April 18 (Bloomberg) -- Standard & Poor’s put a “negative” outlook on the AAA 
credit rating of the U.S., citing a “material risk” the nation’s leaders will 
fail to deal with rising budget deficits and debt. 
 
 “We believe there is a material risk that U.S. policy makers might not reach 
an agreement on how to address medium- and long-term budgetary challenges by 
2013,” New York-based S&P said today in a report. “If an agreement is not 
reached and meaningful implementation does not begin by then, this would in our 
view render the U.S. fiscal profile meaningfully weaker than that of peer ‘AAA’ 
sovereigns.” 
 
 Longer-term Treasuries fell, reversing earlier gains, after S&P lowered its 
outlook to negative from stable. The cost to protect against a default by the 
government and the nation’s banks jumped and stocks declined after the New 
York-based ratings firm’s action, which assigns a one-in-three chance that it 
will lower the U.S. rating in the next two years. 
 
 Under President Barack Obama’s fiscal year 2012 budget, released in February, 
the total debt subject to the ceiling would be $20.8 trillion in 2016. The plan 
House Republicans approved April 15, written by Budget Committee Chairman Paul 
Ryan, would need a debt ceiling of at least $19.5 trillion, according to data 
compiled by Bloomberg Government. 
 
 The Treasury Department projected that the government may reach the $14.3 
trillion debt ceiling limit as soon as mid-May and run out of options for 
avoiding default by early July. 
 
 ‘Message to Washington’ 
 
 “It’s truly a shot across the bow and a message to Washington, which has been 
clowning around on this and playing politics when they should toss ideology 
aside and focus on achievement,” said David Ader, head of government bond 
strategy at CRT Capital Group LLC in Stamford, Connecticut. “The bond market is 
still trying to find out what to make of it. People don’t know what to do. If 
you sell Treasuries, what do you go in to? No one knows.”
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