Goldman Sachs: The Good, The Bad And The Ugly

Investors certainly can't be held liable for not understanding what to make
of Goldman Sachs Group (NYSE: GS). Investors aren't alone. Even though it is
one of the largest investment banking firms in the country with a market cap
over $84 billion, it sometimes seems company management isn't quite certain
what to make of the firm.

The Good

Even with Goldman trading up over $1.50 a share at $150.63 as of this
writing, this still leaves the firm well below it's 52-week trading high of
$174.34 reached January 14.  The P/E, while not the lowest in the sector,
remains an attractive 11.43, well within a range value investors will
certainly appreciate.

Goldman Sachs was also a part of the recent big news on Wall Street; the
announcement of Microsoft's $8.5 billion purchase of Skype. Goldman is one
of the two primary advisors on the deal, along with JP Morgan. Goldman has a
long history working with Skype management. An acquisition of this size
won't do anything to hurt GS earnings, which is an already healthy $13.08
per share. But what has investors even more excited is the possibility that
the Wall Street mega-deal is making a return. If this turns out to be the
case, the remainder of 2011 is going to be very kind to GS shareholders.

The Bad

It was about this time last year Goldman Sachs wrote a $550 million check to
settle a lawsuit brought by the SEC in response to claims GS misled clients
about a mortgage derivative investment.

While the funds have since been repaid, there was also the not-so-small
matter of needing government bail-out funds, as well as a helping hand from
Warren Buffet, to make it through the financial crisis. And a recently
completed senate probe places a lot of the blame for the financial crisis
squarely on the shoulders of Goldman Sachs.

And finally, an announcement was made Tuesday that Goldman's clearing and
execution division are facing civil fraud and related charges brought by the
Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC). The lawsuit alleges GS is
liable for illicit clearing activities working with an as yet unnamed Broker
Dealer.

The Ugly

By all accounts, 2010 was not a good year for GS. Profits decreased, SEC
probes continued, and fines were paid. In addition, return on equity
diminished to just 11.5 percent, down from over 30 percent three short years
ago.

But here's where it gets really ugly. With everything that has happened with
GS, paying CEO Lloyd Blankfein over $19 million dollars in 2010, and
soliciting shareholders for an increase in executive pay for 2011, seems
entirely misguided. Needless to say, this rubbed a lot of institutional and
individual investors alike the wrong way, particularly considering the
source.

Summary There are a lot of things not to like about GS, and the sector as a
whole for that matter. However, some things must be put into perspective
going forward. For example, the return on equity numbers alluded to above
(11.5 percent, down from 32 percent in '08) are far better than peer
averages. Earnings per share, net income and industry-leading margins should
place Goldman Sachs squarely in the sights of buy-and-hold investors right
now.



iStockAnalyst  | May 11, 2011

Kirim email ke