Setelah posting rekap bursa saham Cina (
http://groups.yahoo.com/group/saham/message/102879), berikut rekap bursa
saham Eropa (Inggris):

Bloomberg: U.K. stocks fell, halting the FTSE 100
Index<http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/quote?ticker=UKX:IND>’s
three-week gain, as investors speculated unrest in Libya will cause energy
prices to climb, curbing economic growth.

*Bank shares fell* as demand for overnight loans from the European Central
Bank remained elevated for a third day. Barclays
Plc<http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/quote?ticker=BARC:LN>and Royal
Bank of Scotland Group
Plc<http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/quote?ticker=RBS:LN>slipped.

Apa gerangan yang akan terjadi 4 Maret minggu depan ketika dan jika Bank
Indonesia menaikkan alternatif atau kumulatif GWM 25 basis poin dan BI rate
sampai dengan 50 basis poin?

 "-Jika inflasi inti ditekan hingga 3,1%, maka kemungkinan BI rate bisa
lebih dari 6,75%" kata Endy Dwi Tjahyono, Direktorat Riset Ekonomi &
Kebijakan Moneter BI, Sabtu (19/2). Bahkan, Endy bilang, suku bunga nantinya
akan naik lebih dari 50 basis poin, dan akan menurunkan pertumbuhan ekonomi
dibawah 6%.-" (
http://keuangan.kontan.co.id/v2/read/Keuangan/59376/Tekan-inflasi-inti-ke-31-suku-bunga-bisa-naik-di-atas-50-basis-poin
)

"-Bank Indonesia is expected to raise interest rates in March by 25 basis
points,” said Joanna Tan, a regional economist at Forecast Singapore Pte.-"
(
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2011-02-21/rupiah-baht-lead-gains-in-asian-currencies-as-inflation-pressure-builds.html
)

Implikasi terhadap pilihan saham?

Pada awal 2008 lalu ketika inflasi harga-harga konsumer di AS naik mencapai
4%, dan 1/3 kenaikan disumbang oleh 'headline inflation' (fuel & food),
kurang lebih kondisi yang miripi-mirip Indonesia saat ini, Joe Fisher,
manajer portofolio, pada Fifth Third Asset Management, menyarankan sektor
investasi saham tertentu yang aman dan apa yang perlu dijauhi dalam situasi
'inflationary' seperti itu.

"-He says the winning trend has remained the same for most of this decade:
"Energy, raw materials and most industrial companies have had pricing power
and haven't had to sacrifice revenue growth," Fisher said. Consolidated *energy
and coal are sure winners*: they're driven by global demand; and coal, in
particular, can raise prices even above the increases enacted by the
railroad companies that transport it.
*Sectors to avoid*? Fisher warns against *financials and tech stocks*.-"
http://www.cnbc.com/id/24159632/Inflation_Fighters_Three_Stock_Picks

Penyesuaian terhadap target harga ideal pada kisaran forward PBV 2,5 'peer'
regional-nya akan mengembalikan 'attractiveness' IHSG
BBCA: Rp3.575
BMRI: Rp4.200
BBRI: Rp3.525
BBNI: Rp2.900
BDMN: Rp5.050

'+'

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