Breakout short-term downtrend harga timah dunia pada akhir Juni disertai postur earnings PT Timah, Tbk. yang positif, menjadikan reportase PT Timah dalam sejumlah media finansial global pada awal Juli memberikan bobot tersendiri kepada pergerakan harga saham PT Timah ke depan. Kenaikan harga timah LME EOD 19 Juli pagi tadi +1,73% (lihat tins update di bawah) menambah sejumlah katalis yang ada.
Bloomberg, July 04: Prices climbed 49 percent to $25,795 in the past 12 months on the London Metal Exchange. PT Timah, based in Pangkalpinang, Indonesia, will post a 55 percent profit gain this year, analysts’ estimates compiled by Bloomberg show. ( http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2011-07-04/bear-market-in-tin-ending-as-shortages-mean-pt-timah-s-profit-advances-55-.html ) Reuters sebagaimana Harian Bisnis Indonesia mengkonfirmasi proyeksi positif earnings PT Timah: Reuters, July 14: Indonesia's Timah , the world's largest integrated tin miner, expects a slight decline in sales this year, but revenue could rise on higher tin prices, Bisnis Indonesia reported on Thursday. Production and sales of refined tin were forecast to reach 40,000 tonnes in 2011, down slightly from 40,413 tonnes in 2010 due to tough competition from illegal miners in the main producing island of Bangka and Belitung, Chief Executive Wachid Usman was quoted as saying on Wednesday. "(But) with an increase in prices, revenue is likely to rise as well as profits," said Usman. Timah told Reuters in February that the tin price in 2011 will be around $25,000 to $30,000 per tonne. Benchmark tin on the London Metal Exchange was at around $27,00 a tonne, off a six-month low around $24,000 seen in June, when worries about a growth slowdown and European sovereign debt sparked selling. Tin struck a record-high of around $33,000 in April. The country's refined tin exports rose 35.4 percent in June from the year-ago period, as improving weather boosted mining and producers cashed in on a global price recovery to boost shipments, industry sources said this week. (http://www.reuters.com/article/2011/07/14/timah-tin-idUSL3E7IE09920110714) Tins update, July 20: Jul 20,2011 9:45 AM Source:SMM SHANGHAI, Jul. 20 (SMM) -- LME tin for delivery in three months opened at USD 27,300/mt and closed at USD 27,850/mt overnight, up by USD 505/mt from a day earlier, with the highest price at USD 27,999/mt and the lowest price at USD 27,250/mt. Daily trading volumes were 526 lots, up by 421 lots. Positions were 18,838 lots, down by 213 lots from a day earlier. LME tin inventories were up by 10 mt to 21,360 mt. Market sentiment improved to great extent following stronger euro and bullish US home data. In response, LME tin prices surged all the way and trading volumes also increased significantly, with prices only falling slightly after meeting resistance at USD 28,000/mt and closing at USD 27,850/mt, up by 1.8% from a day earlier. Improved risk appetite in global financial markets significantly pushed base metal prices higher and investors were more optimistic that European leaders will reach a consensus on Greece bailout at an emergency meeting to be held on Thursday. Germany's finance ministry said on Tuesday that talks between euro zone governments and private creditors over a second bailout package for Greece were going ahead in a "constructive" manner. In response, the euro advanced and the equity market also rebounded. The US Ministry of Commerce announced on Wednesday that the US new housing starts in June were up by 14.6% from a month earlier, the highest since January 2011. The annualized rate of June’s new housing starts was 629,000, higher than estimation of 575,000. The release of house data also lent strong support for base metals. LME tin prices hit previous target, and will test sustainability at this level. SMM expects LME tin prices may meet resistance to advance further, and will largely hover at high level on Wednesday. Boosted by overnight’s LME tin price increase, spot prices are expected to advance slightly to the RMB 202,000-203,500/mt range on Wednesday. '+'
