Wah kali ini kyknya saya setuju ama positif. Blta itu buaya yg kelaparan trs. 
Right issue aja kerjaannya.

On Mon May 23rd, 2011 8:55 AM ICT budy darmawan wrote:

>maksudya jgn beli bull dan blta ya?? wah kalo gitu saya mau coba deh sekali 
>kali ...kan katanya selalu berlawaannnan...iseng iseng ahh 
>nyobainn..................
> 
>regards,
>budy darmawan,s.h.
>
>
>________________________________
>Dari: positif01 <[email protected]>
>Kepada: 
>Dikirim: Senin, 23 Mei 2011 8:30
>Judul: [saham] IPO Buana Listya Tama (BULL): SELL, and likewise all coal 
>shipment-related Marine Transportation
>
>
>  
>We keep our recommendation plain and simple for group industry "Marine 
>Transportation" specifically those relating to coal shipment worldwide. That 
>said, we reminded our clients to stay away from a possible jump start of Buana 
>Listya Tama initial trading day in the market on May 23, and immediately book 
>profits when luck is still there and just run away. Our "sell" recommendation 
>in general is applicable to all coal shipment-related marine transportation. 
>BLTA (BULL's parent), TRAM, WINS and MBSS are among other.
>
>Our "sell" view for coal shipment-related marine transportation is parallel to 
>recent special coverage release by Bloomberg. While we are among those in the 
>market, including Goldman Sachs, who maintain coal industry as long-term 
>"attractive" and steadily holding a heavy loaded optimistic prospect over 
>short-term commodities volatility, and a lot of mining companies may be making 
>more money than ever, the shipping companies are contending with a glut 
>rather than shortages.
>
>Coal is typically shipped on capesizes and panamaxes, rates for which have 
>tumbled as fleet growth outpaced demand. About 90 percent of global trade 
>moves by sea, according to the Round Table of International 
>Shipping Associations. Returns for owners of capesizes, three times the size 
>of the Statue of Liberty, slumped 71 percent this year to $5,829 a 
>day, according to the Baltic Exchange. Rates for panamaxes, the largest 
>commodity ships to pass through the Panama Canal, fell 8.7 percent to $13,434 
>a day, according to the London-based bourse, which publishes rates for more 
>than 50 maritime routes.
>
>Carrying capacity excess worldwide has become a major issue for coal freight 
>markets. Carrying capacity in dry bulk will rise 13 percent this year, 
>compared with a 5 percent gain in trade, according to the research unit of 
>Clarkson Plc, the world’s biggest shipbroker. The new ships were ordered in 
>2007 and 2008, when rates rose to about $234,000 a day for capesizes and 
>$95,000 for panamaxes.
>
>“Increasing coal exports will aid freight rates but won’t necessarily make 
>them higher,” said Jeffrey Landsberg, president of Commodore Research & 
>Consultancy, a New-York based company specializing in bulk commodity shipping. 
>“A massive amount of new ships were ordered and now they are being delivered, 
>but the extra tons of coal won’t be enough to suck up all that extra capacity.”
>
>Forward freight agreements, traded by brokers and used to bet on future 
>transport costs, anticipate panamax rates no higher than $13,603 through 2016. 
>Capesize returns will advance to $18,061 by then. Owners of capesizes need 
>about $25,000 to cover expenses such as crew and financing for ships valued at 
>$60 million, according to HSBC Shipping Services Ltd.
>
>Shipping rates are volatile, with those for capesizes rising or falling 46 
>percent or more in nine of the last 10 years. Panamaxes fluctuated 48 percent 
>or more in all except one of the last 10 years.
>
>We also noted that a group of foreign investors and traders has taken 
>advantages in anticipation of Buana Listya Tama mood of initial listing by 
>dumping BLTA stock in the market since May 09, 2011. We indicate a massive 
>selling flare and glare will blaze the market in a couple of days ahead.
>
>Be cautious and do not let yourself feel enthusiastically overwhelmed. One of 
>the bad signs as most seasoned investors and traders notice for an IPO is when 
>Buana Listya downsizes the offered shares from 7,26 billion to 6,65 billion 
>shares. That signify the ongoing concern of available demand.
>
>'+'
> 


------------------------------------

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