
of a shock to confidence," he said.

He added that with inflation at almost double its 2pc target and
likely to rise even further, the Bank must act soon to safeguard its
inflation-fighting credibility.

Both policy makers made it clear they are not overly concerned by the
0.5pc contraction in the final three months of last year, suggesting
it may not deter them from tightening policy. "We need to be prepared
to look through fluctuations in GDP growth when we're recovering from
recession – growth figures are never linear and smooth in recoveries,"
Mr Sentance said.

Last month, a second member of the nine-strong Monetary Policy
Committee, Martin Weale, joined Mr Sentance in voting for a
quarter-point rise. For other members the decision was "finely
balanced", minutes of the meeting showed.

Economists said a strong reading on Thursday's services PMI survey,
following robust construction and manufacturing surveys this month,
could persuade more MPC members to vote for an increase before the
next forecasting round in May.

"Even if they don't go in February, I am not sure we're going to have
to wait until May. The Inflation Report could tee us up for a March or
April hike," Ross Walker at Royal Bank of Scotland said.

"If we get an outsize bounce in the services PMI on Thursday, it's
toss a coin time - it's really going to be close."


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